Acquired - Google Part II- Alphabet

0:00Are you intentionally wearing a black turtleneck for this one? No. It is actually going to be one of my carve outs though. Yeah, amazing. What do you think I dress up like Steve Jobs for a Google episode? Well, I thought because of the, you know, war between Android and that. I walk in and there's just like smirk on your face. All right, let's do it.

0:33Welcome to the summer 2025 season of acquired, the podcast about great companies and the stories and playbooks behind them. I'm Ben Gilbert, David Rosenball, and we are your hosts. In the late 1990s, Google built the best search engine for the rapidly growing internet with a breakthrough search algorithm, low cost servers based on commodity hardware and the best business model of all time.

1:00search ads, they turned that search engine into a cash gushing business and took it public in 2004. But then, curiously, they started doing some things that weren't related to search. They launched a breakthrough email service in your browser with Gmail, maps that were far superior to the current state of the art, docs and spreadsheets with real-time collaboration for the first time. Of course, YouTube then Android in their own web browser with Chrome.

1:26Estonishingly, today Google has 15 products with over half a billion users. Seven of those have over two billion users. David, that is over 25% of humans use seven of Google's products. Just unreal. Can't wait to tell all of these stories today. Yes.

1:46And they've also launched some colossal failures Google plus to try to compete with Facebook Google wave buzz and about half a dozen messaging apps I don't know maybe a dozen messaging apps over the years hot air balloons to provide wireless internet and of course all that I forgot about the hot air balloons Google glass Can't forget about that one unfortunately So why did they do all this? And as a business, Google was and still is the company that makes the vast majority of their money from ads on search results on the web. So today, we tell the story of Google as the innovation factory of the 2000s. Their reorganization into the parent company Alphabet and how all these different products cleverly serve different business purposes. And also how it feeds into Google's original core mission to organize the world's information.

2:37and we'll end this episode's story right at the dawn of the AI era. Oh, you're giving away the end. Oh, spoilers. Sorry. So is Google a search engine? Is it the platform company of the web era? Where's an incubator that just happens to have struck gold with search and perhaps AI? Today, we dive in. Listeners, if you want to know every time an episode drops or get early hints at what the next episode will be, check out our email list.

3:05That's also where we share corrections and updates about previous episodes and we are adding a new bonus. You get to help us vote on future episode topics. So the first poll is going out soon. Sign up now and acquired.fm slash email. Join the Slack. If you want to come talk about this with us and the whole acquired community acquired.fm slash Slack. So with that, this show is not investment advice. David and I may have investments in the companies we discuss and this show is for informational and entertainment purposes only.

3:35David, where are we starting this alphabet story? I have a very, very fun beginning for you, Ben. I want to start with a quote from Russ Haniman. The fictional character. Silicon Valley HBO show. Oh, yeah, from the TV show. Awesome. And the quote is, if you show revenue, people will ask how much and it will never be enough.

4:03The company that was the hundred exer, the thousand exer, is suddenly the two ex dog. But if you have no revenue, you can say you're pre-revenue. You're a potential pure play. It's not about how much you earn. It's about what you're worth and who's worth. The most companies that lose money. Immortal words of wisdom for the technology world. God, that show is so good. Why do I bring this off? Why do I start here? Why are you talking about this? Google is a cash gushing machine. Revenue is obviously not the problem.

4:33for Google. But what was the problem in 2004, 2005, 2006 was being viewed as in Russ's terms, peer play. When Google went public in fall of 2004, the stock shot up basically doubled in two months, Wall Street loved Google. Adwords, the search business model, everybody had to own shares. Google had cracked the code on monetizing the internet. The more people use the internet, the more they search, the more they search, the more money Google makes. Simple, easy, pure play, you might say. Yep. That is until Google announced fourth quarter 2005 earnings. Full year 2005 revenue, $6.1 billion. That's almost double the 3.1 that it was in 2004, the first year in public. But earnings are flat.

5:28profitability is down. Google's now investing in all these new products and services, Gmail maps, the forthcoming Google Docs. Later this year in 2006, we would buy YouTube for $1.6 billion. Wall Street hates this, hates it. This is a huge amount of their cash. They're putting back on the table and betting for the future. So, this January 2006, the stock falls 27%. Wall Street's like, God, these guys, what are they doing? They're messing it up.

5:58Stephen Levy writes in in theplex that the perception of Google's ventures beyond search at the time was that the company was tossing balls into the air like a drunken juggler. They were a pure play and investors eyes and now they're messing it up. They're adding all this other stuff. They don't want the other stuff. Yeah. So then Ben as you teed up in the intro, the question is why did they do all this? And I think the way to answer it is to start and just tell the stories of all the individual products. Let's do it. Strap in.

6:25I will say David doing the research took me way back to early acquired grading acquisitions. This is the cornucopia of hits of iconic product launches and tech history. So the first and probably the most important here because it sets the stage for everything else. The first major non-search product was on April 1st April Fool's Day 2004. Gmail the most famous infamous non-joke April Fool's Day announcement of all time. Yes.

6:55But it sure sounded like a joke. Here's the announcement in 2004. Entirely web based email in your browser. You can log in and access it anywhere on any device. Google search is built in. You don't need to spend all this time sorting your mail into folders anymore and one gigabyte of storage free. No need to delete your mail. No need to clean up your inbox. No need to do anything ever.

7:24The whole thing is free. Yep. Of course, this sounds like a joke. This is too good to be true. The universe at the time is Microsoft sells enterprise-grade mail for a lot of money, or there's all these free web-based services popping up, like Hotmail that Microsoft would end up buying, and Yahoo Mail and AOL. You get like five megabytes of storage. Yeah, not even at the time. Hotmail, which as he said, Microsoft owns had two megabytes of free storage. And Yahoo Mail had four megabytes. There's another great story from in the Blacks that Stephen Levy has. He's interviewing Bill Gates at the Newsweek headquarters office in New York shortly after Gmail comes out and they started talking about Gmail and Bill can't believe it. He's like offended by Gmail because he thinks that giving people all this storage is just wasteful.

8:18You're doing email wrong. It's morally repugnant to leave all of this email sitting on the servers. I was thinking about it until Gmail, the paradigm for email, people treated it like regular physical mail. Sort it. You file away the important stuff. You throw out the pieces. You don't need anymore. I mean, even freaking Bill Gates operates this way. Yes. So Gmail, this is radical. This is a radical notion of how email should work. And It was also correct. I mean, if you sat and you thought about it in, say, 2001 or so, when Gmail starts getting worked on with Google, and you thought about the combination of the growth of the internet, which obviously Google as a front row seat to and Moore's law, you would logically come to this conclusion that the cost of sending and storing and searching email would asymptotically go to zero. And thus, as that happened, a whole lot more email was going to be sent.

9:17in the world. Yep. So can I tell you my understanding of where this story starts in 1996? Oh, I was going to go back to 1999, but yeah, go for it. All right. So I know you're about to bring up the name Paul Buchite. Is that right? Of course. Yeah. So Paul was kind enough to speak with me before recording this episode, Paul famously the inventor of Gmail. In 1996, Paul was a student at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, which You may also know this, David, famously was one of the first campuses in the nation to have broadband internet in the dorms and all over campus. Oh, okay, I do about the Paul fascination with webmail starting in college, but I didn't realize the case Western had broadband. So this is why when you're living in the universe of broadband everywhere, he was living like 15 years in the future temporarily for four years in college. Yeah, 1996. Yes. So.

10:14He realizes email is kind of a bummer if it's a thing that you download and lives on your computer. The information should just exist at my fingertips all the time. Bits are becoming free to move around. So he kind of gets obsessed with this idea in college that email should exist on the web in a browser without ever having to download it. And he builds a prototype for web mail when he's in college. Wow.

10:44In 2001, famously pre-IPO at Google, Larry Page feels like Google is moving a little bit too slow and gets rid of all engineering managers. So Larry and Wayne Rosen, who is leading engineering, go and meet with each engineer individually to talk about ideas that they could work on. This tells you so much about Googleliness, but it also tells you a lot about the caliber of the engineers they were hiring at the time, where they would just approach them and say, what ideas are you thinking about? Here's some ideas we have. Can you just full stack on this product entirely yourself. And so in Paul's meeting, they knew about his previous interest in email and web base mail and they sort of float this amorphous idea to him. And that's where it comes from. Oh, so Larry and Wayne suggested it to him. Interesting. Okay, so here's some other stuff that Paul said. So part of the motivation was that they were looking to make something that would make Google stickier.

11:38So you'd have sort of this ongoing relationship for if there was a next Google after Google there was some reason why you would still have a relationship. Which obviously you know Yahoo would have for many many years even though there was a next Yahoo after Yahoo and Google. We still get emails from people with Yahoo Mills. Do you know how Paul found out about Google in 1999? Oh no.

11:59slash dot. Really? That's awesome. And then he sends an email to jobsatgoogle.com. Unbelievable. Fitting that he gets hired with an email. Hey, okay. So 2001, Paul gets to work with encouragement from Larry and win. Do you know what the original seed of the code is? Oh, no, go for it. Google had just bought a company called Dejan News, their first acquisition. It was the corpus of all the old news net posts.

12:28Oh, yeah, and then this becomes Google groups, right? That's exactly right. Yeah, Paul's working on that. And part of that was a feature to do real time indexing of all the posts that would allow you to search the whole corpus. So Paul just applies that to his own personal inbox. The first instantiation of this is just a search box to search his personal Unix mail directory as if it is the old use net posts that they had just bought. That's the first version of Gmail.

