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Acquired - Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner)

Published Mar 14, 2022 · Duration 1:52:44 · Language en · 11 highlights

Summary

本期 Acquired 播客邀请 Altimeter Capital 创始人 Brad Gerstner,深入探讨了“跨界投资”(crossover investing)这一风险投资领域的重大变革——对冲基金与风险投资基金同时运作的双重模式。Brad 从个人经历讲起:父亲在印第安纳小镇创办汽车零部件公司失败、抵押房产却拒绝破产,用一生偿还债务,这让他重新理解了“真正的风险”以及硅谷风险投资体系对创业者的保护。他回顾了自己从律师、政界转向投资,在互联网泡沫中参与 NLG 与 Expedia 并购、师从 Paul Reader 学习对冲基金,并于 2008 金融危机最低谷创立 Altimeter 的坎坷历程。他阐述了 Altimeter 的核心投资逻辑:识别市场结构性错位、押注云计算与数据库变革(如以极高信念长期持有 Snowflake),并强调集中持仓、“非共识且正确”的投资纪律。Brad 认为公司上市延迟、私募资本变深使风险投资走向“工业化”,而竞争会压缩平均回报,只有顶尖玩家能持续胜出。他还谈到 Altimeter 的资本市场业务如何以中立立场帮助创始人在传统 IPO、直接上市与 SPAC 之间做出选择。最后他重点介绍了 “Invest America” 倡议——为每个美国新生儿设立投资账户,让所有人都能成为“所有者社会”的一员,弥合财富鸿沟。整场访谈贯穿着他对资本主义、风险承担与创新驱动人类进步的坚定信念。

Chapters

  1. 从家庭风险教育到创立Altimeter 0:00–1:00:18

    本节从Brad Gerstner的成长经历讲起。他的父亲在印第安纳小镇抵押房产创办汽车零部件公司,失败后拒绝破产、用余生偿债,让Brad很早就理解了创业者承担的真实风险,也使他日后格外珍视硅谷风险投资对创始人的保护。Brad回顾了自己从法律、政治和商学院转入商业世界,参与互联网创业及Expedia相关交易,并在投资人Paul Reeder身边学习公开市场投资的过程。他逐渐认识到,科技公司上市越来越晚、私募与公开市场之间的边界正在消失,传统上彼此分离的风险投资基金和对冲基金可以结合成覆盖公司全生命周期的“跨界投资”模式。2008年金融危机最严重时,他逆势创立Altimeter,尽管顾问警告时机极差、首轮募资也异常艰难,他仍依靠过去创业融资和投资积累的人脉启动公司,并确立了集中持仓、寻找结构性错位以及与创始人长期合作的基本方向。

  2. Altimeter投资哲学与Invest America倡议 1:00:18–1:52:44

    本节中Brad Gerstner回顾了Altimeter跨越早期风投与公开市场的"全生命周期"投资模式,以Snowflake等长期持有的成功案例为例,阐述了非共识投资、集中持仓以及与创始人深度绑定的理念。他还介绍了公司的资本市场业务,主张更早、更低摩擦的IPO以让散户分享科技公司的增值。最后他重点讲述了Invest America倡议,提议为每个新生儿设立投资账户,让全民成为"所有者",并借此为资本主义辩护。

Highlights

  1. And so in a fit of of lunacy decided that he was going to start a competitor. He knew nothing about starting a business. There was no such thing in that part of the world as venture capital. All he knew is that he knew how to make these parts and he knew he could inspire these me ...

    于是他在一种近乎疯狂的冲动下决定去创办一家竞争对手公司。他对创业一无所知。在那个地方根本不存在风险投资这种东西。他所知道的只是他会制造这些零件,并且他能激励这些男男女女加入他的事业。

    Origin story: entrepreneurship without a safety net
  2. If they're at the stage where they're actually taking money from a venture capitalist and they have a term sheet and that's gonna happen for them, you've already won. The personal risk there is extremely low. There's no risk. What risk are you talking about? The risk is have a yo ...

    如果他们已经到了真正从风险投资人手里拿钱、拿到条款清单的阶段,那你其实已经赢了。那里的个人风险极低。根本没有风险。你说的风险是什么?真正的风险是拥有一个年幼的家庭,把房子抵押出去。

    Provocative redefinition of 'risk' for founders
  3. I took the series seven because I thought, man, maybe there's something these people know that I don't know. I want to know the dark secrets of the destiny. And then I realized, wow, none of these people know anything. That's the dark secret. The dark secret is there is no secret ...

    我去考了七级证券资格考试,因为我想,也许这些人知道一些我不知道的东西。我想知道命运的黑暗秘密。然后我意识到,哇,这些人什么都不知道。这才是那个黑暗秘密。黑暗秘密就是——根本没有秘密。

    Memorable aphorism demystifying finance
  4. He said, I don't think you're a great entrepreneur... being an entrepreneur is the art of the possible. You have to will things into existence... But as an investor, investors think about distribution of probabilities, not possibilities. And he's like, you're going to make a grea ...

    他说,我认为你不是一个伟大的创业者……创业是关于“可能性”的艺术,你必须凭意志把事情变成现实……但作为投资者,投资者思考的是“概率的分布”,而不是可能性。他说,你会成为一个了不起的投资者。

    Sharp insight distinguishing founders from investors
  5. People say to me, oh, you picked a really great time to launch. I can assure you, one of my advisors who runs a big hedge fund... he said, you've made a huge mistake. Go back to Paul and see if he'll give you your job back.

    人们对我说,哦,你挑了一个绝佳的时机来创业。我可以向你保证——我的一位顾问,他管理着一只大型对冲基金……他说,你犯了一个天大的错误。回去找 Paul,看看他愿不愿意把工作还给你。

    Launching Altimeter at the depths of the 2008 crisis
  6. He had saved his entire life a million bucks. Like worked 15 years to save a million bucks. And he invested it all in a hedge fund in LA. And the guy stole all 200 million of this money. So my brother literally worked 15 years. His life savings went down the drain.

    他攒了一辈子,攒下一百万美元。差不多干了十五年才攒到一百万。然后他把这笔钱全投进了洛杉矶的一只对冲基金。而那个人卷走了全部两亿美元的资金。所以我哥哥实实在在干了十五年,一生的积蓄付诸东流。

    Shocking personal story of a stolen life savings
  7. And he said, Meg, like, do you realize how barbaric it is the way we make decisions? He said in the future, we will have all this data stored and machines will analyze the data and help us make better decisions about how to diagnose an illness, about how to educate a dyslexic chi ...

    他说,Meg,你有没有意识到我们做决策的方式有多么野蛮原始?他说在未来,我们会把所有这些数据存储起来,机器将分析这些数据,帮助我们做出更好的决策——比如如何诊断疾病,如何教育一个有阅读障碍的孩子。

    Bill Gates's prescient vision of data-driven decisions
  8. As Buffett has said, the best investments, you have to be non-consensus and right. The problem is, being non-consensus is most often wrong. Consensus is consensus for a reason. You should be uncomfortable or in pain when you're doing something non-consensus because you got all th ...

    正如巴菲特所说,最好的投资,你必须是“非共识且正确”的。问题在于,非共识往往意味着错误。共识之所以是共识,是有原因的。当你做非共识的事情时,你应该感到不适或痛苦,因为所有这些聪明人都在告诉你,你错了。

    Core investing philosophy: non-consensus and right
  9. Kevin, my partner, said, this is gonna win. But he also wrote a bug report of the 10 bugs he found on it. He sent this bug bashing report to the founders, to Benoit and Terry. This is in the dictionary under how to win a deal. And let's just say they said, no other investor has d ...

    我的合伙人 Kevin 说,这个(产品)会赢。但他还写了一份 bug 报告,列出他发现的 10 个 bug。他把这份“找茬”报告发给了创始人 Benoit 和 Terry。这简直可以写进“如何赢得一笔交易”的字典里。可以说,他们表示:没有任何其他投资人这么做过。

    Clever, hands-on tactic to win the Snowflake deal
  10. ByteDance we invested in at $10 billion. Today, it's marked somewhere between 350 billion to 500 billion. Over 300 billion dollars of value creation that goes to the Sequoias, the altimeters, the GAs of the world. And no retail investor has access to that. That's not a level play ...

    我们以 100 亿美元估值投资了字节跳动。如今它的估值被标记在 3500 亿到 5000 亿美元之间。超过 3000 亿美元的价值创造,流向了世界上的红杉、Altimeter、GA 这些机构。而没有任何散户投资者能够染指这些。这不是一个公平的竞技场。

    Striking critique of unequal access to private upside
  11. If you gave every single one of them an Invest America account, so think of that as a Robin Hood account on their parents' phone. We fund the account based on means... If you're under a certain threshold, we put $5,000 in it. Can't take the money out. Compounds at 6-7% for 50 yea ...

    如果你给他们每一个人一个 Invest America 账户,就把它想象成父母手机上的一个 Robinhood 账户。我们根据经济状况向账户注资……如果低于某个收入门槛,我们就往里放 5000 美元。这笔钱不能取出。以每年 6% 到 7% 复利增长 50 年,它就值一百万美元。

    Bold policy idea to make everyone an 'owner'
Full transcript

All right, well, hopefully airpods don't screw things up too bad. You can look like humans on air. And if we ever end up in a situation with microphones that are out of frame, it'd be game-changing. It'd be like, we're talking to each other. Welcome to season 10 episode 4 of acquired.

the podcast about great technology companies and the stories and playbooks behind them. I'm Ben Gilbert, and I am the co-founder and managing director of Seattle-based Pioneer Square Labs and our venture fund, PSL Ventures. And I'm David Rosenthal, and I am an angel investor, based in San Francisco. And we are your hosts. We've done Sequoia. We've done Andrews and Horowitz. But we have not gone deep on one of the biggest stories in Venture right now, crossover investing.

We are watching hedge funds like Tiger Global and Cotu come all the way down to seed investing and we're simultaneously seeing classically early stage venture capital firms like Sequoia completely reinvent their structure to hold on to their winners longer even as they become public companies and today we wanted to analyze one of the firms that pioneered this dual approach of operating a hedge fund and a venture capital firm simultaneously altimeter capital. There has been so much change in venture in the last few years, more change I think in the last few years than in the decade that I was doing venture than watching it before. And listeners, to tell the story right, we are joined today by Brad Gersner, the founder of the firm, and actually...

to tell you the truth, he is joined by us. We actually recorded this episode in person, even with video, stands, microphones, everything at the altimeter office on Sand Hill Road. And for those of you who don't know, Brad has had an unbelievable career starting five companies, so he's got a very different mentality than your sort of classic hedge fund guy.

On the investing side, he led the series C in Snowflake and still owns a massive stake of the company. He's led large investments and sat on the board of companies, you know, like MongoDB and Roblox and Zillow and plaid. He led the SPAC that took grab public in Southeast Asia. And he is widely known as one of the most knowledgeable people in the world on the business of online travel after his involvement in Expedia, orbits Uber and many others.

And you forgot maybe the most important part. I think he's the number one Bestie Guestie on our friends over at the all-in pod. I think that's probably right. It's probably right. All right, listeners. Now is a great time to talk about a new partner of ours here on Acquired, LaGora, the agentic operating system that is redefining how the world's best legal teams work.