12:57Amazing. As he's building on that though, obviously like the first thing he needs is a web for an interface. Okay, hotmail's out there. Yahoo, mail's out there. Webmail's out there. It sucks. It sucks for a lot of reasons. There's got to be a way to make it better. Make it more performant and better to use as a web page. And so he's playing around with JavaScript and what he can do with JavaScript to make this application, this web application of email better.

13:24The history of JavaScript is fascinating. Brendan Eich created it at NetScape back in 1995. We did a whole episode with Brendan years ago about this. The idea behind JavaScript was to include a programming language as part of web browsers so that people could make dynamic web pages instead of just static HTML documents. The problem was it was kind of this casualty of the browser wars with Microsoft and Internet Explorer and everything that killed.

13:50Netscape and so up until this time kind of 2001 JavaScript existed, but like it wasn't super popular. It wasn't very powerful. You could do weird stuff like animate something on the page, but I would describe it as toy like and not a real programming language for sure. Yep. And for what the web was up until that point time, you didn't really need it. Static web pages are kind of fine for most of what's happened. I mean, even Google.com was static type of search into the search box. Google servers process the query and they send you a whole new.

14:19static web page with the results. But you'd imagine for doing something like email on the web or any application on the web, you don't want the site to reload every time you open a new email or you create a draft or you move something around in folders. You might want to move from a website to a world of web applications. Yeah. But this is how Hotmail and Yahoo Mail worked. Every time you took an action, it reloaded the page and so they were super slow. Yes. It's a pause like maybe I can use JavaScript to make this better. He's working on it and he discovers a little known feature of JavaScript called the XML HTTP request, which lets a web page fetch automatically new XML data from a server without reloading the page. I'm puzzling, oh my god, this is gold. And this is the birth of Ajax, asynchronous JavaScript and XML.

15:18So David, I assumed you were going to go here. I thought that you'd get it all laid up. You've been letting me go. You've just been feeding me a rope the whole time. You're trying to tell me that Gmail is the first Ajax application? Well, the first widely adopted around the world. That's fair to say. It's sort of set the bar for what dynamic web 2.0 you might say websites could be. Yes. The origin of the XML HTTB request is a part of Internet Explorer, first implemented by Microsoft and used in this part of Outlook called Outlook Web Access. I think I did know this. When I worked for my high school, I could log in on any computer into my Outlook.

15:59through their web access. And that thing used Ajax. And I think it only worked in Internet Explorer. So that is the origin of why this API exists in the first place, ironically for another male client. Oh, not just for another male client. It's so deeply ironic that this originated for a Microsoft male client. Yes. We're going to get deep into that in just a minute here. Yes. So I mean, when Paul discovers this, this is almost like Google search all over again when people realize what you can do to create something that looks and feels and has all the functionality of a application that here too for would have been a program that you installed on your personal computer. A.exe or a.app on your Mac. That maybe you downloaded from the internet but more likely you went to a retail shop like CompUSA or something installed on your computer. You can now just do this in a web browser. This is incredible. The web is the platform in the future.

16:58Yep, so Paul builds the prototype shows it's a Larry and Sergey. They're super jazzed. So supposedly Larry and Sergey become the first beta users of Gmail. They are the seed Gmail users and they start using it exclusively as their mail service within Google. And then by the time it launches publicly, all of Google is on Gmail and using it addicted to it. And it wasn't called this at the time, but it's in the cloud.

17:27have to have your mail stored on your machine or a specific server you can log in, access it anywhere on any network, any device. All this stuff sounds so boring, but it was completely breakthrough. So obviously, Larry and Sergey are jazzed first because of just the incredible nature of this product. And Larry especially, he is a product person. And his view is if we can build a better product and it's on the web, then it's good for Google and we should do it. And that is a huge part of the motivation underlying Gmail.

17:55everything we're going to talk about. But there's also another reason. And that's Microsoft. Because Google was doing great printing money, ad words, search, greatest product, greatest business of all time. But they've got a big risk, which is that everything about Google, everything about the web right now, flows through Microsoft, flows through Internet Explorer.

18:21Yeah, Google's entire money printing machine was built on top of Microsoft's and at two layers. So to this point, over 90% of Google search queries were done on Windows PCs. And 90% were done in Internet Explorer running on those PCs. So Google's got the killer app for the web in search. And the thing under them is a browser owned by Microsoft. And the thing under that is an operating system owned by Microsoft. Yes.

18:48They exist at the pleasure of Microsoft at this point in history. And Microsoft has a different business model. So Google's business model, the greatest of all time, is people use Google Search. They discover more the web. They spend more time online on these new sites and services that they're discovering. As they're spending more time online, they search more, searching more leads them to discover even more new sites and services. The cycle repeats itself and Google just monetizes the whole thing. Yes.

19:17Web usage isn't bad for Microsoft, but if the platform of the next generation becomes the web, and people are writing web applications, instead of Windows applications, that makes Microsoft's platform a lot less valuable versus other operating systems like, say, Mac, or say, a future where we change away from desktop computers altogether. Yes. At a minimum, Microsoft doesn't business model-wise care about the web.

19:45because they don't monetize the web. Microsoft makes money by OEM selling PCs that have windows on them. And then Microsoft sells software that goes on those PCs. So at a minimum, they don't care. And at a maximum, like you're saying, web apps are at an existential risk to Microsoft. Oh my God, there's a future application platform that just doesn't really require our participation. Other than the fact that we control IE, and at least for now, that's really important.

20:14And most Microsoft hasn't realized this yet. Thank God for Google. Microsoft's distracted with the Albatross that was longhorned that would become Windows Vista. Yes. A few people in Microsoft realized this, but Google for sure realizes this, though. Eric Schmidt for Double Shore realizes it because he was the CEO of Novel before coming to Google and who is Novel's competitor, Microsoft. And Microsoft crushed them. So why Google so jazzed about Gmail, they need to build up leverage.

20:44with consumers, with users, that they're going to demand rich web applications so that if Microsoft ever tries to disadvantage Google or disadvantage web apps and things moving to the web, really the only defense against that is if consumers have already adopted this stuff and love it and would revolt. And so this is what Gmail is. Yes. So Gmail development is tracking along through 2001, 2002, 2003. This is hard to remember. Now it took three years.

21:13to develop Gmail. Long development cycle. Yeah. To be ready to release publicly and then it was in beta for like 10 years. Yeah. But I think the reason it took so long was this was all new. There wasn't a lot of depth and knowledge out there about JavaScript. Certainly not about Ajax and XML dynamic refreshing. It was really hard to program. Today, you've got all these nice abstraction layers. These frameworks that people have built to do web development. That really didn't exist to make Ajax applications. Yes.

21:43Okay, so Google's finally getting ready to launch it. We're in 2004. There's a couple questions. One, the service. For all the reasons we just described, Google, Larry, Sergei, Eric, they want it to be so compelling that consumers demanded it. It takes off like wildfire. It builds this strategic mode against Microsoft, but it will cost money. There's a reason other people don't do this. Yeah, there's a reason that a gigabyte of free storage seems a little crazy.

22:11Even if you assume, and I think this is probably directionally correct, that because of Google's commodity infrastructure advantage, they could launch Gmail at like one tenth of the cost that anybody else could. Also, remember, there's no public cloud at this point in time. So you'd have to go build your own data center to do this. You can't just launch on AWS. There is no AWS. But even assume that Google has a 90% cost advantage on the infrastructure side, The state of the yard is other competitors are offering four megabytes of free storage. Google is going to offer a gig. Sure, knock that down by 90% but the effective cost is still 100 megabytes. So how do you get around being flooded with costs and infrastructure demand when you launch it? They come up with the invite system. Yes. And this is so brilliant. I actually don't know if it was designed as this sort of prestigious.

23:05growth strategy thing that it became. Anyone got any Gmail invites? Please, I'll do anything. Yeah. Yeah, please, please, please. Or if it was truly because of the infrastructure cost, either way, it's just brilliant. When they launched it on April 1, 2004, they send out 1000 seed invites to Gmail. It's a private, invite-only internet service. They send them out to influencers, you know, the term didn't exist back in the day, but influential people and journalists.

23:34And then each user has a set number of invites that they can give to other users to invite their friends. And it was low. It was like five or something. And then it wasn't clear when they would top back up, but you'd give out your five. And then at some point you'd come in and you'd have five more. You'd have three more. It was like super dynamic and very clearly whatever Google felt like they could give away from their servers at the moment. Yeah. But it was so brilliant. It made it feel like you're in this special world of people in the know that it's super incentivized viral word of mouth growth because I'm telling you, it's a gigabyte of free storage. It's this incredible service. They're selling on eBay for 150 bucks. There was a monetary value to these. Yes, yes, they were trading on eBay for average price of 150 bucks in the early days. And so I'm giving you this gift. Incredible. And look, everybody wants this, but you need to have the product quality that caches the check.

24:32Yes, it needs to be a real gift. Right. And it was. It was just better. It wasn't just something I'd sign out for and then churn and be like, cool, I locked in my username or whatever. It was something that you actually used every day or in the words of Larry Page past the toothbrush test. It was a part of your daily habit, something you do once or twice a day. I wish I could only refresh Gmail once or twice a day. So David, was this the first software that used a wait list like this because obviously it's become very popular since. I think so. So that's how they take care of the cost side of the equation is not running out of control is the invite strategy. Well, still not making any money though. That's question number two. How are we going to make money from this thing? Cause yeah, okay, there's all these strategic reasons to do it, but I'll increase more traffic on the web time spent. People search more will make more money indirectly, but they still don't really know that. So I think, okay, we need a

25:28monetization strategy baked into the product itself. Yes. Well, how do you make money from anything at Google? This actually came up during development. So even in the prototyping phase, Paul logs into the database of ads, which is just funny that at that point in time, Google's got this big database of ads. Right. Yeah. I'm just going to access the ads database, you know, all of them. Yes. And these are the ads that would run when you searched and landed on a search results page.

25:54And so he decided to do content matching against your inbox and just show those ads on the page next to your email. And even though they weren't meant for that, it actually turned out that these search ads were pretty relevant. It actually was a decent ad to be showing you while you're looking at your inbox about similar topics. So he just rolls this out. Even though all these people in Google are actually using it as their mail client at the time, people were pissed. I mean, people are like, are you looking at my emails?

26:22You know, all the things that would then sort of come later in the public actually happened inside Google first, but Larry and Sergei loved it. They were like, oh, this is so obviously the answer. Interestingly, this experiment predates AdSense. So Google has the display ad offering for website publishers that's called AdSense that's different than AdWords, which is the keyword advertisements on a search results page.

26:47AdSense hasn't launched yet, and there's sort of multiple versions of history here. How much credit for AdSense does Gmail get in discovering this? But it is safe to say that the idea of display ads that are content matched against your Gmail did contribute to the idea for the first version of AdSense, which are essentially the same thing. Content matched ads just on a publisher website instead of the content of your inbox. So the product launch is publicly April 2004, as you would expect, people go nuts. It is truly a revolutionary product. Gmail grows over the next 20 years from that 1,000 initial public beta user seed base to over 2 billion today. And it's still by far the best email service. Even if you use another front end for your email, for your Gmail Lake Superhuman or whatnot today, you still want Gmail on the back end, at least as a consumer.

27:46Yes. So once Gmail starts to take off, Larry and Sergey and Eric see this and they're like, wow, we should do this a lot. Let's go. Let's build as many web applications as we possibly can imagine. What else can go into the browser that we didn't think was possible before? This fires on every single.

28:15Syllinder for us. Most importantly, grow the web. Grow usage. You grow the web. You grow time that people spend in web browsers. They will search more. We will make more money. And beyond that, with some of these products, like Gmail, we can monetize the products themselves. Great. Two, we are building our strategic mode against Microsoft, the faster that we get the internet using public.

28:45to fall in love with and use web applications, the less and less leverage Microsoft has over us. To use sort of Ben Thompson speak, Google realizes the web can become the point of integration. Maybe the OS isn't what the whole universe has to target. The hardware makers, the OEMs, the application makers, the users, if applications start living in the browser, then the web can become the point of integration. Users just need a browser and OEMs just need an operating system that can access the browser. And what's so great for Google because of their business model, sure, it's great when they build and own and operate and run and monetize web applications themselves, like they do with Gmail, like they'll do with maps, like they'll do with docs, like they'll do with YouTube, but we're about to talk about. But if they don't, it doesn't matter as long as anybody does it. Right. They just need to be wind at the back of web adoption. Yes. So that leads to a whole flood.

29:44of Google, web products, and services to come. All right, listeners. Now is a great time to talk about a new partner of ours here on Acquired, LaGoura, the agentic operating system that is redefining how the world's best legal teams work.

30:00Yup, it's sort of obvious that AI is going to completely change the legal industry. I bet most of you listening have dropped a contract into some sort of AI chatbot out there. Lugora took that insight and asked the question, what if you really built something with that power from the ground up for the legal industry? So the founders did exactly what great founders do, operate with obsessive customer focus. They embedded inside a massive law firm.

30:27for months. They sat with the lawyers just watching how the work really gets done. And that's how you get features that customers love, like tabular review, where you drop in a folder of hundreds of contracts and it pulls every key term into a grid a lawyer can actually work with. Legora's bed here is interesting. Since it lets each lawyer handle more complexity, any given person can increase the quality of their work and do higher value work. And this means that the pie can grow even as each individual task takes less time.

30:56And they recently launched LaGora agent offering greater intelligence and performance. The agent lets lawyers set an objective. Then it can handle the planning and the execution and delivery of the final product. Legal teams get to maintain full control and transparency since they're still involved where judgment is required. And LaGora works where you already work. You can use it within Microsoft Word while redlining or drafting. The early LaGora numbers essentially speak for themselves when they have a head-to-head pilot with their top competitor they win 70% of the time LaGora now has over a hundred thousand lawyers on the platform from 1200 legal teams in 50 countries and crazily they went from one million to a hundred million in ARR in about 18 months truly insane numbers and that is the real test

31:48Plenty of things demo well, but the question is whether a busy associate actually reaches for it during crunch time or whether a partner trusts it before going into a conversation with a major client. If your legal team wants to check it out, whether you're a law firm or you're in house at a company, you can learn more at logora.com slash acquired and just tell them that Ben and David sent you. All right, David. So Gmail, we've got our existence proof of a AJAX-based web apps go in viral. People love it. We can really build web applications now. Let's go nuts. Yes. So the next big web apps following Gmail were maps, docs, and spreadsheets. All absolutely incredible. And it was not clear that these things were possible with web technologies. These required incredible technical and product vision.

32:44So, first maps, we actually did a whole acquired episode back in the day just about Google Maps. The three companies they acquired? Yeah. It starts in 2003, so even before the Gmail launch, when a young associate product manager, APM, a Google named Brett Taylor, that Brett Taylor, Of course, of ACQ-2 fame, Brett Taylor. Yes, recent ACQ-2 guest, Brett Taylor. Oh yeah, also, Friend Feed Founder, Facebook, CTO, Co-C of Salesforce, Chairman of OpenAI, former Chairman of Twitter. Yeah, yeah, that Brett Taylor starts his career out of Stanford in 2003 as an Associate Product Manager at Google. He ends up going to Larry and is like, we're missing out here.

33:33AOL has map quest, which they've just bought for a billion dollars. And I'm hearing through the grapevine that Yahoo is about to make a big push and launch Yahoo maps. And so as you would expect Larry's like, oh yeah, well, okay, this is a web product. Yes, of course, go do this for all these.

33:53things we're studying here. There's a business rationale, which might be extremely indirect, but it's there. This idea of increasing web use increases Google search, which increases the money printer. But then there's also an abstract rationale, which is our mission is to organize the world's information and make it universally accessible and useful. And maps is squarely in the middle of that. Yeah. Now, the thing was, as big as map quest and Yahoo maps were about to become at the time and they were big. I remember using them. My parents used everybody on the internet use these services. They weren't what you think of as Google Maps today. They were static web pages. They didn't use HX and the whole point was to get driving directions. That you could print out. Exactly. And the business model for these services was on the printed piece of paper that people would print out. You would put ads on there. Yep.

34:51It's like a Troton Horse newspaper business. Right. So Bret and Larry and Ressa are looking at this. I think we can do better than this. So they go out and they buy a little company in Australia called Where To Technologies, which was started by these two brothers, Lars and Jens Rasmussen, who were incredible engineers. And they had built a real time interactive Maps application, except it was a install desktop app. And so they're meeting with them and Larry's like, okay, this is what we want, but we needed on the web. I think actually the quote was, we like the web at Google. And this is how good of engineers, the Rasmussen's were. They go off in, and I think three weeks, they rewrite and re-architect the entire application to run

35:50as a web app. And they basically independently discover and implement a lot of the JavaScript and Ajax features that Google was working on internally for Gmail. Gmail still hadn't launched yet. Amazing. So Google ends up buying where to that becomes the core of Google Maps. Around the same time, they also acquired two other companies ZipDash that did traffic data and Keyhole, which would become Google Earth. Now Google Earth was an installed desktop.

36:19application. Ultimately everything that Google Earth was building would get folded back into maps later. It's actually not true. I thought that and just last night I realized you can still go to earth.google.com and get a completely different 3D experience than Google Maps. Oh, no way. It's all in the web now. It's unbelievably powerful. So it is a web app, but it's separate than maps. Yes. I didn't know that. I got to check that out. It's amazing. That's awesome. Yes. Keyhole in Google Earth.

36:48I think is my favorite part of our first Google episode earlier this year that the whole thing ended up just being a Trojan horse downloader to get Google Toolbar installed on Internet Explorer on people's systems. They're organizing the world's information and making it universally accessible and useful, but also it comes with Google Toolbar. Yeah. The greatest distribution hack for Google search of all time. Yes. Anyway, back to Google Maps.

37:17Where to February 2005, Google Maps launches. People go nuts live, mapping, dynamic web application. Do you want to know my favorite Easter egg for the first day launch of Google Maps? I don't know if you know this. When you load it up, maps.google.com. Do you know what visually you saw? I have no recollection. You saw a great big ocean and North America. And then floating in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, you see the UK.

37:47And then there is nothing past it. They hadn't built it yet. They hadn't built it yet. Europe, Asia, Africa, not included. It's not even like it's off-limits. It looks like there's an ocean where Europe should be. How do you decide what the MVP is, the minimum viable product to ship on the map? It's amazing. All right, there's one more really important piece of maps, which is the next year in 2006.