Yup, it's sort of obvious that AI is going to completely change the legal industry. I bet most of you listening have dropped a contract into some sort of AI chatbot out there. LaGora took that insight and asked the question, what if you really built something with that power from the ground up for the legal industry? So the founders did exactly what great founders do, operate with obsessive customer focus. They embedded inside a massive law firm.

for months. They sat with the lawyers just watching how the work really gets done. And that's how you get features that customers love, like tabular review, where you drop in a folder of hundreds of contracts and it pulls every key term into a grid a lawyer can actually work with. Lagores Bed here is interesting. Since it lets each lawyer handle more complexity, any given person can increase the quality of their work and do higher value work. And this means that the pie can grow even as each individual task takes less time.

And they recently launched LaGora agent offering greater intelligence and performance. The agent lets lawyers set an objective. Then it can handle the planning and the execution and delivery of the final product. Legal teams get to maintain full control and transparency since they're still involved where judgment is required. And LaGora works where you already work. You can use it within Microsoft Word while redlining or drafting. The early LaGora numbers essentially speak for themselves. When they have a head-to-head pilot with their top competitor, they win 70% of the time. Legora now has over 100,000 lawyers on the platform from 1,200 legal teams in 50 countries. And crazily, they went from 1,000,000 to 100 million in ARR in about 18 months. Truly insane numbers. And that is the real test.

Plenty of things demo well, but the question is whether a busy associate actually reaches for it during crunch time or whether a partner trusts it before going into a conversation with a major client. If your legal team wants to check it out, whether you're a law firm or you're in house at a company, you can learn more at logora.com slash acquired and just tell them that Ben and David sent you. Well, we will cut over to our interview with Brad now, but Please do know ahead of time that you can discuss this episode and everything else in the tech world afterwards with us at acquired.fm slash slack. Join 11,000 smart thoughtful people like yourself. And we have some awesome new LP show content out there. You can search acquired LP show in the podcast player of your choice. And lastly, this is not investment advice. Do your own research and now over to Brad Gersner from Ultimate or Capital.

Tell us about your family and your dad's experience with entrepreneurship. Well, I grew up in a small rural town in northern Indiana near Notre Dame, first generation college. My dad had, you know, classic immigrant story. His parents had kind of given up everything in order to help put their only child through college. He started...

at Northwestern, they couldn't afford to finish there. You know, ended up at Bradley in Illinois, got an engineering degree. And long story short, 1977, I was born in 1971, so 1977, he becomes a general manager of the auto parts manufacturer and, you know, the small town that employed most the people in the town. Like a GM. Yeah, it was a supplier to GM, a supplier to Ford at the time. And remember, our auto industry was under assault by the Japanese auto manufacturers. You had double digit interest rates and inflation, which for the first time in 30 years is all the sudden the topic of conversation again. With the Fed under Vulker? Yeah, under Vulker, we had, you know, you remember stagflation the end of the 70s, which was low growth, high inflation. And for some reason, you know, so there was an acquirer that came along to buy this plant. They needed to get my dad and the workers to go along, you know, with the deal. And my dad said he could deliver the workers so long as they agreed not to lay anybody off. Of course, they said they would do that.

You know, three months later they were going to lay off all these people and in this small town, you know, your words are bond and my dad just couldn't live with himself with that outcome. And so in a fit of of lunacy decided that he was going to start a competitor. He knew nothing about starting a business. There was no such thing in that part of the world as venture capital. All he knew is that he knew how to make these parts and he knew he could inspire.

these men and women to join his cause and and it was a crusade and it was a you know I look at it and I'm sure I look at it through rose colored lenses but it was a valiant crusade unfortunately he had to borrow money from the town bank in a typical acquired episode or a typical tech story it's like this is the hero's journey and like he wins right and like you grow up in this like amazing you know entrepreneurial journey and you're like this is awesome I'm gonna go do the same for that That's not how I wish the story ended that way. You know, for his sake, I mean, he borrowed money from the bank, mortgaged the house, mortgaged the car. And the punch line is, there are moments in time where the deck is so stacked against you, notwithstanding all your best effort, notwithstanding all the extraordinary sacrifice of the team, or maybe even the brilliance of the idea, it's not meant to be at that moment.

And in venture capital, if you fail, the risk is largely on the venture capitalist. I mean, in Silicon Valley, failure is on the part of the founder so long as you conduct yourself in a way that's honorable, it's a badge of courage that you gave it a go. And we have an institutional structure where the venture capitalist can withstand that loss because they have a portfolio that they can cushion that with. So I often, young founders will come in and say, wow, I just don't know if I can take the risk.

You know, they just graduated from Stanford, they have no student debt. You know, they're getting money from a venture capitalist. If they fail, they don't have to pay the money back. If they win, they get a huge upside. If they're at the stage where they're actually taking money from a venture capitalist and they have a term sheet and that's gonna happen for them, you've already won. The personal risk there is extremely low. There's no risk. What risk are you talking about? The risk is have a young family mortgage your house.

Mortgage your car double digit interest rates and inflation the business goes under my dad loses his health He loses his house. He loses his marriage, right? That's risk Yeah, right and the beautiful thing about this country is you know, we have created a system where we encourage risk takers unfortunately in 19 you know, 80 in the middle part of the country in a small town, my dad refused to declare bankruptcy. He would work the rest of his life trying to pay back that money because it was his word that he gave to the people who lent him the money. And so I think about that when I hear from entrepreneurs or when I even think about the risk associated with starting altimeters, starting the other companies I started, it's really not risk relative to the risk he undertook.

I grew up around an entrepreneur, but it was not a heroic entrepreneurial story. And my grandfather, my father's father basically forbade us from becoming entrepreneurs. And he said to the four grandchildren, you can become professionals, you know, doctors, lawyers, architects, but please don't become entrepreneurs. And so I, you know, I felt like I owed that to him. Even though I felt I was always kind of starting little enterprises in high school and thinking that way my brother did in college, but I went to law school. And you thought you were going to go into politics be, you know, a leader in government. How far did you get on that path? That was program pretty early. I had studied in 91, 92 at Oxford. I came back and worked for the US Senator from Indiana, Dick Luger.

He was chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee at the time. We're denuclearizing Russia at the time. It was a pretty heady moment in time with senior statesmen, Rhodes Scholar, incredible human being, honored to work with him, stayed close with him. And so when I graduated from law school and I went to work for a big law firm, I got a call from Senator Luger asking me, I don't know, I must have been 26 or 27, if I had to accept an appointment as Deputy Secretary of State in Indiana.

Evan by who went on to become governor and senator from indiana started there so it's kind of a known launching pad into indiana politics so i i became deputy secretary of state and you know face to this fork in the road that i was either going to run for secretary of state or i was going to go try to make some money and i concluded having grown up around a family that struggle for money in fact my grandfather said we don't have money problems we have lack of money problems I've heard you talk about this before, is it fair to say that you didn't want to go raise money to run a political campaign? The idea of groveling for the rest of my career for money just didn't sit well with me. Kind of a loon, but somebody I admired was the 1991 campaign of Ross Perot.

and he spent tens of millions of his own money to go on television and kind of a goofy way with poster boards and rail against the national debt. And I thought, nobody owns this guy. And pro people forget he dropped out of the campaign three weeks before the election. And I think he still got 17 or 19% of the vote. He was an entrepreneur himself, right? He started EDS. EDS, yeah, electronic data systems.

And I wouldn't say I, you know, there's a lot about Ross Perl, I don't know, and it's not an endorsement of his politics, but it was. But seeing that. It's a reminder to me. It was like, okay, I can either shake a tin can for the rest of my life. But like others who came before me, I said, hey, I'll go back to business school. Maybe I can make, you know, a little bit of money. And so the plan was go back to HBS. How did you decide on wanting to go to HBS? Did somebody inspire you or encourage you to do that?

is slightly embarrassing story like I didn't really do much research I remember taking the you know the entrance exam like the last day scrambling to fill out the application in fact I didn't even finish the application because I ended up getting an interview and I remember the person who interviewed me said this is a unique situation I can't say that I've ever interviewed somebody who didn't have time to complete the application.

And so he started with why didn't you have to complete the application? Well, I'm deputy secretary. I just I decided late and I was I was working my ass off but I said now's the time and we went through it and so you know that's a different outcome to the same story for Warren Buffett of he wanted to go to Harvard Business School and he was so sure he was gonna get in he didn't complete the application was sure he was gonna get in of course he didn't get in And then he had a scramble and that's how he ended up at Columbia. And of course, the rest is history. When I was in high school, one of my first, you know, I worked and was going to school at the same time. And this was after this episode with my father and the part of Indiana that I'm from, they make all the RVs and conversion like vans in the country. So I ended up with a job as kind of the right hand little chief of staff go do anything. I asked of a guy named Pete legal.

Pete legal was starting a RV company and I worked for two years for Pete He had me doing everything, you know in the accounting department with the CFO You know out on the line helping to run purchasing for the Sierra RV line in 1987 Here's the interesting thing Pete went on to build the largest RV company in the world That he sold to Warren Buffett and Warren has written a lot in his annual letters about Pete who's just a legend of a human being was a great inspiration to me and it was funny because ultimately I became fond and friendly with Ted Wessler who works alongside Warren and we worked on some deals together and you know the world. We're gonna talk about a deal that you worked on together and just a little bit. Really came full circle.

I have the same personality characteristic that you do around an aversion to asking people for money and in fundraising for politics, I can see how that would be especially hard. I mean, you've raised, I think literally billions of dollars over the years for altimeter. What is it about the way that you fundraise now that hits differently in your psyche? You know, I had the feeling at the time and maybe it's just because at that point in time, I didn't believe in myself perhaps the way I believe in myself now but it felt like a very personal ask like give me money for my campaign you know now I am a steward I am a fiduciary on your behalf and I believe I'm gonna make you a lot of money and we have made a lot of money for our LPs and if you could see the letters we've received from university endowments from foundations from family offices and

the transformative things they outline that we allowed them to do free education dramatically more scholarships whether it's the environmental causes whether it's immigration causes whether it's intercity schools To me, I think there is the great causes I think as somebody else coined the phrase that we can work on behalf of in a way that's great for entrepreneurs, in a way that's great for our economy, and in a way that helps to really transform some underlying causes. So it's an easier ask for me because it doesn't feel quite so personal. And even though when you're running for office, it's in public service, it kind of felt to you more like, hey, do this thing for me and I can't

Totally see the ROI for you as a citizen, but what's kind of a problem if you can't see the ROI for you for giving me the money to invest like I think that's right. Listen I've gone on to raise a lot of money for people in politics To for a lot of other great causes. It's really easy for me to ask for others It's a more difficult ask when I'm a beneficiary of the ask and at 26 even with the It's not like you had the broad network to have so many people go ask on your behalf. Okay, so you get to HBS. You get hooked up with two guys at HBS, David and Joel, who would go on to start general catalyst. They themselves weren't people that you were like, oh, it's obvious, you're going to start a venture capital firm, right? Quite the opposite, but I love them both dearly. Let me rewind just a little bit before that. 1989, I really start getting enamored with email networks.