38:17they released the API and this is what really kicks off the web 2.0 era. Gmail and JavaScript and Ajax had inspired developers out there for sure to make richer web apps and people were doing that. When Google releases the Maps API, this thing called mashups starts happening. Do you remember this? Absolutely. It's now super easy to grab Google Maps and build stuff.

38:46On top of it, it's really hot and this enables startups so like Zillow Uber eventually door dash Airbnb Think about all the companies that just couldn't exist without the Google Maps API. There was that whole web of geo-related companies to remember that era of mobile social, local, most so low. Oh, yeah, four square and go wild. Yeah, all this. All this existed because Google Maps existed. So back to Google's overall strategy here and adoption of web apps and sort of building this vote and defense against Microsoft. This is just incredible. I mean, here's Maps itself as a first class, rich web application that

39:33tens, eventually hundreds, today, billions, two billion plus users use and love every day. And now here's this API that's making it really easy to help other startups and other companies go build great web apps too. The lock-in just keeps getting deeper and deeper and deeper for the web. Yep. And at first, the API was notoriously free or very inexpensive at very high limits for a long time. That's different now.

40:01But for the longest time, it was just this is a part of the mission. So we're doing it and we'll figure out the business later as a very sort of founder driven thing. Now it's popular to create maps. I mean, Apple at some point flipped into doing it. And there's these sort of other third party companies and there's the open street maps and all this stuff. For the first five to maybe eight years, Google was kind of the only ones that had a passion for this and a willing to spend into the giant hole that you need to Create maps of the whole world. I mean is they incredibly hard data and engineering problem and you know They had to go draw all their own maps from scratch acquire the data figure out how to get fresh data all the time and create a crowdsourced crazy thing among Google Maps explorers or something like that all the people that would update these things this is a Extremely Google-y problem and a founder bet to be

40:55Like, nope, we're gonna go spend hundreds of billions of dollars on this. Drive cars around, taking pictures of everything, figure out how to not over share personal information on this, do it dynamically because you're capturing a huge amount. I mean, it's just, it's a wacky, wacky engineering problem that is daunting, and they took it on. Yep, and we're not gonna talk about this today, but put a pin in for the next episode is one of the most incredibly strategically valuable data assets for the AI era and specifically for self-driving cars. Yes. But today, Maps has over 2 billion active users this year. They don't break out revenue, but estimates are that Maps does well over 5 billion in revenue, maybe even 10 billion in revenue. The larger part of that is ads. You see recommended places to go around you all the time whenever you open Google Maps now that are sponsored ads just like on Google Search.

41:54And then the smaller part of that is from the API licensing, David, that you were talking about. But this is a real business for Google today. Yep. All right. Next ones that we got to talk about, docs and spreadsheets. So these aren't the biggest Google apps out there today. I think if you'd lump them all together into workspace and had drive, it is over a billion users. That whole suite is among their most used products. That whole we call it.

42:21Office? Office? Sweet? Is that what you would call it? Sounds like a office-type sweet. It's a good idea. Someone should do that. So docs and spreadsheets hit Microsoft right where it hurts. Office. So people have tried both before Google and after Google to compete with Microsoft in productivity forever. Word perfect. Lotus notes.

42:50Lotus 123, we talked all about that on our Microsoft episode. By the way, word perfect acquired by and run by novell, who was the CEO of novell, Eric Schmidt. Eric knows all about this. But here's what I will say, David. If you were starting on the foot of competing with Microsoft or trying to build a word processor or trying to build a spreadsheet, you would be doomed for failure. What Google was doing.

43:18was saying there is something that is uniquely possible with web applications and a jacks in this web 2.0 era for the first time and that thing is real time collaboration real time multi user collaboration. These were the first. I've tried to wreck my brain. I talked to sam shell as the founder of rightly which Google acquired which became Google docs he believes. These were the first.

43:47Real-time multi-user collaborative pieces of software in history. It just wasn't possible before the web. Yeah, Jonathan Rochelle, the founder of the company that would be acquired that would become Google spreadsheets, basically said the same thing. He said, comment was, we actually didn't know if it was possible to do this in the web. Google said, based on the success we're seeing with Gmail, I bet we could do actual spreadsheets in the browser with real-time collaboration. And when the sheets team came in, it was truly an open question of can we make it so that you and another person can party on the same very basic spreadsheet at the same time. Interesting. The docs team, so docs was an acquisition. It was a company called rightly that was founded by Sam and his two co-founders who were great programmers. They've worked together for many years. I used rightly before it became a... No way! You were like one of very few people who did that. Yeah. Because it was not an independent company for long. Product launched August 2005.

44:45Google bought the company March 2006. So you had about six-month window. But yeah, they built real-time collaborative word processing as a web app inspired by Gmail and everything that was going on at Google. The whole company started as, oh, for our next project, let's explore what we can do with JavaScript and Ajax and, oh, what would it be like if we put a word processor?

45:14on the web, they weren't actually even thinking about collaboration at first, but then as they were working on it together, they naturally started collaborating. Oh, this is the killer feature. That's funny. That's different than the spreadsheets team. Their whole thing at first was we're not going to make a better spreadsheet than Excel. So if we put it in the web, it has to be about sharing collaboration. Yep. And so to your earlier point, nobody can compete with Microsoft and productivity software one because they've been doing it so long, they had this feature wall of so many features that people needed to proprietary file formats. They had a network effect of the file format. You built your big model in Excel. Good luck. Other people need to be able to run it on their installed desktop applications. Good luck getting somebody to try downloading or buying a new piece of software and installing it on their machine. But three, I mean, the biggest by far, the enterprise agreement. This is

46:13Microsoft's whole entire business model. Right. You don't have to be best in breed in any specific thing. You just have to be a platform with everything. Yep. And IT department will buy it. And especially for productivity software, really all the money is in B2B and work applications. And so if IT departments are buying the Microsoft enterprise agreement, they're getting everything good luck unseeding Microsoft office. And I'm not sure you could do this as an independent business because think about how long Google went with these things before they were adopted by bigger companies. For the longest time, it was, oh, Google Doc, that's like a thing for either you use that for your personal life or maybe like a startup would use it, but even a medium-sized company, you can't be serious. Get out of here with that. And Google was basically able to subsidize it because they had a giant existing business. You are so right. Nobody except Google could do this for a whole bunch of reasons. One, you talk about subsidizing.

47:12Imagine trying to build this software as an independent company or really even as any other company. It would require a lot of infrastructure real-time multi-user collaboration in a web app. Gosh, that seems like really complicated server and backend infrastructure for Google. That's what they do. Running Docs and Sheets, the incremental load to Google's infrastructure was trivial compared to Search. They already had it built out. It was super cheap. Yeah.

47:42two, they don't need to make money from it. This is the big reason why nobody else could compete. Microsoft has all the dollars completely on lockdown because of the enterprise agreement. Big dollars. These small and medium businesses would of course pay for something, but those dollars don't add up to be nearly as big. Right. Exactly. Google, though, that's fine. Microsoft can keep all the dollars all we care about is people use the web. And in this instance, particularly with office and productivity, really this is about putting the screws to Microsoft a little bit and distracting them. And from Google's point of view, this is a cheap distraction. If this gets Microsoft all spun up, Microsoft is now all of a sudden getting asked all the time, what's your web strategy for office? When are you going to add collaboration toward an Excel, et cetera, et cetera? They don't have any answers. I literally worked on this. My internship was at Microsoft and I worked on

48:41adding headers and footers to the Microsoft Word web app. We were porting the Windows code to have perfect document fidelity to the web. So when you looked on the web and then printed from the web, the document will be laid out pixel for pixel character for character, exactly how it would look on the printed page. When you have that requirement, that is a hard, hard engineering task. And it's still not as good as Google docs. All right.

49:10I love it that this launched your technology career. Yes. Amazing. But yeah, from Google's perspective, this is amazing. Microsoft is now forced to bring their crown jewels to the web, which they don't want to do and bend to your point because they have to make it look and feel and function exactly like the installed desktop apps. This is going to take them a long time and be a big investment. Fantastic.

49:37And no matter what it's going to be more complicated because with Google, since it's all free, there's no licensing. Someone just shares a Google Doc with you. If you have permission to view it, you view it. With Microsoft, I remember at first it was sort of antithetical. It was like, but what if I haven't bought Word? Can I just use Word for free in the web then? Right. Is Microsoft okay with that? Am I going to hit some weird usage tier? Like what? So it's confusing for users. It forces the company to think about pricing and packaging. It was a masterstroke by Google. Yep. So fast forward to today. It's hard to get.

50:05real actual apples to apples data on. Google workspace versus Microsoft office users but basically the way to think about the market is that. Google has the vast majority of users and usage of productivity software. And Microsoft still has the vast majority of dollars. And that's fine. Google's super happy about that. Is that true that there's more active users of Google workspace than there is of office. Yeah, I mean, I think if you look at.

50:35users of docs or sheets or slides. It's in the billion, niche 500 million, billion range for each of those office. I think has a couple hundred million users worldwide. Whoa. Yeah, that's crazy. I didn't realize that pretty wild, right? But to my point about the dollars, so Microsoft's productivity and business process.

51:03segment, which is mostly office. I think LinkedIn is now part of this too. Last year generated over $120 billion in revenue. Google reports workspace as part of the cloud segment. So all of cloud, inclusive of their infrastructure as a service, all the AI infrastructure, all that. The whole cloud segment for Google last year did about $50 billion in revenue less than 50.

51:32So Microsoft's productivity segment, 120, office is the big piece. And that's high margin revenue. High margin revenue. Google's office products are some small portion of a $50 billion revenue segment. So yeah, Microsoft still got all the money. Yes. Google's got all the users and everybody's happy. But you're so right. Everyone is happy. Does exactly what Google wants. Yeah. And ultimately today, Microsoft is fine with this arrangement too. The ultimate fun code of though is Samsung.

52:02Founder of rightly he would go on to manage it all of docs and sheets and I think he actually managed maps at some point to he is now the deputy CTO of Microsoft careers are long amazing the interesting thing reflecting on Google's actual business here and comparing it against all the things that we're talking about Google essentially one search by the mid late two thousand's I mean I know being hasn't even launched yet and we'll get to that but search was going to continue becoming a more and more giant market. And so all this stuff they're doing, it's like, oh, we've won. And this market is naturally going to become large. I guess let's just fuel it, getting larger and try to do a bunch of stuff under the umbrella of our mission. But what do we really need to do? And the slightly more altruistic answer, I suspect if Larry Page was sitting next to us, he would say, what is the goal of a company? The goal of a company isn't build the largest.

52:58business necessarily. It's to fulfill its mission. And yeah, we got a money printing machine from search, and we're investing a lot of money still in search and making that better. But all these things fulfill our mission too. Yep. And I think these things are all true. Yes. So on the back of the success of maps, docs, spreadsheets, really starts to inform Google's strategy here. And specifically, they've seen, hey, we can acquire these.

53:27web app web 2.0 companies bring them into Google turbo charge them offer these magical experiences to consumers we get all this strategic value out of them both on the offensive and defensive front we can operate these things at a fraction of the expense that it would cost anyone else to do so stand alone company or part of other big companies and some of the things we could buy actually fit into our core ads business quite well yeah What if we went big with this, like really big? Like something super expensive to run that requires storage of massive videos and bandwidth for streaming these massive videos and lawsuit protection? Yep, probably also costs a lot to buy it because it's well-funded from Sequoia. That leads us to YouTube.

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56:11All right, David, the YouTube story. The Big Kahuna. The Big Kahuna. The most embarrassing thing in acquired history was our early episode on YouTube. All right, I have got a proposal for you. Okay, I'm ready for it. You want to take it out of the feed? Delete it? Today, we're setting the record straight. When we finish this section, we are re-grading YouTube.

56:36updating the acquired Canon, it's happening. Oh, let's do it. We're bringing grading back, baby. Great. I'm glad you're in there. I love it. I love it. Awesome. All right. YouTube 2003. So same time frame is everything we're talking about here. Gmail hasn't even launched yet. Google starts working on Google video. And the idea is that there's a lot of information in video. And thus it fits Google's mission. Then as you were saying earlier.

57:05And also, well, there's just so much more advertising dollars in TV than anywhere else in the global economy. To this point in time, TV was the bulk of ad spend. Yep. If you go look at some of the old Mary Meeker internet trends decks, remember from this time period, and you look at the share of global ad dollars spent on TV versus any other category, it's just so much bigger than anything else. David, I am so glad you did this. We are brothers. I did the exact same thing to try to tee this up. Amazing. I have the stats in front of me. For listeners, digital advertising, you know, Google's universe would not eclipse TV until 2017, 2018. Wow. So almost 15 years in the future from when we're talking about here in 2003. Yes.

58:03That is the wildest thing that TV was bigger than digital for that long. Mary Meeker famously had this point that she made every single year that the attention was all in the digital economy, but there was this gap. And the ad monetization hadn't caught up yet. And it took all the way till 2018 for the flip to finally happen where digital overtook television. Thanks to you. Yes. And Facebook and Meta TikTok and etc.

58:31and the rest of Google too. I know, I know. So this Google video project actually came out of the ads org. It didn't come out of engineering and the rest of the product. Oh, really? Product org. Yeah, it was motivated by, hey, there's a lot of money in TV. And of course, this fits the mission. There's a lot of information in video. We should totally do this. Here's how Larry describes it.

58:56Google video was first launched in 2005 as a search service for television content because TV closed captioning made search possible and user-generated video had yet to take off but it subsequently evolved into a site where individuals and corporations alike could post their own videos. They were digitizing TV because the transcription wasn't as good as it is today so they needed the closed captioning data to make it searchable and there were almost like meta-searching. They were looking for other websites that allowed people to upload video and including that in the search results also. Yep. Sure. You can see how this conceivably could be a product vision. You could have at the time, but Google video was the wrong product. The problem was one, you couldn't actually watch the video. It was just search that then directed you just like Google's main search business model.

59:52Off of Google video to go consume it somewhere else. Yeah, in the beginning, it didn't even have a player. Whoa, I didn't realize that. Yeah, crazy. And the bigger problem though, well, that's a pretty big problem. Another big problem, shall we say, was that the focus was on traditionally produced head.

1:00:13kind of content, not long-tail, not user-generated content. It was really tied to TV. There was a press release that said that they could search the content of TV programs, find programs containing the content they're looking for, and discover when and where the program will next air. Yeah. So meanwhile, obviously, here we are in 2004, 5, 6, consumer-generated digital video is becoming a thing. Either via standalone new devices like the Flipcam that's coming out from Flipcam. Flip was a startup right and then Cisco bought it. Yeah, my other internship employer bought Flip while I was there. Yeah, this is like Ben Gilbert personal history. Yes, but more commonly so you mean they were dedicated devices like the Flipcam, but digital point and shoe cameras had gotten so good by this point in time. This is going to come back up later in the episode. People thought this was the big consumer electronic device.

1:01:12vector before smartphones. People were really, really excited about how good and how universally adopted digital cameras were. All of a sudden in the mid-2000s for the first time, anybody could make a video at any time. And I movie was just becoming a thing. So you could shoot it on your point and shoot and you can edit on your computer. That's right. So YouTube. In early 2005, three PayPal employees, the PayPal mafia actually fairly junior employees at PayPal. Chad Hurley, Javid Karim and Steve Chen, leave PayPal and create YouTube. Okay, Ben, I have two deep cut YouTube corporate history trivia items for you. Number one, do you know what YouTube's original

1:02:12tagline was, the name of the company was YouTube. What was the tagline and the value prop? I have no idea. Tune in, hook up. Really? It was a video dating segment. Oh my goodness, did you know that? And they actually posted Craigslist ads in the Bay Area for attractive women to make videos to post as profiles.

1:02:43on the site. Unbelievable. And they got like no responses as you would expect. Thank goodness for them and Google though, because then they pivoted into a general purpose video uploading site that anybody could upload anything that they made YouTube. Okay, so that's trivia question number one. Okay. trivia question number two. Do you know who Chad Hurley, Chad was the CEO, who Chad's father-in-law at the time was?

1:03:12Oh, no, I have no idea. Jim Clark of SGI and Netscape. Of Silicon Graphics and Netscape. Jim Clark. Wow. Jim Clark. Didn't know that. Yeah. So not only were they part of the PayPal team and PayPal Mafia, like they had the best advisor of all time to navigate the Silicon Valley ecosystem and the internet ecosystem in Jim Clark. So the brilliance of YouTube and it really was Absolutely brilliant was threefold. One, it was super easy for anyone to upload a video so they had a killer content acquisition model. Anybody, anytime, anything. And as soon as the server is processed, we'll put it live. No copyright checks. Unlike Google video, which would take one to two days. It's all about copyright checks for humans to pour over it.

1:04:09Make sure that it was all good and blessed and then put it live, which of course won't scale in the UGC era. YouTube's just like, whatever, upload it. Yep. Two, super easy for anyone to watch a video. You need a really good viewer in the web app to view the videos. Google video didn't have it at the beginning. So, killer content consumption model. Go to youtube.com, find something, or find a link or Number three brilliant thing about YouTube. See a YouTube video embedded on another website. Boom, you're watching the video. Kill or growth and distribution model. And also YouTube, pretty much from the beginning had great search. You can search YouTube and find videos that you're looking for pretty quickly. YouTube became and still is. Google talks about this all the time. The second largest search engine.

1:05:07on Earth behind Google. It searches happening on YouTube. That happened quickly? I always thought that was a more recent last 10 years phenomenon. I think that happened very quickly. YouTube traffic scaled so fast and so big. So you can see how YouTube here not only are they the correct video platform for the web and just doing it much better than Google's doing it with Google Video.

1:05:33There's actually some version of the world where they might become a real competitor to Google's core business. If all these searches are happening, they could add search for other things on YouTube too. Right. I don't think they had any plans to do that, but it's the same rationale of Mark Zuckerberg saying, uh-oh, everyone's using WhatsApp for messaging. Whether or not they put in a social media feed stream, they always could. And so it's really dangerous to me.

1:05:59for them to be out there aggregating all the users and attention and habits when they always could do something like that. Exactly. Same dynamic. And whereas in the previous categories of apps that we talked about, Google had the advantage of uniquely being able to do it as Google in a way that startups couldn't, here it's a little bit the opposite. YouTube as a small startup has the advantage of A copyright rules laws, but I don't know. We're just a platform. We're just a startup. Anybody upload anything. Google by this point in time is a public company. No way they could behave like this. Well, it's funny they could, but they wouldn't. They actually could do it and stay in business. Whereas YouTube can say, eh, whatever. But then they're going to go out of business because they're going to get sued out of business. So it's this really interesting sort of catch 22 of

1:06:54This is the way to start and get all the users because this is the best user experience. And at the same time, it will not work as a resource constrained small company. Once it is started, it needs to be part of Google. Right. Yes. Obviously we're going to get to that. But in the beginning though, oh my gosh, I mean, the embeds were a beautiful distribution growth mechanic for YouTube. But people were just.