Working in Prodigy and following AOL and in the 90s really interested in investing 1996. I'm graduating from law school now my grandfather who I mentioned left me $25,000 when he passed away and I day traded that $25,000 to put myself through law school and business school and I took the series seven because I thought, man, maybe there's something these people know that I don't know. I want to know the dark secrets of the destiny. And then I realized, wow, none of these people know anything. That's the dark secret. Right. The dark secret is there is no secret. So 1996, when I'm graduating from law school, I also have this aha moment like so many people did within that skateboard browser.

And I said, this changes the game on this thing called the internet, which was just these computers talking and email networks and it felt wonky and inaccessible. And I remember gathering in the law school library, a group of my friends, including the guy sitting in there is now my general counsel. And I said, you gotta see this. So from 1996, then I go back work for this law firm.

We started getting litigation claims of people who are doing domain squatting in 1996. Well, nobody in this 600 person law firm knew anything about the internet or domains or anything else. So I raised my hand. I said, I'll take all of that. You know, I helped them build the firm website and I quickly became known as the internet guy, but I was thinking, so if I go back to business school, like, I've got to find my way to Silicon Valley.

When I was graduating from law school, I actually came out here because there was an innovative law firm out here called VLG, the venture law firm, that was taking equity stakes at the time for doing work for companies. So I literally got on a plane. I flew out here. The office was right next to the Rosewood, across the street. I just walked into their offices and said, hey, I'm looking for a job. Now they didn't have a job for me, but it started to demystify this place for me.

And business school was going to be my pivot, my off ramp to coming out here. So I go to business school in 1999. I mean, this is peak, this is peak peak, right? And, you know, McKenzie and Goldman couldn't get anybody to show up at their interviews at HBS in 1999. Because all your classmates are just so go-go, for every classmate is going to start a company, every classmate's going to work for a startup.

Consulting firms were, you know, being started that were internet-only. It was really an interesting moment time. Now, again, I'm day trading CMGI out of the back of my finance platform. Knowing that this thing's going to zero.

but I'm gonna ride it while I can. And is that like e-trade or how are you day trading at that point? We had Bloomberg terminals right outside the classroom. I had a fidelity account actually and I would do my research on the Bloomberg and then we'd place trades. Listen, I was.

what's known as a poet. I'm a lawyer from Indiana show up. I had never run a spreadsheet in my life. And I show up and I have all these guys who've worked for hedge funds, private equity firms, venture firms, Wall Street guys, investment bankers. And so all of a sudden I'm huddled around these machines with folks who knew a lot more than me. Is poet in finance the same thing as like a fish and poker? Exactly.

Let's put it this way. We were transitioning to taking exams on computers, and there were two of us who took our finance exam with a calculator and a pen, and the rest did it with a spreadsheet. I remember myself a classmate of mine who was a doctor, Chris Gilligan. And look at you now. Look at all those shows these computers back then. But I was held back on coming to Silicon Valley. 1999, I start coming out here.

I was enamored with a small little search company that I had started to, you know, run all my searches on called Google. A hot startup called Tell Me Run by Mike McQ. Oh, yeah. It was a voice recognition. And sold to ultimately sold to Microsoft. And so I was very focused on coming out here. One of my classmates who had eventually become my wife was very focused on staying in Boston. And I met David and Joel. And so I said, okay.

Maybe I can help start this venture firm, stay in Boston and see where it goes. So in 1999, 2000, we had a launch idea for the venture firm. So a launch company, if you will, which was an online travel concept.

It was called NLG, National Laser Group, and basically what we were trying to build was the infrastructure, think Shopify in some ways, the infrastructure that would power Expedia travelosity, Yahoo, others who were selling travel, they were selling air tickets, they were plugged into these global distribution systems, but there was no GDS for selling vacation packages, cruises and all these other things. So we said, let's go build the GDS effectively for that.

And we partnered with Softbank. We raised, must be 50 million bucks for that business. We bought a little business to give us kind of the kernel. We built a digital layer on top of it. And while the rest of the world was imploding, we found ourselves in a pretty enviable position. We built the business over a billion and gross bookings. Think had over a thousand employees at the peak and that was all like within a year, right? That was within 18 months because again, it worked. Like people were actually buying this stuff online.

Right, and we're plugging into existing pools of demand. We weren't going out and having to create demand. So, Expedia launches, you know, a cruiser vacation package booking engine. And the next day, a lot of people are actually buying it. And we're kind of the Shopify, if you will, inside. And so, Rich Barton, who ran Expedia, said, hey, we want to buy the business. And then we ran into Dara Kosher Shahi, who is running M&A for Barry Diller at the time. And he said, you know, I want to buy the business and to be clear, this is pre IAC buying Expedia. So these are two completely different entities bidding against each other for your company. Correct. And I said to Dara, well, we're already having an interested party that we're talking to. And so he goes, well, let me talk to Barry and so he talks to him. And they come back and he said, well, who is it? And I said, well, I can't tell you that, but it's one of the big online travel players. And he goes, well, I think Barry wants to buy them too.

And that's ultimately what went down between October of 2000 and May of 2001. We put together a deal where USA Networks would be renamed IAC, but both NLG and Expedia. Oh, those were concurrent? Concurrent deals. Announce together. I remember being in the back of a limousine in Hollywood on my way to...

Barry Diller's house with Rich Barton, and we looked at each other in a strange world. How'd we end up here? This was the beginning of Barry transforming from a media guy into a media and technology guy and building ISC. Yeah, it was USA Networks and it became ISC. Why would say two things about that real quickly? First, Barry was early to understand transactional commerce through a screen.

because of home shopping network because of home shopping network. He also acquired ticket master and he also acquired an asset called 1-800 hotels and he also acquired some catalogs and what they all had in common was transaction, you know, they were all e-commerce based business models and they were through various mediums the biggest being home shopping network which is through television. So for him to squint a little bit and to see how all these transactions were going to move to the internet was not that difficult.

And the commerce engine, the commerce flywheel that was flying the fastest for him was 1-800 hotels that he would rename hotels.com. So he was doing extraordinarily well in travel, understood that that would be a big category of online commerce. And I remember very distinctly him talking about commerce through all the screens. And that was in 1999, 2000 before most people saw it.

I think this is such an important thing to realize about the .com bubble, because everyone looks back at it and makes jokes. But the consumer behavior was there. It was an objectively better way to transact in all these different mediums. And the bubble burst because it was a speculative asset bubble. And capital went away if you didn't have a business model. But for those who did and who could, you know, be free cash flow positive.

This is where all the demand was going and that never went away, right? Could you feel that in the moment of like people still want to do this as long as I can't say that I did you know like I was really worried about you know, you got to remember The size of the bubble bursting the change in risk premiums Right, and then the events of September 11th 2001 they were also compressed. It's the fog of war, right? I think about all we Really new for sure is this internet thing wasn't going away they're gonna be real businesses build around it But it was very unclear when you would have the capital required to build the businesses where the capital was going to come from You know and in hindsight it seems pretty simple But I would say 2001 2002-2003 turned out to be a gift But that's a slog right when you're going through it. Yep

I look at business models today that have negative unit economics, negative gross margins, raising money at super high valuations. I have post-traumatic stress from that period because if you are a high burn business with negative unit economics and you fly into a world where risk premiums change, it doesn't matter how good you are.

you cease to exist, right? And they will change eventually. I mean, that's the thing that just look at what's happened over the course of the last eight weeks, right? Growth multiples are down 50% risk premiums have changed dramatically. There are a lot of businesses that are in the category I just described that aren't going to make it. So the natural thing to decide after all this is that you're going to go be a public market investor. Great. And this is a part of why we wanted to. It's a great story. But also like what Altimeter ultimately becomes and this you know you guys I think are maybe the peers play example certainly one of the first if not the first life cycle investor You know, it was just not at all obvious that you should go join a hedge fund at this point, right? Like how did that happen? Yeah, I mean, so there's a little bit more in between you know, so September 11th happens, which is you know really catastrophic event particularly for our company that was an online travel company

And so we negotiated kind of the soft landing with IAC. I won't take you through all the trials and tribulations, but it was a good outcome for general catalyst. I thought I was going to go back and join David and Joel. I knew they were too extraordinarily special human beings and they were going to build something really big, but I had kind of been bitten by the startup bug, a friend named Bejo Samaya, who now runs light speed in India and Southeast Asia had an idea and it effectively was Think of Yelp, pre-yelp. And so, Bayesian, I started this business. We bootstrapped it, had a bunch of venture capital terms. She's for a variety of reasons, didn't take them. And we sold that business a couple years later to a public company in Seattle. And again, in the first transaction, I worked really hard at NLG. And I think I walked away after being the CEO and helped me put the deal together with a million dollars, which for poor kid from Indiana.

That was game changing, but by Silicon Valley standards today, people would be like, you know, are you, are you clueless? There was a lot of work that went into that. The second business I started with beige, I think I owned 40% of the business when we sold it. That was four or five X the outcome. And then when I thought about what I wanted to do, I had two competing ideas. One was another operating business. Like, if you're an entrepreneur, you have these ideas, you have to get them out of your crawl.

But what I really thought that I was better suited for was investing. And a person who made this clear to me was Rich Barton. And Rich, one day set me down. He said, I don't think you're a great entrepreneur. And I said, Rich, that's so insulting. Why? And he said, especially from Rich, like, he keeps it real. And he said, you know, being an entrepreneur is the art of the possible. Right. You have to will things into existence.

And he said, you know, you constantly think about what can go wrong. When you're an entrepreneur, oftentimes you have to suspend disbelief and just think about what can go right. And he said, but as an investor, investors think about distribution of probabilities, not possibilities. And he's like, I've always, you know, kind of observed you like your training as a lawyer, how you think as an investor, like you're going to make a great investor. And so I was like, you know what, he's right. And the best investment business model, right, is kind of this venture capital hedge fund business model. I thought there was going to be a lot of disruption occurring that business model. So this business model, this venture capital hedge fund business model, until what you and now several others have done, that was not a business model. There were two completely different types of business. I'll hit that in just a second. But I wanted to start a business and I said, I will start, you know, I think I can build a better version of this model.

At the time, if you really rewind the clock, Warren Buffett, I don't know what year it was, 1955 when he started his hedge fund, he did both publics and privates, right? He didn't distinguish, he just sought out great investments.

Paul Reader, who started part capital, was doing private investments before Brad Gersner showed up. Seth Claremann at Bell Post was doing private investments, you know, before we coined the term crossover, right? David Abrams embossed. So I had a lot of legendary investors I looked up to that they never thought of the world in crossover, but they thought the world, you know, there wasn't this artificial constraint that I can only invest if you're pre IPO or your post IPO. What do private investments mean to them?

Did it mean what we think of or did it mean something else? Well, I would say for them private investing was maybe buying auto dealerships or newspapers or textile companies or whatever the case may be and as you know and value investing which was really the rage of that couple of decades was I'm going to find a company with a bunch of free cash flow. I'm going to use that free cash flow to go invest in things that actually have higher returning characteristics.

Paul invested in that first company, NLG. He was on the board. We got to know each other quite well. He saw me day trading in companies like Priceline. And he thought, this is interesting. And a CEO who actually is also an investor. So, you know, I remember him saying to me, you ought to come work with me someday. And so after we saw that company open list, I showed up and I said, Hey, I want to come work with you.

I can run the technology part of the business. You don't have a technology business. I'll build a technology business, both public and VC, which is consistent with historically what you've done. And I said, if I like the business, I'm going to start my own. So you don't have to pay me. Make me an apprentice. All I ask.

is that we have lunch together every day and you teach me the hedge fund business. Yeah, you'd made a, you know, a couple million dollars at this point. So I mean, I didn't have a lot of money. But again, like, did he take you on that deal? He said, Oh, great. You can, you can quote, quote, quote, work here with and I won't pay you. You know, the funny thing is he did say kind of come a premise. Yeah. And I think I was two weeks in and he said, this is ridiculous. He said, Okay, I'm going to pay you. You're going to do this.

And I will say it was one of the most extraordinary mentor, mentee, you know, journeys over the course of the next two and a half years. He's a legend. He doesn't get the credit he deserves. And he gave me the autonomy to on the public side, you know, go invest in my entire book in Google and price line and, you know, a couple great companies and then to go make some venture capital investments like leading the series.

You know, be in Zillow and I remember at the time thinking this is so easy. You know, I had such deep conviction in Google and I didn't have to have this highly diversified book. And if it went down, Paul would come into the office and say, what do you think? I'd say, buy more. I'm heading to yoga. Right? It was just like, and so, but we had a really great run together.

I didn't realize that that was with Paul when you led the series B in Zillow, because you were a Zillow board member from that point on for quite a long time. Did you stay on the board of Zillow, sort of as an independent even after leaving Paul's firm and starting ultimately? No, I left the board. I don't know if it was exactly contemporaneous to that, but about that time. By the end of 2000, I mean, listen, I learned so much from Paul.

All kidding aside, the idea of portfolio management, risk management, it Paul didn't call it essentialism, but, you know, running a simplified, concentrated portfolio around your best ideas was something that I absolutely, I may have been constitutionally predisposed to believe that anyway, but we were just very symbiotic and are thinking about how to manage portfolios. He couldn't have been more supportive, and so I learned through some pretty heady times with him.

And then by the end of 2007, I kind of said to him, I think I want to do my own thing. You let the series be in Zillow as a crossover hedge fund. The idea of crossover existed, as you said, in not necessarily in tech and other domains, but also in tech with TCV and others.

They were not leading series b's in companies that like that was a series B at that point in time is what ten fifteen million dollars is not a fifty or a hundred yeah that's right i think i'm trying to think that the check size we may have put in twenty to thirty million bucks and if i recall is a couple hundred million dollar valuation Listen to his credit and another O.G. J. Hogue who started T.C.V. was already in Zillow by the time I came in to Zillow, right? We came in in the A with Ben Spartan. Maybe it's the nomenclature. I don't know if one was the seed and an A and a B, but those were the first three rounds of institutional capital. And J had a relationship with Rich from his days at Expedia. I obviously had a relationship with Rich. We knew he was a special entrepreneur. I knew Bill.

as well and so there's a big idea it was a special collection of people out of Expedia led by rich and Lloyd but I remember at the time talking to Jay about you know like technology crossover you are the guy you know to do you know crossover and I remember him dancing this is what I like that's the winning model like that's really the winning model now I was coming out at you know with a more I think clear idea of public pool of capital and venture pool of capital. T-C-V had evolved into almost more of a later stage venture firm that held some public positions, but didn't have a hedge fund per se. So I think I had a slightly different view, but credit where credit is due. Their vision for where the world was going was ahead of their time. Okay, so it's 2008. It's end of 2007 beginning 2008. You tell Paul you're gonna

Yeah, go out on your own. You just keep nailing this time. Yeah, you're just really. The whole world's going go go and just in case. I wish I was nailing. I got married at the end of 07. We had our first child on June 3rd of 2008. Remember, you know, the world cracks. We're shown in August 2007. Like whenever you look at these stock refs, they look at like they're generally stable. But man, the number of days have lost sleep. But I remember saying to Michelle, You know, we didn't have that much money. We were living in a few thousand square foot, kind of subterranean apartment in Boston. We were having our first child. And it's clear the world was getting tougher by the summer of 2008. And I said, I think I'm starting, you know, I'm gonna start my own firm with a tell Paul. And let's just say that when you're nursing a baby in September of 2008, October 2008, I have CMBC on.

Like, you just want to find the waste basket to get sick in. And I'm launching with no money. Because you had a bunch of commitments and they dried up. Right. So at the end of 07, you know, the track record had been good. And, you know, so I talked to some university endowments, foundations, and I didn't know this world at all. Like, I didn't know the world of LPs at all. But I talked to a few people and they're like, hey, we'll give you some money. And so I thought I was going to launch with 100 to 200 million bucks.

but it was clear by September, October, 2008, people thought the financial world might be over forever. And it's hard now. It's been a good century or two. It's hard now to put ourselves back in those shoes, but when you think people thought, Lehman, Morgan Stanley, Goldman set, we're all going to collapse. And nobody knew the contagion effects of that. Nobody knew the impact on the dollar. Nobody knew the impact. The thought was it was going to be a very deeper...

depression, and so it's interesting just to put in the mind of the founder. People say to me, oh, you picked a really great time to launch. I can assure you. I was saying it, no, like, like, sarcastically. It's a, I mean, it was, in fact, one of my advisors who runs a big hedge fund. What's a big hedge fund to you? He ran a multi-billion dollar hedge fund at the time. And I just had an informal group of advisors, and he said, you've made a huge mistake.

go back to Paul and see if he'll give you your job back. And don't do this, right? And because I had organized my life in a really humble way, I didn't need money. And I had started a few other companies. And when I started them, I started them basically from scratch. I knew what it felt like. I knew that feeling, that founder feeling on day one, it was just exciting and terrifying. And I was like, I got this. Like the horse has left the barn.

I'm doing this. And to Paul's credit, Paul was like, you got this. And he had started par with less than $3 million in the SNL crisis in 1991. And I had a road map. And I had a mentor who believed. And I had a clear vision as to where I was going to go. And I knew I was going to do it for a really long time. And you also had about $3 million if our research is right. Yeah, I think on my day one investors.

Not to out them, but Paul was one of them. My brother was one of them. Now, my brother, my brother, oldest brother is about 15 years older than me. The side note is, he's an architect. He had saved his entire life a million bucks. Like worked, I don't know how many years, 15 years to save a million bucks or something. And he invested it all in a hedge fund. I don't know why I laugh. Put it in a hedge fund in LA. And the guy stole.

All 200 million of this money. Oh my God. So my brother literally worked 15 years. Oh my God. His life savings went down the drain. He scrambled together another half million bucks. And he said, I'm giving it to you to invest. And I was like, I was like, I don't know if I can take this. I remember we're in a hike in LA. And he said, I know you're going to do great with it. And I said, well, here's the thing I promise you. I may lose it all naturally, but I won't steal it.

I can happily say less than a decade later he was retired and it had worked out fabulous for him. What is it with your family and risk? Essentially gone bankrupt, a couple to not you, but your dad, your brother. The thing with her family is we're incredibly close, we support each other, even including my father.

He was famous. He would have given you the shirt off his back and, you know, to know that you have those folks. And so like, you know, again, I don't want to make it seem overly heroic. We launched with very little money. The first trade I placed was, and this is all, just for his, just for his, his all.

We launched on November 1st, 2008. The first trade I made was into price line at $42 a share. Which of course became booking after it. Yeah. Later bought booking and booking. I bought booking in 2004, 2005. But you know, that $42. People probably didn't recognize yet what a monster that was. $42 a share. I still owned it when it hit $2,000 a share.

and teach a class at Columbia Business School on it and you know, securities analysis class on, you know, Graham and Dodd class on kind of like, what did people miss and what, you know, what did we see? But at any rate, you know, that was the start. I will say that when we launched, I wanted to be in Silicon Valley, but I was in Boston because I had no, no dough. And at the time, people who had invested in co-mingled funds, because remember, by the end of 2007, everybody was starting to put privates in their public vehicles. I remember, for example, the Bill Miller of Legmatian famously invested in Zillow in 2006 or 2007. And then in 2008 sold all those shares back to the company because everybody was unwinding their private positions. And so when LP's found themselves overly illiquid in 2008,

So I know that is not how not to do cross over by 2008. They were like, we do not want privates in public funds, huh? Right. So I had the vision, but it wasn't clear how that was going to be executed because people really, you know, cross over fund, combing gold fund, public private fund. That was a bad, you know, those were bad phrases in the fall of 2008. Why was it by 2007 that people?

had started adding these private companies to hedge fund portfolios. So the observation I had, probably in 2004-2005, was, and I was a securities lawyer by training. I worked on around a bunch of IPOs. Maybe that helped, but companies, the private markets are becoming way deeper, way more liquid. Companies are going to...

Scale faster because the internet provides a network upon which they can scale. And they're going to stay private longer because they're deeper pools of private capital. And we've made it more difficult for them to go public post-2000, okay? And then certainly post-2008, correct. And TCV was there, Chase had started Tiger, Philippe had started Co2. So we started to see examples of hedge funds that were really smartly, I think, starting to do some private investing and I thought I want to build the best crossover fund in the world that's based in Silicon Valley built by a founder right and I thought that was my differentiator right that I had a network in Silicon Valley you know most of the other hedge funds were in New York or Boston most of them were stockpickers not founders and so I thought I can do this you know in a way that's really more empathetic and

more closely aligned with founders like true venture but they could scale all the way into the public markets and so it was delayed in 2008 because nobody wanted combing old funds but by 2010 we got off we had a great start in 2008 2009 2010 and by 2010 people are like okay now we'll let you you know start to undertake your vision. And so 2011 we started putting together the first dedicated pool of capital of 2012. I moved to Silicon Valley and that first dedicated pool of capital dedicated for venture investing. Right. So so so we had a public pool of capital which was long short technology effectively. We also became pretty well known for doing a lot of travel related investments.

But in that pool of capital, we could also do a certain amount of private investing. But we realized that for the venture and growth opportunities that we saw, we needed a longer duration pool of capital. The strategy makes sense and history has obviously shown that. But yeah, how do you trade off like if you're running a public book, you probably want to be pretty close to fully invested. For privates, you need dry powder. How do you solve that? Is that by raising these dedicated pools?

Like any entrepreneur founder, right? You have to see some market changes that give an opening for a new entrant, right? Because the incumbents have advantages, right? And so I believed that the very nature, the three things that I mentioned, IPO is harder to do, company scaling faster, deeper private pools of capital. But I also believe that that was going to lead to the industrialization of venture, right? That this thing, like the winners were going to look different than the previous generation.

And this was an industry that was only a generation or two old venture capital venture capital. Yeah. And so we needed a long duration pool of capital. We needed a product that suited our public market investors. So we raised that first pool of capital. Now when I raised it, there was the requisite level of skepticism. Like how, you know, how do you think you're going to compete with Sequoia? How are you going to compete with Cliner? How are you going to compete? And we made very clear that.

I thought that the business building journey that started in that first institutional raise was different than what we intended to do. I raised a lot of money, three different companies as a founder. If it's two or three raises per company or more and think 30 firms, you talk to to get one term sheet. You knew hundreds of venture firms at this point. And had deep relationships with people who we had made money together.