1:07:22uploading copyrighted video that people could watch for free. I mean, it's almost like Gmail. It is so unbelievably compelling to a consumer when your friend tells you about YouTube or just sends you a link or you see an embed page of, whoa, I can go watch lazy Sunday from Lonely Island and Saturday Night Live in my web browser anytime I want for free with no commercials. Yes. Yes. I want that. And in fact, when User started uploading lazy Sunday the Lonely Islands gift from Saturday Live to YouTube. This is in that brief phase where YouTube was an ascendant startup and not you have part of Google. That one skit increased YouTube traffic by 83%. Wow. Unbelievable. And so they very quickly raised money from Sequoia. Is that right? Yep. So it was basically incubated at Sequoia when the three founders left PayPal

1:08:19Sequoia invested right away. I think it was Rulof both as first investment when he joined. Because Rulof knew them from PayPal. He's also part of the PayPal mafia. Exactly. And then Sequoia led another round pretty quickly thereafter because the infrastructure costs started as you would imagine scaling astronomically here. Yeah, so three things that are very expensive. Two of which are ongoing. One is a one time cost. The one time cost but still expensive is encoding the video.

1:08:45This might eventually play on multiple types of devices and multiple browsers, so there's a lot of encoding that has to happen. Two, then, are just big, ongoing variable costs. You have to store all this video. And the biggest of all, the networking, the bandwidth becomes extremely expensive and costs you every single time someone plays the video. Your biggest cost driver scales with minutes watched. So that is eventually going to kill you unless you have an aligned business model. Yep.

1:09:14By the way, it would also be really nice if whoever owns and operates this had its own really good, really cheap infrastructure. All of these things built into it. So yeah, pretty quickly, within a little over a year of launching, YouTube is in way over a 10. The content issues, the copyright issues, the infrastructure scaling issues. It's all exactly what they wanted. It's going as well as they could have hoped, and it isn't way over a 10. Yes.

1:09:43And if this had happened today, you could probably raise enough capital from the private markets to address this and scale up as a company fast enough, especially with public cloud, that you could probably build this as a standalone company. Yeah. I mean, today you can go raise billions of dollars as a Series A startup if you're in the right space doing the most interesting things with the big market. 2005, 2006, not the same kind of private capital.

1:10:10available and of course there's no way the company could go public with all these issues or anything right in particular there was a giant suit from Viacom yes so because of these things YouTube ends up basically putting itself up for sale I mean they have no leverage in content negotiations with rights holders and infrastructure is killing them so in November 2006 which is less than 18 months after the product launched. Google buys YouTube for $1.65 billion in stock. In stock. I'm glad you caught that too. Stock. Yes, we heard in the research that after this deal, Patrick Beshed, I think was the CFO of Google at the time. He said, never again, right? This was our biggest mistake. Said, never again. This is the last stock deal that we ever do. Google's market cap has 20Xs since the day that this deal closed.

1:11:08if they had paid in cash, they would have made an extra 20 times multiple on whatever you already think the multiple is on their purchase of YouTube. Yep. The thing is though, this is we will correct the acquired record at the end of this section. Either way, even if Google paid 20 times $1.6 billion for this, they got a screaming deal. YouTube is so valuable. All right. I have some of the numbers from the first few years that I was able to cobble together.

1:11:38And then I want to talk about some of the product evolution over the years. Yes. Great. All right. So Google buys it for $1.65 billion. And interestingly, Shashir Morota this week went on the grit podcast, the Klaner Perkins podcast, and laid out a bunch of data on this. And I actually didn't have a chance to reach out to ShiriEx because it just came out. But a lot of this is from that conversation. So.

1:12:02After the acquisition, he said, and Shashir was the head of product and basically the CPO CTO at YouTube. Not right after the acquisition, but within a year kind of came in for four or five years. So after the acquisition, he said it was doing about 30 million in revenue. So they did have revenue. I believe just to foreshadow our next chapter, that was in the form of programmatic advertising that was on the double click ad exchange that they were using to make money.

1:12:29They were losing about a billion dollars a year run rate on 30 million in revenue. The amount of money they lost was almost exactly equal to a penny per view. So just imagine every time you loaded YouTube in those years, Google would just flush a penny down the drain. They got to figure out something to do about this. So for the first couple of years, the CFO at the time was terrified of its scaling. Like, please don't scale in its current state, but of course, there's nothing they could do. The cat's out of the bag, it's scaling.

1:12:57And the CFO was exploring, hey, can we sell this to one of the other companies who was bidding on it? That's right, because Yahoo and the media companies also wanted to buy YouTube. Yes. So Shashira says we were broadly known as Google's first mistake. Well, back to my tee up in the intro, being a pure play. Investors didn't like this for a long time. This was a huge knock. I mean, geez, when we did our episode 10 years ago about YouTube, we said it was a terrible acquisition. Yes.

1:13:26The thing we haven't talked about, music licensing was really expensive. They were one of the top revenue sources for the music industry for a long time, maybe even still one of the top few to the music industry. Yeah, right up there was Spotify. Yep. So kind of on the product side of things, early on as you were saying, the way that you found YouTube is you would see it embedded on a different site, you would click through, and then you may stick around to watch something after.

1:13:52But then you leave and your entry point to YouTube again was another embed. Most sessions did not start on YouTube.com. So you weren't going to YouTube with the idea that they'll recommend something to me. And then even the people who did go to YouTube.com in this sort of four year or five year period after the acquisition, 90% of that traffic was there to search. And they just ignored anything that you recommended to them. I mean, it takes a long time a to build habits and b to build out the technology to make any sort of recommendation or browse or anything good. Yep. First with related videos and then ultimately the feed. And just for a sense of scale, there was a report that estimated that YouTube that year in 2007 consumed as much bandwidth as the entire internet did in the year 2000, so just seven years before. I have an extremely similar stat from Shashir.

1:14:46which is to later period it's 2014 but it's apples to apples rather than comparing that 07 to 2000 he said in 2014 YouTube was 20% of the bits on the internet wow i mean this stat but especially your stat illustrates just how much this thing took off and also just how much more bandwidth video took up than any other media type on the internet but the long term play here obviously is the merry maker slide of yes Video the reason that it gets consumed so much is this is what humans want right and you can advertise against it and Google realize this I think they they were very smart to rather than trying to continue investing in Google video to basically say they got the lightning in the bottle they have the consumer brand they have the attention let's just go by that thing and on a expected value basis if you're making a bet

1:15:36Sure, you could build it on your own cheaper, but your chance of succeeding is so unlikely relative to buying that thing that it's actually a deal to get it for 1.65 billion plus the billion that will need to invest every year for a few years to run it in the red. So 2009 is the year where the business really starts working. Google actually discloses nothing about profitability, but that the ad revenue tripled in one year in 2009. 2010, 2011, they turned profitable.

1:16:02There was a report that in 2012, they were estimated to make about four billion dollars in revenue, but roughly break even than the 2012, 13, 14, I think they were small, profitable, but profitable. Then in 2013 to 2015, that time period on the product side, that's when things really changed. So the North Star really became users should go to YouTube to be entertained for 15 minutes. And it's our job to do whatever we need to do to make that.

1:16:32true. And a few things really helped with this. One was the shift to mobile. In mobile, and remember, they were a launch partner on the iPhone. Oh, we're going to get into it. Okay. There were a lot more low intent sessions. So people who opened the app, rather than clicking through from an embed page, low intent being low intent of watching a specific thing. Yes. It's a beautiful thing.

1:16:55on mobile that you can sort of say, I've got some to recommend to you and obviously short form vertical video like TikTok and YouTube shorts and all that these days is that on steroids. Mobile also made it the case that any given user was more likely to be logged in. That way all the personalization and all the algorithm stuff works well. They also adjusted their core metric internally away from views and to watch time and YouTube was very early to the concept of creator monetization for a long time It was the only place on the internet where creators could make money share revenue with creators in an our old episode We sort of knocked them we said look this business has to give its first 50% off the top of any revenue It makes to the creator of the video. That's a way worse business than say Google search ads or Facebook who you know Facebook has influencers on their platforms to all the meta platforms Instagram and

1:17:50Their rev share if it's anything sure isn't 50% it's probably closer to zero and YouTube right early on said you're a 50-ish percent partner which takes you a decade longer to get profitable but helps you build that base just creates amazing incentives for people to build businesses and careers on this I mean YouTube is the ultimate instantiation of the internet to me and the power that it can provide to individuals to make a living. It abstracts the need at all to create or run a business. It really just simplifies it down to make content that people watch. You will get money for it. You don't have to do anything else in between. There's a little slide of hand that you did there, David, which is that people watch. Well, yes.

1:18:42internally went back and forth for years on this, and I think we're sort of in this no man's land that we've landed today. Camp one is, hey, the way to make people most engaged is by getting them to follow creators and they curate the information sources they want. Camp two is in algorithms we trust. It turns out, camp two is actually correct, which is unfortunate. It's a messed up incentive.

1:19:08Most of the time, if you show someone something that they're subscribed to or you show someone something that the very smart computers have figured out, you will watch and then watch another video after that. Usually the algorithmic approach is right. And so there is sort of this internal conflict there where they say, yeah, of course you should subscribe, but your views are only loosely related to how many subscribers you have. Yep, this is the dark side to the YouTube economy. Yes.