So I assume your answer to that question of how you're going to compete with Sequoia at that moment in time was we're not. You're not. Okay. So remember just these venerable early stage firms, you know, Mike Spicer and Jim White and the team over at Sutter Hill and my friends at Benchmark and friends at Sequoia, interestingly enough, and Dresan. I remember March of 2009, Allen and company conference, Arizona. They're getting ready for Fund One, right?

So, the market bottomed, not in 2008, on March 9th, 2009, and we were all at the Allen and Allen conference. Was this before after they did Skype? This was well before. And I remember sitting at a table with my little pitch deck.

And I looked at a table next to me and it was Mark and Ben with their picture. And let's just say they scaled much, much faster. But yeah, we were both there at the same time. You know, they had a vision, which was a brilliant vision for the industrialization of venture, for how they were going to change venture. And, you know, they've done it extraordinarily well. Well, fast forward to today. Your two firms are about roughly.

same equal order magnitude. The AUM may be in a similar territory, but the firms are very different. We can get to that in a little bit, but they've done it around here. I see 30 people. That is a very different 30 versus 350. And today's a full company. But we raised that first pool in 2012 is basically passing the hat. We had made good money for our LPs, passed the hat around the table. I was the biggest LP in that fund.

by a long shot, because I wanted to get it, you know, upwards of a hundred million bucks. But that first fund, I think I had six investments. And that fund, I don't think we will possibly have a return profile. That fund, it definitely is up there in terms of, in terms of great returning funds. When you led the snowflake round, do you remember what the share price was? I don't remember what the exact share price was. I think the enterprise value at the time was somewhere around $175 million.

Okay, so that was 2012. Well, the fund was 2000 vintage 2012 2013. I think I'm not sure when that first round is snowflake. Yeah, it might have been 14. But that moment in time, did you have some insight that you felt nobody else had at that moment? Or was it the right time? Like how? A few things. Number one, I did have confidence that, you know, I was a decent investor, right? So.

We worked really hard. We're blue collar. There's different ways to prosecute the strategy. I think there's some people who work the cocktail circuit. And we really were students of anthropologists about where things were going and what was going to be big. And at the time, there was a lot of pessimism, frankly, about cloud computing. Salesforce had some quarters where they saw more deceleration than people thought.

And there were really these obstacles. One was the cost of computing the cloud versus the cost in a data center. But the big one was this perception that I'll never put my customers data in the cloud. It was really a security issue. Which then let's just review history. Everyone that decided that was not a tech company that they needed to maintain an on-prem data center got hacked in the customer data or lots of them and everyone who shifted to the cloud, do we really trust Microsoft and Amazon?

They're pretty good at that. That was a great decision. I had thousands of people working on security versus your data center at two consultants. But it was really the Sony hack, if you remember that. The Sony board hack, where I think it was Column Powell, if memory shows me correct, his email was hacked. And in his email was the target list for Salesforce's M&A.

activity. There was so much that came out. And so like that, all the snapchat stuff. All the stuff that got leaked. And so if you were a board member or you were a CEO, you immediately said, what if my email was hacked? And that was like a game-changing moment. But I would say for us, we had for all of cloud. For all of cloud. Our view was it was safer. And then it was only a matter of time.

before the cost and efficacy of, you know, kind of computing the things you could do in the cloud would be better. We were on the lookout. I would say one of the things that we were focused on at the time, and this has been a, I think, theme for us over the last decade. We have this view that not all software has created equal, right? Not all ARR has created equal. And if you rewind the clock to 2000, like the largest sector of software was databases.

In 2000, if you aggregate the total enterprise value of companies that were principally driving their revenue from databases, it's about a trillion dollars in market cap in 2000. So then if you fast forward and you say, well, every year we're producing more data than in all years of human history combined, it's got to find a home. We're only going to censor more of it in the build sensors to gather more data in the future. Where is that home going to be? And then I remember Bill Gates saying, Somebody asked him a question. I think his Meg Whitman asked him the question. You know, isn't all the interesting stuff done? And he said, Meg, like, do you realize how barbaric it is the way we make decisions? He said in the future, right, we will have all this data stored and machines will analyze the data and help us make better decisions about how to diagnose an illness, about how to educate a dyslexic child.

about how to maintain an aircraft's engine. It will all be decisions made by machines looking at data. We did have a strong view that the entire database market was going to be remade. It was going to be remade in the cloud.

purpose built for the cloud. And so for us, that infrastructure layer in the cloud, all the enablement that would be required in order to get enterprise in the cloud was something we focused on. I would say more than probably anybody else and that proved to be a rich thing. This is an interesting thing to talk about here because it's kind of a second pillar of altimeter. Like if I think about where you were first successful, it was really realizing that The internet is an amazing place to transact people want to transact there and they want to buy stuff and overwhelmingly They're originating that journey on Google and you sort of went down the list and said okay, what interesting businesses could people buy stuff from when they click through from Google Yes, and so you know, you've got Expedia you've got price line a lot of a lot of travel Amazon, but then there's this like second

I don't know if it's still an emerging thesis since you did Snowflake and the sort of mid-2013s. What was this? 2013? 2014? It's totally separate. It's this sort of like B2B, you know, we're going to need the rising tide to power all these businesses. Are there other sort of core pillars of areas where you look for where you're like, oh, this is, you know, multi-trillion dollar opportunity where we want to have several bets in the portfolio on that? Yeah. You know, one of the things you...

correctly identify, which is, I think that unless you have an architecture, unless you have, you know, unless you deconstruct what's going on in the world and try to understand the theme, the human behavior that's driving these events, then you just have a bunch of data points that are disconnected. And as an investor, our job is to look at these complex fact patterns and try to make sense out of them. So one of the things that was very clear to me in early 2000s is, you know, the internet is the most fabulous thing in the history of the world that connects all these people. It unleashes all this productivity, but it's chaotic. How the hell can you find anything? Right. And so those who could organize it. So if you think about that decade, that decade was the decade of search, horizontal and vertical search. Right. Booking.com was a vertical search company.

Kayak Vertical Search Company, Zillow Vertical Search Company, Google Horizontal Search Business, Baidu Horizontal Search Business, and then there were these e-commerce businesses that were the beneficiaries. They learned how to tuck into the underbelly of the discovery engines. That was an investable theme for a decade. Google's desktop search, I think, didn't go negative.

until 2012, maybe the fall of 2012. That's when there were fewer people searching on desktop on a year-over-year basis because people were switching to their mobile devices, okay? Which has a totally different entry point. 100%. So what as the anthropologist, what did we do in 2010? I said, whoa, this whole search thing is going to get disrupted by this phone thing. Now, I don't know exactly how this is going to go down, but like the way that we enter these phones, is not through search as our principal metaphor. And so then it became, how do I become one of these icons on the front of this iPhone? There was, as you recall, Facebook famously building an HTML5, not building an app.

I remember Facebook became our largest investment, 2012, when it went on the cover of barons at $17 a share, post IPO, because everybody said they'll never be able to monetize this. And if you did the work, and I remember being at Google's Ikegeist in Arizona at the time talking to all these CMOs, and they were like, oh my God, the sandbox for Facebook, like they're crushing it. Like this is going to monetize better, not worse, right? Mobile device, the stream on the mobile device.

targeting on mobile devices, you know, and so if you had a decade of search, you had to understand all search all the companies that benefited from being in the underbelly of search, the Yelps and TripAdvisors. By 2012, they had to be in your two hard bucket, right? Because their principle, they had it too easy. They acquired customers, millions of customers effectively for free.

And they monetized them out the back door. Well, the free game was over. Right. Right. It's famously hard to start an OTA these days because you're going to compete again to Expedia bidding on the traffic from Google. Good luck. Right. You know, then we started looking at who are going to be the beneficiaries of the switch to mobile. So that was an architectural change. And I think if you connected the dots, you probably, you know, you had some things go your way. Who were the winners? Who were the losers? Software was similarly situated. And so.

You know, we had been investing in software in and around software for a long time, but it really started getting interesting about that period of time because if you believed, do you mean like B2B SaaS when you say software like what specifically is interesting to you today? Yeah, or as you were starting to develop this thesis. Well, I mean if you just look at you said there's a trillion dollar enterprise market trillion dollars of annual enterprise spend spend and it's all going to shift right so like in investing A, you need these market dislocations, you need things changing, right, to create these opportunities for new entrance. But then the second thing was, you know, you asked a question, was it obvious or whatever in 2012, 2013? I mean, when David Cherry took over, you know, Mongo, I mean, it was famously hard for him to get that last private round of financing done at a billion dollars. And, you know, it had taken longer.

It was moving slower, but we looked at the product pipeline and we understood what the company was doing. It takes a long time for those companies to spin up, but when those developer communities get going, they're incredibly sticky. As Buffett has said, the best investments, you have to be non-consensus and right. The problem is, being non-consensus is most often wrong. Yeah, right. Consensus is consensus for a reason. And there's a zillion things in your life telling you, you should be uncomfortable or in pain when you're doing something non-consensus because you got all these smart people telling you you're wrong correct and if you're a founder of an investment firm those are oftentimes career ending decisions right and so you know think about this this is kind of fun one and we're doing something that's somewhat orthogonal to what the other folks are doing

You know, I won't mention the firm, but probably one of the best known firms, Silicon Valley, who passed on that round in Snowflake, you know, the partner said to me, like, I wouldn't do it and here's why. And we ended up doing it. And by the way, his argument was a good one. Like, it was pretty compelling at the time. One of the things we did in that story was over Christmas that year, we actually, we were aggregating a lot of data for our own hedge fund.

right so we were crawling web pages we were building like we had a data warehouse right and we punted you know Kevin who's my partner and was you know kind of a young analyst at the time computer scientists out of MIT said how about if over Christmas I'll replace our data warehouse with this you know a snowflake which was non-GA at the time Right, it was in beta with a couple companies. Wow. And so we did that and he's like, this is gonna win. Like, this is the winning arc. It's a good stuff. This is good stuff. Yeah. But he also wrote a bug report. Right, of like the 10 bugs he found on it. He sent this bug bashing report to the founders to Benoit and Terry. This is in the dictionary under how to win a deal. Yeah. And let's just say they said, no other investors done that.

Certainly no hedge fund. Yeah, exactly. Just to contextualize this for listeners because I know people think like, oh, Ben and David, they have like great investors on the show. And I'm sure they get into like, you know, they have some great investments just to throw out some numbers. I think that round you mentioned was at $175 million valuation. They IPO'd somewhere around $4.4 billion. And this trading in a window, anybody know what their market cap is ish today? 100 ish billion, I think. 100 ish billion. So.

The cool thing about what you're doing is you can hold for a long time, including what these things become public companies. I'll just say it so it's coming from me. I think snowflake is still over half or as at the end of last quarter was still over half of altimeters public position. It is unbelievable both from a returns perspective but from a conviction perspective to stick with founders with that sort of founder mentality and this longevity.

this long. I mean, I think that's the unique thing about this kind of capital platform. Yeah, so I'll say a couple of things. One is, you know, it was an extraordinary investment, but it's also just an extraordinary partnership, right? It's founding CEO Mike Spiser, Bob Muglia, Frank, Slutman, Mike Scarpelli. I mean, these are deep relationships that become really important friends. You work really hard through a lot of tough issues.

And when it's all said and done, the incremental dollar doesn't isn't going to change the answer. But working side-by-side and building something that, like, you're extraordinarily proud of, it's what motivates me. What I would say about that investment is for our venture investors. I don't know what it was at the peak, but, you know, I talked about two different pools of capital. On the venture side, those are 10-year funds. So, last year we distributed an extraordinary return and a game changing return for a lot of our partners.

But at the same time, on the public side, and personally, we think this is going to be a multi-year compounder. I think this company can be worth over $500 billion over the course of the next five to seven years. I think it will be extraordinary. And we have one of the best management teams in the business going against one of the biggest tams in the business and delivering a really beloved service. And so it's kind of a tragedy if you can't continue to participate in that. But you have to match, right?

That's not the bet that my the folks who invested in my venture capital firm made that I'm gonna hold this forever, right? And so you want to make sure that you match and you align the interest of the LPs in the product that they're buying with the duration and the nature of the investment that you're making and so, you know, listen, Sequoia's innovated, you know in a really interesting way around this permanent fund in this regard, we have a structure that allows us to continue to partner and compound and continue. I think you'll see more and more of this. Rewind the clock. I started investing in price line when it was less than a billion dollar enterprise value. Today, it's upwards of 130 billion. They went public or you could buy them in the public markets for less than a billion. That would never happen to them. Sales force went public at 850 million. Amazon, I think, was sub-500 million.

I wouldn't say never, say never. In fact, I hope that we start to see a return of earlier IPOs. It's great for the public. I think it's great for retail investors. I think it's great for companies. They need the discipline. Having companies running around with billions of dollars on their balance sheet and, you know, decacorn valuations and not the discipline of public markets, to me is not a great thing for the company, for the employees, for the founders.

It's not to say that they're that they're undisciplined, but this idea that you can't innovate in the public markets is nonsense, right? Jeff Bezos, innovated plenty in the public markets, Facebook in the public markets, you know, look at what Mark Benioff has done in the public markets. And so I think that the public markets not only is an important source of capital, but it provides source of discipline scarcity leads to ingenuity. I hope.

that one of the things, you know, we'll talk maybe a little bit about our capital markets business. But I hope one of the things that we bring back to the IPO market is that companies don't feel like they have to wait until they get to 100 million or 200 million or 500 million of revenue in order to go public, right? I mean, just look at the crypto market if you want to know the appetite of investing public to invest in speculative assets, right? And we used to allow retail investors and others like myself to put myself through business school investing in CMGI, right, before, you know, while it was still venture risk in terms of its orientation, but we've largely deprived the public markets of that today. And we may say that that makes it safer, but it also means that you're not going to see those 100x investments. So if you're, if you have a pool of capital, if you're an LP, or you're a GP, and you want to think about this, bite dance we invested in at $10 billion.

Okay. Today, it's marked somewhere between 350 billion to 500 billion depending on which crossover fund you look at. Imagine that. Over 300 billion dollars of value creation that goes to the Sequoias, the altimeters, the GAs, et cetera of the world. And no retail investor has access to that. That's not a level playing field. That's not a great outcome for folks.

Um, it's not to say that we should force companies to go public earlier, but we should reduce the friction, give them access to the capital markets and give retail investors the opportunity to participate in the upside of these companies. All right, listeners. Now is a great time to tell you about a longtime friend of the show, Vanta. AI has scrambled the whole security picture.

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Want to get your opinion on an interim moment back back to that first fund in the 2013-2014 feel free to argue with me on this But you said in fundraising. I'm not competing with Sequoia. I'm not competing with Excel and the like and you weren't They that's snowflake round that manga round those firms weren't leading those rounds in the intervening years Now of course they are and they're doing it in their own companies and that Part of is contributing to stay private longer and all this how did you think about those years and like you're you know you That first fund that's amazing, right? And then you saw of course you knew you had the the public a guys the co-tos and the tigers and the lake But then you saw the venture guys also coming into this space. How did you view the market at that? I mean listen what's happening is this happens in all markets, right the venture market is maturing I might

argue the venture market has over earned for many years, right? And so the market's going to become more efficient. It's going to be more competition with more competition. That means founders are going to have better access to capital. They're going to have more efficient markets. So it means they're going to be, you know, presumably get a better price, less delusion for the work that they do, which presumably is an incentive to invent more shit that's going to make the world a better place. So like, I'm down with being part of the competition.

that makes venture more efficient. Listen, I wasn't invited into the venture party. Right. There was a club out here on Sand Hill Road. But this club respects meritocracy. We come out here, we work really hard, and we add value to the companies. And if you do that over a long period of time, then I think you're going to have a shot at being part of this ecosystem. We collaborate as much as we compete.

Okay, and when we compete, we're gonna go at it. We're gonna lay out why we think we're the best partner for the company, but we're also going to collaborate. I know that what we're collectively doing makes America the best place on the planet to start a company, right? There is no vibrant. I mean, we talked to a bunch of your founders in preparation and they were like, it's wonderful. Like, this is, this is great. This is like the best thing. So I got, you know, rewind to my dad's story. Like, What if a venture capitalist had handed my dad $5 million, right? He wouldn't have lost the house, right? That's who we should encourage, the risk takers, the bold ones, the ones who get into the arena. And so I think it's an incredible honor to be able to do that. But at the same time, I don't think I'm entitled to be able to run the table on the crossover business model. Everybody is going to compete for these different rounds. My job, just like any other founder, entrepreneur's job,

is to build the best product. What is it that we do different for entrepreneurs than these other partners might do? Or how do we fit into this system? Let's not make that retortment. What is it that you do different than other? Right, and so I would say with total respect to all those others. First, I don't want to compete in that first round of institutional capital. You know why? Because Chaiton at Benchmark and Mike Spiser at Sutterhill or, you know, the folks at Sequoia, or the folks at, they do an incredible job. I mean, I started at GC, right? Like, I've been a day one founder. I know what that first two to three years of gestation looks like. And those firms, why does Andrews have 300 plus people? Because they really have built the infrastructure to help those early, you know, entrepreneurs win, same with benchmark. They're extraordinary. And that's...

Right, it makes sense. You say but that is a contrarian view today. Well, I would say like listen, the jury's out, you know, Tiger did, I don't know 70 or 80 series A's and you know, in the season in series A in the back half of last year. I have again, like Schlafer and Chase are great friends. Lots of respect for those guys. Ultimately entrepreneurs get to make the choice.

Right, and the story will be told down the line right are the entrepreneurs that take money from Rolloff or from Chate nor from Eric Visherio or from you know from Mike Spies or ultimately do they have a higher hit rate in terms of building successful and big outcomes the companies that take money from folks who Raise their hands and we're probably not going to be as value-add right? This is this is more a new or more just a source of capital. Yeah I think that Tigers building an extraordinary business. I just am, maybe I'm of the minority belief, that early stage venture, those first two to three years, is craft building. And we like to partner with founders who are wise enough to put around that early board table, people who have been through the trenches. And so that increases our probability of success and reduces, you know, we think the risk inherent. And so we come in and partner then at that stage. So you ask like, what is it that we do that special?

I think that altimeter has a founder's mentality. We have the empathy of an early stage founder or venture capitalist, but we have the scalability of capital. So some people I've heard say, hey, they bring the best of, you know, tiger but also the best of Sequoia. If we ever get that compliment and I think about our NPS among founders all the time, right? That's the highest compliment. That's what I want to do. We want to increase their probability of success and when we start moving in that direction, we want them to know that we're side by side with them on the important issues they face, recruiting a CFO, building their board, getting the company public, helping them raise capital, and that we'll be first in line to write the check. You're a reasonably concentrated portfolio, so it's kind of like the benchmark.

mantra, but applied to later stage. And that discernment ends up accruing value to companies because you have such a deep pool of capital. So like take a modern treasury, for example, it does show up as value to them in the way that they can communicate to their customers. Like, yeah, we're only four year old startup, but look, we're with altimeter. And you know, it doesn't mean that the capital in your fund is on their balance sheet, but because you do have a reasonably concentrated portfolio, that brand power actually can accrue to the company in a way that shows up to their customers. A couple of things. First, I would say that the level of concentration of portfolios, I think it's pretty consistent with the history of venture, right? Like the reality is if you don't have deals in your fund that on their own can return the fund, then you're probably overly diversified. If you're overly diversified, you're going to provide vintage returns.

which, you know, I'll just leave my money in the public markets, right? If all I'm gonna do is invest in, you know, the top 10, 15% of ventures gonna take 80 to 90% of the returns, okay? So yes, I am in the business of finding the best companies in the world and helping them succeed. I'm not in the business of taking the average of ventages and building a big fund around that. That's a different game, that's an asset gathering game, and it's not a game I find particularly fun. Not to mention, it's never been a great idea.

for more than one vintage to just be the median of all venture investing. That's not something you want to index. Listen, I think it depends what you're promising your LPs. I'm the largest LP in our hedge fund. I'm the largest LP in our venture funds. I'm only going to put my money into venture if I think I'm going to earn a superior return to having my money in a liquid security. If I didn't think I could beat the return on snowflake over the course of next decade, put all my money in snowflake and go, with my kids, right? But I actually think there's like a noble service being provided. I think we can deliver like radically superior returns. And so I would say it's not the concentration, right, that leads to that value add for those investors. It's because of modern treasury.

we help Demetri bring other investors to the table. We help them bring the CEOs of big banks to the table. We help them with recruiting. We're there during the high leverage moments in a company's history that can really help add fuel to the fire. You mentioned earlier, but talk to us about the capital markets business. That feels like something that, again, if I'm going to see if I'm at Demetri at Modern Charge, that's something that even as the early stage guys are adding Later stage operations like that you can really bring in a way and have for Roblox for plaid for so many you know others How did that start and what is that business? Well, I think it's you know, so I'm talking to a you know well-known venture capital firms

LP meeting tonight about capital markets. What's going on in the public markets? What does it mean for their venture portfolio, et cetera? That's just fundamentally different. On an IPO lawyer spent 20 years in the public markets, we've worked on, participated in over 100 IPOs when the equity syndicate desk at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley need to sell an IPO, they call us. They call along only. We've been in and around that market for a long time.

Bill Gurley and Rich Barton and I, going back 20 years, were fascinated with how inefficient that market was with Ms. Pricings in that market with, you know. It's just like when you step back and look at it, it's nice. Combricked and quest. We're innovating with, you know, the modified Dutch auction around the Google IPO. I mean, lots of fascinating stuff. So if you're just like, if you're a student of this game and you're an IPO lawyer like I was, like, you pay attention to it.

I helped build put on the direct list conference a couple years ago, which we've seen a lot of progress on. Again, just giving choice to entrepreneurs. At the end of the day, if there's competition for the bank IPO, the bank IPO will be better. Now there is. The direct list is an alternative for some companies, a better fit for some companies. The reason SPACs were interesting to me is if you really just close your eyes, it's just a third door into the public market.

and we go help you build a book. We help you price the security. We help you sell it to capital group and fidelity and TRO. All three of these things are the exact same exercise. You're selling 10% of your company. You hope to sell it to great public market investors and you hope with the least amount of pain and distraction to step into the public markets. Right? And so I think this innovation in the public markets is a, you know, a terrific thing for founders. It's fun to be a part of.