1:19:38But putting that aside, just this sheer concept of anybody, and everybody in the world has a video camera today, can create something. And if it's good, and people watch it, and the definition of good being the algorithm likes it, you will make money. With no other steps in between, that can only happen on the internet. It's pretty interesting, because it kind of has these two business models in Core Google Land. They have the AdWords business model.

1:20:07where they're the first party media site each search result page is a form of media and they run ads on that and then they keep approximately 100% of the revenue generated from that ad. The advertiser pays them and they share some in the form of traffic acquisition costs that we'll talk about later but it's a largely a first party ad and then they have this other form ad sense and the Google content network when they show display ads on other people's websites.

1:20:34Where they share like 70% of the revenue most of the revenue out to the publisher. The content, right? Who actually is the reason why there's an ad there in the first place and YouTube was sort of an interesting mix between the two. They were comfortable and familiar with the idea that we can manage a platform where we actually share a lot of the revenue with those producing the content, which is interesting. Like if they had never gone into the AdSense world and they were purely a search engine. I think it would have probably been more of a fight to try to do this 50% split with creators. All right, so there's a thing that I mentioned earlier this notion of people on mobile are more likely to be logged in than people who just hit a web page on desktop. Logged inness is essential for YouTube's success. That is actually new to Google. Logged inness is not essential to

1:21:33the effectiveness of a search engine, or even the monetization of a search engine. We've sort of flirted with this idea. You can kind of hear it through our episode of things like Gmail are good because then you're logged into Google. But there's not a giant lift. It's sort of like a nice to have. Yes. Search, especially on the advertising side, is already so bottom of funnel. Right. The intent is right there.

1:21:57I don't need to know what your demographics are. I know what your intent is. Right. You search for a shovel. I must sell you a shovel. Yeah. That's a stark contrast to YouTube where the whole YouTube flywheel really only works with logged in users. Right. Not just for serving videos and content for you to watch, but also for advertising. This is how the television advertising ecosystem works. It's about targeting. You know, why does Chevrolet advertise on football games?

1:22:27You need demographic data. Right. All right. So David, are you ready to regrade the acquisition of YouTube by Google? Yes. We got to set the context of how big it is today. All right. So back in 2016, we had two knocks on YouTube. One is that it wasn't a destination site. Narrative number two was they only get to keep 50% of their total gross revenue. And then they've got these crazy infrastructure costs and they'll never be able to outrun them. Well, They sure have solved both of these issues clearly a destination site actually more than anything a destination app. You open YouTube and in algorithm we trust. It's what I do every night before I go to bed. Yes, and you know, it's some mix of things you're subscribed to and things you're not, but things YouTube believes will grip your attention at that moment. On the infrastructure costs, let's just start by unpacking their financials. So last year in 2024, YouTube ads alone did $36 billion in revenue.

1:23:22So half goes to creators, they have 18 billion left to play with and they've had two decades to figure out how to get their variable cost down for video hosting, bandwidth, compute for encoding, music licensing, all that stuff. They now do insane feats of engineering, including doing their own custom silicon to do video encoding. They also have a whole bunch of crazy things that they do like change the video encoding that is used depending on how many views the episode has.

1:23:52Oh, interesting. So they do like vanilla H264 when you first upload it and then when it hits some number of views, it switches to a more computationally expensive to encode, but then smaller to distribute format. And then when you hit another one, when you have like five million views or something, then they do it yet again. They re encode the video and make the file size even smaller. So they have figured out all these little optimizations.

1:24:19to make any given stream as inexpensive as possible on the sort of variable cost basis. Brilliant. On the revenue side, they have gotten much better at selling ads. And most estimates is that YouTube is actually quite profitable now. On top of the 36 billion in advertising revenue, Google reported that if you include subscription revenue, so this is things like YouTube premium, YouTube music, NFL Sunday ticket, they're now doing over 50 billion in revenue. Wow.

1:24:49So, David, this now makes YouTube the second largest media company by revenue after only Disney. And Disney has so many other things contributing to that revenue, theme parks, cruise ships, merchandise, etc. Yes. So, YouTube is already bigger than Disney's media business, and this year will likely become bigger than Disney's entire business. The question is, how does that revenue figure compare to Netflix?

1:25:15I'm glad you asked Netflix annual revenue for 2024 was 39 billion, so they've already eclipsed Netflix. Wow. So there you go. Google doesn't release usage data for YouTube, but I'm pretty sure that YouTube is the biggest single property on the internet in terms of minutes spent by humans on it. It's not, I believe that the biggest number of users on the internet, both Facebook, Blue app and WhatsApp are bigger in terms of total number of users, but I think YouTube probably dwarfs them in terms of time spent by users on the app. I think it is the biggest. I can see that. Human attention time sink known to man. So then the question becomes how profitable is the 50 billion in revenue and officially we don't know, but there's these great things called research firms out there that make our jobs it acquired here much easier.

1:26:10Story firm, Moffat Nathanson published a report earlier this year that they think YouTube does about eight billion dollars in operating income. Eight billion a year. So I'd want to dip that against their total investment into. Oh yeah, okay, great. This is the way to grade it. Okay. Here we go. Yes. Now we are getting into grading here. We are landing the YouTube plane. The definitive acquired regrading of YouTube.

1:26:36So as mentioned earlier, I don't think they ever lost much more than a billion a year. And I think they got breakeven within conservatively five years. So after the $1.7 billion purchase price and the $5 billion in additional costs, Google paid $6.7 billion. I've been it's closer to five and a half six to own something that spits off $8 billion a year in profit today. And revenues are growing 10 to 15% every year.

1:27:05By the way, also since I think the theme of this whole episode is sort of like the dual bottom line to Google of everything they're doing of both Revenue and Profits and Strategic Installation versus other large tech companies. Oh, but David, you're forgetting the third of organizing the world's information. And the mission, yeah, yeah. Okay, the triple bottom line. There we go. The triple bottom line. Google itself, not including YouTube, pretty much whipped on social.

1:27:33Really, really strategically good for them that they own YouTube, isn't it? Now that, you know, meta and TikTok exist. Well, here's the crazy thing. They whiffed on social and then what ended up happening was social became YouTube. Yes. Yes. It's the craziest thing. We don't open apps anymore to look at what our friends are posting a place where Google has no presence, but you open meta's most important property with Instagram and you look at Instagram's most used thing, Reels, or you look at TikTok, and what do you see? You see videos from people you don't know. I mean, it's crazy that the rest of social media, or almost like user-generated media, pivoted into Google space. Yeah, this was the big day you went on to our meta episode last fall was, hey, social networking, such as the conception of it existed in the mid-2000s and 2010s is dead. It's gone. It bifurcated into private messaging.

1:28:32and public media. Yes. The sort of middle ground of wide group of people you kind of know is effectively dead. It's close friends, and I don't really care where it came from, but it's entertaining. So you could do a discounted cash flow on this thing that I just gave you. This call it six billion of investment and now eight billion growing at 10 to 15% every year. But there's additional strategic value too.

1:28:59In addition to this thing you just said is becoming the winner in the short form era, they have the largest corporates video to train on for the AI era. Yeah, let's go. So Mothat Nathanson estimated that if this was publicly traded, it would be worth about $500 billion as a standalone company and even conservatively, if you sort of take media company comps and do a revenue multiple and you discount all the strategic future value, it's still like $200 billion.

1:29:27This is officially one of the best acquisitions of all time and I am raising my grade from a C to an A plus. I am obviously right there with you. This is an A plus plus plus. Now, it's not really fair to say that it's like turning six billion into 500. That initial 1.7 was largely Google stock that they traded. So that had real opportunity cost, but it's still ridiculous. Like I said earlier, I scream and deal either way.

1:29:56Yes. All right. There we go. We have revised history, corrected their record. Yes. All right. Well, for our next chapter, I motion that we go back closer to Google's core business of advertising on the web. And maybe also stay closer to acquire its original raison d'etre of discussing the greatest acquisitions of all time. We may as well follow up YouTube with double click. All right, listeners.

1:30:25Now is a great time to thank our longtime friend of the show, ServiceNow. If you are running a large enterprise, AI agents are likely spread across every team, and deploying them is no longer the hard part. Yeah. The hard part is knowing what permissions they have, what employees are using them for, or what decisions AI is making. AI security for an enterprise at scale is not a small concern. Like the risks are real.

1:30:52Exactly. And the challenge with AI is governing it, securing it, measuring it, and making sure that it actually delivers value. That is why ServiceNow built the AI Control Tower. Yep. AI Control Tower gives enterprises a single place to see, manage, govern, and optimize AI across the entire business. And it works with any AI, not just theirs. Every device on your network, every permission across every system, every AI agent, visible and secure in one place.

1:31:19And ServiceNow can do this because they've spent more than 20 years building the operational backbone of the enterprise. The workflows, governance, approval, security controls, and institutional knowledge that power how work actually gets done across IT, HR, customer service, finance, and security. ServiceNow already runs more than 100.

1:31:38billion workflows annually, and trillions of transactions for more than 85% of the Fortune 500. So when companies need a place to govern AI at enterprise scale, they're building on a platform at the center of how their business already operates. And in a future that isn't going to be one AI, it's going to be thousands of AI agents working across every function of the company. But the question is, who's managing them all?