But last year we participated. We anchored direct lists like Roblox. We anchored IPOs like Confluent. We anchored our own IPO like Grab by way. I saw on the website. Yeah, you don't call it a SPAC. You call it the altimeter. Yeah, altimeter IPO. I mean, part of what we're trying to do is we're trying to demystify the transition to the public markets for CEOs and boards because frankly, I've done it over a hundred times, but most founders will do it one time in their life. Right. And they just don't want to mess it up. Like at that point, it's their baby, why am I earthly? Everything about the standard. Right. And again, you know, I think Coleman and Morgan Stanley is maybe where my friend Bill Gurley and I have slightly different religions on this. At the end of the day, this is really about pricing. And if we price these things efficiently in any three of these doors,

then they can be great outcomes for the company. If you have a bad sponsor, if you have a bad bank and an IPO and it goes poorly, then that's a busted process. If you have a bad sponsor and a SPAC and you shouldn't be public, that's just a busted process. If you try to take a company, if you try to direct list a company and you have a reference pricing round, it's too high for where the business adds, it's going to be a busted process.

We spend a lot of time. I hired Chris Conforty at a Goldman. He ran to the equity syndicate desk at Goldman, so he was the one selling all the IPOs for Goldman for a really long time. What we said we want to do is just as a value add for all the private companies that we talk to that we look at is to really be able to give them the inside scoop, right? Like we're not a bank, but we'll tell you all the dirty secrets.

Right? About a traditional IPO, a direct list, or a SPAC. You can't have credibility telling those secrets unless you've lived them, which we have in each of those doors. And now we can offer what I think is the best insights to these founders. And we have no economic finger in the scale because I can partner with you if you want to do a traditional IPO. Great. We can anchor it or just participate, direct list. We can anchor it or participate.

You know, you want to go, you want to partner with us and we'll build the book for you. Great. We'll do a spec. And there are different prototypes, right? Different archetypes for which each of those fit. And I think among the folks who are doing this, we probably, you know, might be first among equals in terms of our insights into how good public. That's the old mongerism, right? You show me the incentive and I'll show you the outcome. And in this case, you coming from the perspective of Hey, you realize when the banks are trying to sell an IPO, they come to me to buy the IPO. So having sat on that side of the table and not yet having an incentive, I can talk to you about how this would get marketed to me so you at least have that transparency. And then I can tell you how I want to play in that process and you can give me feedback and tell me where I belong in your process. Yeah, I think listen, I see it.

Banks are getting more efficient the direct list product like the competition is leading to more choice and better outcomes free markets a great thing All right listeners now is a great time to thank our longtime friend of the show service now if you are running a large enterprise AI agents are likely spread across every team and deploying them is no longer the hard part Yeah, the hard part is knowing what permissions they have, what employees are using them for, or what decisions AI is making. AI security for an enterprise at scale is not a small concern, like the risks are real. Exactly. And the challenge with AI is governing it, securing it, measuring it, and making sure that it actually delivers value. That is why ServiceNow built the AI Control Tower.

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So if you're trying to turn AI ambition into real business outcomes and make it work safely, securely at scale, go check out servicenow.com slash acquired and tell them that Ben and David sent you. Okay. So as we move into the kind of the analysis section here, there are two, we of course want to do grading and ask you to paint, you know, the, what is your, you know, when you go to bed at night and you dream, your best dream, seven A plus scenario for altimeter and three to five years versus, you know, a C minus of like, we survived.

We miss some stuff. We'll get to that. Maybe first, if you have thoughts on kind of like a bull versus bear case on the life cycle investor model. Yeah. And that probably leads into grading. What are the risks to like what you have pioneered and are doing? Yeah. Well, listen, I think that I certainly appreciate the credit as a pioneer. I don't think of myself as a pioneer. Like I said, in many ways, it's back to the future, right? Warren Buffett was my hero.

Hey, if you asked him, why do you do private investments? He'll say, I do great investments. He doesn't know he's not private versus public. In many ways, it's the LP community who wanted to put people in buckets. And so I think in order to generate alpha and above average returns, and probably the most competitive market in the world, you have to be extremely passionate. There are big sacrifices and trade-offs to be great in this business. And for me, if you said, Brad, you can only do public market investing, that wouldn't scratch my edge.

You said you can only do venture investing, that wouldn't scratch my edge. And so for me, it starts from the premise like, what do I want to do? What can I be most passionate doing? And the reason I think we attract some of the best analysts in the world is because most analysts don't want to leave their, you know, thinking cap at the IPO door, right? They're like, I spent all this time on this company and now you're telling me, I can't make any more money on it. I can't bet on it. I can't invest in it. Like, what's that about?

I think that the maturation of the venture growth business model is here to stay. We saw it in LBO. We saw it in private equity. That was a highly fragmented industry. You now have a handful of global platforms that are prosecuting that strategy. In venture, highly fragmented industry.

We're still in the middle of a lot of creative destruction. You got solo GPs attacking, you know, venerable early stage firms. You got a lot of firms that are vertically integrating upwards. You got hedge funds who all say this venture capital stuff is easy. I'm going to go do it. You know, at the end of the day, what I love about this business is there's a scoreboard, right? And the hedge fund, it's a painful scoreboard, right? It's like every day.

And in the venture business, there's a lack. But at the end of the day, your reputation among founders, I say two-sided marketplace, right? What's my NPS score among founders? And what's my NPS score among funders? The people who entrust me with their capital. And I get up every day thinking about, how do we build the best product for both of those folks? Because if we do, and we deliver the returns, then we have a great business that I actually think is serving a really important part of the capital process.

It's really interesting the analogy to, hey, totally agree. But the analogy to the LBO business and market, you're absolutely right. I mean, I remember coming up being an investment banking analyst, as you were starting altimeter in those same days.

The LBL market was vastly more fragmented than it is now, and it has consolidated around like some major, and there are niche players, and there's lots of strategies they can work. But yeah, we are. I hadn't quite thought about it. We are. I hadn't seen the same thing in venture. Right. And if you think about what's happened in the private equity LBL world, right, you have some global, now public platforms, their cost of capital goes down. And we've seen a compression in terms of returns, right, because the market got more efficient.

And as the market got more efficient, returns went down. What do I expect that will happen over the full arc of time and venture? We're going to compete away returns, and we've already witnessed it over the course of the last couple of years. But that just means...

The returns that go to the premium players, the players who truly see the best stuff, that truly convert the best stuff are going to be even more unique and the average return is going to be a much worse place to be for both LPs as well for the people prosecuting those strategies. So to me, and for the founders who are backed by those firms, right, too, I mean, because there is a, as we've been saying, talking often on this show, there is a brand.

Transfer and halo effect that happens in the venture markets for sure the signaling effect is is profoundly important and I think I think Probably underestimated which is amazing considering how high it's estimated I'm with you, but right right and and I think when you have the best partners not even even the best funds It's the best partners at the best funds who do things together repeatedly is because there's a shorthand around trust There's a shorthand around business building right the increases the probability of successful outcomes and the signaling of impact of that like I underestimate it as a founder I don't underestimate it now and so it's not to say that folks who take you know who bootstrap take solo GP you know take passive capital it's not to say they can't build big businesses right but I don't think that that makes it easier for them.

Right, at the end of the day, like I think, you know, I said go public earlier because having that discipline and that scarcity, right, having some great early business builders that see those different patterns, they create the conditions that I also think drive success. Well, and what's different now is you can go public early and you still have altimeter or benchmark or sequer, whoever as your shareholders, it's like, it's not like you have to check your hat at the door. Sure. I think we're in the early phases of industrialization.

you know, five years, how do I score myself? Our returns for our partners, right? Like we got to deliver excellent returns for our partners. I say to my team is our NPS score with founders higher or lower at the end of the year, right? That is really important to me, right? That's the durability of the brand. That's the love for the brand. You know, that's a software companies.

can increase revenue selling a shitty product with a aggressive sales force but ultimately that will not be a really valuable software company. You show me a software company where the product is flying off the shelves because the people on the other end really need and want the product and love the product. That company even has lower revenue deserves much higher multiple. I think the same is true when I think about our business and what we intend to deliver. I guess this is a segue as well to a bigger issue which is What is this all about? We are all part of one of the most fortunate systems at one of the most fortunate times in the history of modern capitalism. And I intend to use this platform to do things that matter. And I think founders care about that. And I think funders care about that because at the end of the day, helping some hedge fund guy make a little bit more money or some venture capitalist make a little bit more money is not what gets me up in the morning.

So I do think that the very essence of what we do, right, which is increasing the velocity of innovation, right, allowing Moderna. to build an mRNA technology that can help solve a pandemic, to transform the way software works so that that is the infrastructure that powers all discovery. Those things I think are intrinsically good, but increasingly what I see is people who are using these platforms to drive diversity, to use these platforms to tackle things like the Wealth Divide, which you know I care about with the Invest American Initiative that I've talked about.

The people who work here right I think if you went if you did a survey they would say you know I worked there because you know great brand fun love doing venture love doing public But we also care about like the impact of what we do and I'm lucky to be able to lead that I really want to talk to you about invest America cuz I think it's a fascinating concept and you you mentioned we we chatted about it when we were sort of preparing for this What is the idea there so rewind the clock?

I was definitely on the outside looking in. I was not part of the ownership society. I didn't know what stocks were. But all else being equal, I never really felt deprived. The Industrial Revolution in many ways was a great equalizer. My grandfather was a welder. He worked on the Manhattan Project. He was a brilliant guy, self-educated, red textbooks.

But he could earn a wage and save that allowed him to leave $25,000 for a grand kid who would go on to put himself through law school and business school. The technology revolution will have even more positive impact on humanity, but it naturally tends toward concentration. It is not an equalizer in terms of...

You know wealth so far as I can see and the data I think you know works against it doesn't seem to have played out that way because you think about it's logical right Mark Zuckerberg can have three or four billion customers first product even Carnegie and Rockefeller couldn't have billions software and then the inner on top of that kind of compounds that advantage and so you know to me you know the social contract that we're going to have to have is going to have to evolve And I think this country is better positioned to evolve that social contract than just about anyone. But part of it is first just making people feel that they're part of the game. And the start of COVID really drove this home for me because we had massive government intervention. I went on San BC on March 26th, the bottom. I remember once a year. It was going to be the bottom. Yeah, it was like an extraordinary day.

At the end of that day, I literally had grandmother's, fathers, doctors, lawyers, just email our website. Generic email saying, will you protect me? Will you take my money? Will you do this? There's just extraordinary fear in the world. And I'm from Indiana. Most of my friends didn't go to college in this small town. And what happened when the government intervened? Is the stock markets ripped? Okay, because the Fed went all in, Congress went all in.

But a lot of those my friends working in those RV and manufacturing plants were unemployed right lost their jobs and so we can't have a system where the owners win right because of the government intervening but we only have 30% of people who belong to the ownership society and that's the public stock market that's not even like accredited investors which is this tiny slice you're talking about earlier yeah small percentage of America that owns any equities right so A very simple idea that I floated Chimath and I were on CNBC. I've been thinking about it for a long time. I've abhorred the accredited investor laws for as long as I can remember because as a securities lawyer, you know, I remember studying securities law in law school and saying to myself, hold on. You mean to tell me that we've rigged the game so only rich people

can invest in the best company. We have to be protected, Brad. Right. And so like, what, what, what's this all about? I'd best it. Because the proxy for intelligence was money, right?

Jason Callacanis has talked about having an investor test, but I knew I knew take a loves that investor. I think he's on to something. I appreciate that on principle, he has the same, you know, allergic reaction. And maybe it's because he also grew up poor on the outside looking at him for those of us who did, right? You know, now that we're on the other side, we say we got to fix that, right? And so Set aside a credit investor, there's some ways we can attack that, but one way we get everybody into the game. Okay? We have, I think, seven million children born a year in the United States. If you gave every single one of them an Invest America account, so think of that as a Robin Hood account on their parents phone that would eventually be on their phone. And that shows up from the government. You get so security number, you get an Invest America account.

We fund the account based on means. If your parents make over $200,000 a year, maybe we put $100 bucks into the account, your parents can fund it up to $5,000. So it's like a FAFSA type. Right. If you're under a certain threshold, we put $5,000 in it. Okay? Can't take the money out. Compounds at 6-7% for, you know, 50 years, it's worth a million bucks. Okay? But much more importantly.

the behavioral psychology, the behavioral economist knows, the propensity of somebody who actually has a savings account and investment account, to save goes up dramatically, okay? So because you actually have a little snowball, you understand the law of compounding, right? So if we want to educate and include and make everybody feel like the system isn't rigged against them, then they actually have to be part of the game, right? We have a way to do this.

It doesn't cost a lot of money, right? In the scheme of things like this is less than $20 billion a year for the federal government. This is a drop in the bucket relative to trillion dollar stimulus plans, trillion dollars of defense spending. And this is a game changer.

Psychologically and otherwise for everybody in the system because now over a period of 20 years You've effectively gone from 30% of the people be in owners to a hundred percent of the people be in owners and I think that that's you know again I'm sure there are other great ideas Do you think but that's one Do you think it should be a discretionary account and people should be able to like a like an IRA or or a basket. Again, like, you know, what I intend to do when you're running for governor of Indiana. What I intend to do is to fund people right to push this idea forward. Okay. There will be a lot of debate. We've debated baby bonds for 30 years. And we've never done anything. A bond is so far as I can tell, right?

is spiritually connected, but it stuck in the old legacy of like the war bond, like it's safer. Therefore, we'll give you a bond, but it doesn't appreciate and the recipient doesn't learn much, right? And so hopefully we can harness the energy, the power, the lessons of that and make sure that every child in this country owns their tiny little slice of apple, of Walmart, of Tesla, of the future SpaceX, right? And I think if they do, Think of how elegant that Robinhood app is or your Schwab or your Fidelity app, you open it up and they see all of these names. They're tiny little ownership of all of these names and they see that grow over time. We know how often they'll be looking at those phones. We know how their parents will feel. What I would say is they can't take the money out, right? Until a long way down the line. Okay. That ensures a retirement program for basically everybody, but you can add

We could build a Jason accounts, right? You could stick a 529 side by side with that that they could pull out at college. I don't like the idea of a government program where we'll give you a little of this every year, right? Give me title and ownership Right to something this is mine, and then let me benefit from an innovation compound and benefit and be part of the system so that when you know, I have a I have two sons in fifth and seventh grade, right? They're both interested in investing. They both want Robinhood accounts. They both want all this. Now, I love asking for the Robinhood account is the new, I want my driver's license. But think about how privileged, right, that position is, right? We should have a standard curriculum in this country for six graders, where it starts, they walk into their math class or whatever the class is and they say, open your invest America account. Everybody's on the same page.

You teach six graders in an inner city school today about stocks. You may as well be teaching them Mandarin. They're not participants in the game, right? And so to me, you know, I talked to Seth Clarman from Balpost. He said, I'll write the curriculum, right? I'll take that curriculum. You know, I talk to David Solomon at Goldman, the folks at Schwab Fidelity, everybody sees this as a challenge. This is a simple, simple idea that we could get behind.

And literally in a single term could change over a period of a decade, the trajectory of every child born in this country. Well, what's kind of cool is like you've, I think you've basically already seen evidence that this works with Robinhood. You know, Robinhood is not a, people still had to have the means to put money into Robinhood and then decide to do it. But it activated so many people to become investors in America and around the world over the last couple of years.

That otherwise, you know, and some of those people will prove to not be good investors. Some of them will prove to be amazing investors. And some of this at listen, I mean, part of the challenge here is everybody says, oh, you're letting people invest in the stock market. What if it goes down? Well, so here's the deal. We have a hundred years of history, right? Owning your slice of America is a good bet as Warren Buffett likes to say, okay? So I don't know if it's going to go down in the first year or up in the first year. And it doesn't particularly matter to me.

I know if you give these kids a slice of America over a period of 40 or 50 years, it's going to be worth a hell of a lot more in the future than it is when they get it. But way more important is every day of their lives. They will feel like they belong to the system. They're not on the outside looking in. And the power of that psychologically to that child will dwarf the amount of money that's in that account. Brad, before we wrap here anything that you want to point listeners towards, or where could they find out more about you or altimeter on the internet. Yeah, I would say follow me at AltCap on Twitter. I encourage all of our analysts to be on Twitter. I think they're incredible brains and thought leaders and, you know, being online and sharing content. Like, I don't like to be a cheerleader on Twitter, but I do like and encourage our analysts to pressure test their ideas, right? Whether it's

you know, jamming talking about what's going on and, you know, in software or whether it's Vivek talking about what's going on and, you know, internet marketplaces are crypto or free to talking about what's going on in China. And so I think I always say to people, if they're interested, learn more about Altimeter, just follow this incredible group of analysts on Twitter. But all of this said, we're truly lucky, you know, to be doing what we do. You guys are doing this incredible podcast about founders and entrepreneurs. This is a rather new experiment.

in the history of the world. And I think it's yielded. You read the Bill Gates annual letter at the end of every year. And, you know, we live in the most peaceful, not withstanding Ukraine. We live in the most prosperous. We live in the healthiest period of time in the history of humanity. And, you know, one of the things that scares me is, you know, that people during periods like this, they'll turn against capitalism or they'll turn against...

you know, technology or the alternatives, whatever. But it's very clear to me, like, I'm going to fight for that and fight for those founders. And I think when we look back at this system in 10 years, it's going to be more vibrant, more capital, more access, more ideas. And I think the secular curve around creative destruction and innovation has never been steeper. And the ideas over the course of the next 10 years are going to dwarf the size of the ideas that emerged over the last 10. So super optimistic. And in a way, Ukraine, I think, is the for me at least helped remind me of that. Ben and I were talking at dinner last night that like, you know, the old saying that I think has become forgotten a little bit in recent years is that capitalism is terrible. Is the most terrible system except for every other system that has been tried in the history of human kind about democracy, but it definitely applies to capitalism too. Right. Well, I don't think it's the only thing, right? I don't think it's the only thing in life, but I think it's an enabler for everything.

You know, somebody reminded me the other day, Julian Roberts, and after an incredible track record in 1999, obviously got hit hard, money redeemed, and they said, you know, are you bummed to no longer be in the public markets? He was the founder of Tiger Management.

And apparently he's reported to have said, you know, I didn't want to die looking at a quote on my Bloomberg for the end anyway. So, you know, yes, in this firm and in my life, my friends, my family, my kids, there are a lot of things, you know, that resonate, you know, as more important. But I am a staunch defender.

of this beautiful system. I tell you, it's a hell of a lot better than having to mortgage your house. You think about the velocity and money. If the risk you run, if you start that auto parts company, you lose your health and you lose your house, there's not going to be a lot of risk taking. And risk taking is the engine that moves humanity forward. Business creation and experiments without personal guarantees are an incredible thing. And it's amazing that we have a system that actually allocates a big slice of capital to go toward that. But think about that. That's a modern experiment. I don't know. Modern capitalism has been around for five, six hundred years. That's a 30-year-old experiment. But you think about the impact that global sovereigns who are trying to effectively take fossil fuel dollars and turn them into technology dollars. We have more dollars moving into this. You mentioned we have very few people who have access to the private markets. I heard this statistic the other day.

You know, endowments and others have reaped the benefit, which makes me happy, but retail investors and the average investing public has not. A 1% increase in penetration of the retail investing public. Two alternatives, I heard it is a trillion dollars, like I haven't run the math myself, but it's an extraordinary number. And if you look at the retail channel, the accredited investor retail channel.

through Goldman, through Morgan Stanley, through these other aggregators, as a percentage of the fundraiser's foretiger, forecote to forealtimeter, it's going up dramatically relative to traditional LPs. And so we'll do another episode and we'll talk about how we're going to unshackle ourselves from the accredited investor rules. Would you ever consider a future for Altimeter where your LP capital is more directly from people? For sure, for sure. I mean, like, you know, our aspirations not to be the biggest but our aspiration is to have the scale to have the level of impact that we can to drive the highest MPS among founders and funders like we want to deliver for both of those folks in that network and I think it's inevitable that an increasing percentage of these dollars can and will and should come from willing retail investors who want exposure

to this incredible asset class. All right, listeners. Now is a great time to talk about one of our favorite companies, Statsig. Yes, there is a reason why the best product teams rely on Statsig, whether they are iterating on their core product features or shipping AI-powered experiences at scale. Yep. In the...

crazy speed of today's AI world. Shipping fast is just table stakes now. It's basically trivial to build and deploy your app constantly. The real advantage is how quickly you learn what changes actually created value for customers, and how fast you can use that signal to guide what you've shipped next. This is where Statsig comes in. It brings experimentation, feature flags, and product analytics into one unified system so teams can ship safely, test rigorously, and directly link what they changed to how users actually behaved.

So if you want to make learning your competitive advantage, whether you're building new AI experiences or just evolving your existing core product, go to statsig.com slash acquired to get started. All right, listeners. Hope you enjoyed our interview with Brad. He is, uh, he is unbelievable. I mean, what a journey the last 20 years have been for him, building altimeter and really helping us shape this industry. Totally. And personally, I'm pretty excited about his sort of idea with Invest America and we'll definitely be watching to see where that goes. Totally, totally. Well, listeners, to round us out, you know the drill, join us in the Slack, acquire.fm slash Slack. We're going to be talking about this episode and everything else. We've got the limited partner show where recently we've had awesome episodes with the folks from NCS Capital coming back to talk about the state of the markets.

David Christina Meilas Curiosi joined us to talk about FinTech. We've recorded two more episodes that we haven't dropped yet to the general public that are rolling out to paid acquired limited subscribers. And those folks can join at acquire.fm slash LP to get two weeks early access.

We've got a job board and some really great stuff on there. I just added a couple of the other day from Vanta after we got to spend time with them at their office, met their head of engineering, spent some time with the team. So really cool companies go check those out. And lastly, if you enjoyed this episode, share it with a friend. You don't need to shout super loud from social media hilltops. We like that high affinity one-to-one stuff.

Share it with a friend, think of someone that has kind of talked about some of these concepts with you and see if they'll take a listen and they might enjoy it just as much. With that, thank you so much to Vanta, Vouch and our friends at Softbank Latin America Fund and listeners. We will see you next time. We'll see you next time.

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