1:32:01So if you're trying to turn AI ambition into real business outcomes and make it work safely, securely at scale, go check out servicenow.com slash acquired and tell them that Ben and David sent you. So double click. Well, if buying YouTube in October 2006 for $1.65 billion was a lot, Google decided to basically double that a few months later.

1:32:32In April of 2007, when they bought double click for $3.1 billion in cash this time, not stock. And this is on the display ad side of the house. So Google's got two advertising businesses at this point. There's ad words when you search and you get the blue links that show up above the blue links.

1:32:55And then there's the off property or the Google network ads. And at this point in time, Google just is operating something called an ad sense, which is this ad network that they've started. So double click actually has a fascinating company history before Google that I did not know. Yeah. Not a hot rising startup like YouTube that they bought for a couple of billion dollars. Though it once was. Yes.

1:33:20All right, so here's the double click story and huge thank you. There's a new book that actually just came out by Ari Paparo. The book is called Yield. Double click was originally founded in 1995. So before Google before Google that founders were Kevin O'Connor and Dwight Maryman and their headquarters were in New York City. The original idea was twofold. One build software that could let advertisers serve ads across websites. This is called an ad server.

1:33:50And the network of websites and media, the advertisements, when people talk about paid media, it's the advertisements themselves, that would run. Over the next five years, they end up building and acquiring their way to being the leading display ad network and ad server. And they went public during this time, right? Yep. 1998. Shining success of the dot com industry. However, dot com crash happens. 70% of double clicks customers not only churn, but go out of business.

1:34:20A huge amount of double clicks, advertisers were actually VC backed startups. Brand dollars hadn't really spread to the web yet. Like we talked about, the digital advertising was so early and so nascent. Yeah. It was pets.com that was advertising on other.com properties. Exactly. They're almost levered on the bubble. It's probably the right way to think about it. So easy come, easy go.

1:34:45So in 2002, after they're sort of limped along for a while, they sell that ad network division off for under $15 million with an M. Wow. So now all they've got left is the software. They sort of add server part of the business. So flash forward to 2004, they're this kind of sleepy, slow growth company with a shrinking market cap.

1:35:08The ad server, their software was still widely used, but digital marketing on the web just wasn't actually having that much spend flow through it. They decided to put themselves up for sale. Google actually took a meeting to look at it, to see if they wanted to buy it. They decided not to, and eventually they sold it to private equity, two different firms, helmet and freedman and JMI management, bought it in 2005 for about a billion dollars. IPO day was double this final price tag that they would sell it to private equity for And in many stories, this is kind of the end of the story. This is the start. Yeah, it's sort of crazy given the fact pattern that you just told us that two years later, Google is going to buy this thing for $3 billion. Yes. So David Rosenblatt becomes CEO. And he has a very familiar name that all of you will probably recognize who becomes. Neil Mohan. Yes. The head of product and strategy at the company, Neil Mohan.

1:36:06Neil, of course, is the CEO of YouTube today. Yep. So from DoubleClick originally. Many would argue the best thing that Google got in the DoubleClick acquisition. You could argue that. Now, here's the amazing thing. What happens under the private equity ownership is that they launch a completely different product, this new thing called an ad exchange.

1:36:29When the concept of an ad exchange is first invented, remember it was very straightforward before this. There was just an ad network and some software called an ad server. The ad exchange is this sort of brilliant idea that we can cross route demand between ad networks. And at first what this is sort of used for is like the remnant or unsolved inventory. Oh, we've got some page loads. We don't currently have a buyer in our ad network forum. So throw them up on this exchange and see if programmatically some people will bid on it.

1:36:58We'll get more dollars this month for the same number of page views. But technically, what was going on is it was really sophisticated and it allowed for some crazy stuff to get done. You could bid in real time, including against the publisher's direct sold ads. You know, let's say the New York Times has done a specific deal with Ford, then, you know, real-time basis. Right. If somebody else is willing to top Ford, then you can displace them. Yup, yup, yup. Exactly. Gosh, this sounds a lot like...

1:37:25Google, doesn't it? It really created the modern programmatic display advertising for better or for worse. That's basically what happened here. And as a publisher, when you start working with an ad exchange, you can incorporate multiple different networks, agency trading desks, because this became a big thing within ad agencies. You can stand up these complex rules engines. Effectively, what happened is you sort of jumped in front of the ad networks. You almost disintermediated them. You're the lowest level building block that everything else has to integrate with. And eventually, What started as this ad exchange that just became used for remnant and unsolved ultimately becomes the primary way that digital media is bought on the biggest advertisers with the biggest publishers and all of course bought and sold through these big agencies Google is running this little thing called ad sense. It's kind of for smaller publishers

1:38:19And it's very like DIY self-serve. It's almost like a techie utopian's version of how do you run ads on websites? Whereas this ad exchange is, let's acknowledge all the complex realities that exist in all these business relationships, all these purchasing decisions. The way Madison Avenue has evolved from the madman era to, you know, this moment in time in the early 2000s. And let's essentially construct fat pipes for money to flow through all this. And what I mean by that is, direct integrations into ad agencies financial systems and the ad agencies control the budgets for all the big brands and all the big dollars that are flowing. That's exactly right. So if only Google had a way of unlocking and now participating in these deeply integrated money flows. Google had a few other problems. The way double click worked and performed a lot of really fancy stuff like frequency capping to make sure you don't see the same ad 46 times is third party cookies.

1:39:17Google was philosophically opposed to using their party cookies. So they couldn't do stuff like that. But double click could. Google didn't have a lot of these big sales relationships since at the time. Again, they're very obsessed with self-serve web pages, advertisers just log in and upload and transact. So Google ends up kind of locked out of the best ad inventory. Advertisers on Google could really only be placed on the long tail of websites, which advertisers were willing to pay less to appear on those websites.

1:39:46Again, we're all in the ad sense part of the world. Not search ads. Yes. There's all sorts of things that make them not enterprise grade here. So Google decided they'd like to buy double click. Yes. Well, that's sort of the story out there. The reality is, think back to how you started when I interjected and I said, gosh, a lot of what double click is doing. It really sounds a lot like what Google is doing, right? Well, We were talking to Tim Armstrong for research for this episode. Tim, of course, was head of sales at Google for many years. And we were asking Tim about double click and he was like, well, I was close with the double click guys. And I wanted to meet with him here in kind of late 2006, early 2007. And just so happened, I was going to be in Seattle for some stuff when I was emailing with them. And they were like, oh, you're in Seattle. Actually, we're in Seattle, too, right now.

1:40:41We can get together here Tim immediately sounds the alarm inside Google to Eric and Larry This is a New York based company. There is only one reason why the double click guys are gonna be in Seattle And that would be if Microsoft is gonna buy the company. Yep Now back to everything we've been talking about all episode What is Google absolutely not want to have happened here?

1:41:11Well, one was Microsoft to kneecap them by making changes to Internet Explorer or Windows or whatnot. They basically neutralize that through the whole web app web 2.0 strategy. Now the threat is, oh, Microsoft is finally going to wake up and do what they should have done 10 years ago and compete with us. Build their own search engine. Right. Be willing to be an ad-based business. Their DNA was Yeah, we'll do some ad stuff, and Emma said kind of has to because it's a media business, but we sell software. We sell software. That's what we do primarily, and we would never trade our ability to sell software to make money on dirty ads. Yep. Well, Microsoft is realizing that for some set of users, Google is actually making more money on any given PC user than Microsoft is, and they're not happy with this and they say, fine, we at least just need to be in that game too. Yep.

1:42:07The negotiations are kind of happening with Microsoft and DoubleClick. Tim told us this great anecdote where he's invited to present and he still thinks it's like a early stage conversation in the negotiations and somehow he gets sent to the wrong floor. The person who is escorting him into the DoubleClick building sent them to a floor and they sort of freak out when the door opens. They're like, try to close the door like, please go to the other floor. And Tim is like, what's going on here? He steps out. He runs down the hall and he sees a conference room.

1:42:36full of all the Microsoft people and their accountants and their lawyers. And he's like, oh my God. Oh my God. You guys, you're about to decide this deal with Microsoft. You got it. So he gets them to hold off so he can kick the tires, do his diligence, submit a counter bid. This is a crazy process that goes back and forth. Yahoo gets involved. There's a whole presentation series that happens.

1:43:00where Yahoo, Microsoft, AOL and Google are basically all getting the pitch. And double click is now showing. I'm imagining they're all like in an auditorium and double click is presenting on stage. Dude, there was a spreadsheet called YMAG.xls. And the reason they created it is they're effectively trying to show in each of these presentations. Here's how much incremental money you'll make if you own double click and you tie it into your existing ad system. And they're tweaking the numbers slightly for each one.

1:43:30So Google then submits their L.O.I. for $3.1 billion. And it includes a clause where they can't shop the deal around during this diligence period. And so the whole Google team goes to New York, they ran out this big room at a hotel near DoubleClicks offices, and I'm going to read an excerpt from the book Yield. The company's counsel, this is DoubleClick, checked her Blackberry and held it up for David Rosenblatt to see. There was an incoming message from Microsoft's corporate development team.

1:44:00They were willing to match the offer for DoubleClick and the message included an email from Steve Balmer saying that he opened the door for a much higher offer. Balmer wrote that if the offer match was not acceptable, DoubleClick should simply mark up the paper to meet its needs and then sign it. And Microsoft would review and rapidly counter sign to close the deal with minimal negotiation required. Without saying so, Balmer was communicating, here's a blank check, tell me what closes the deal. Ultimately, a week goes by.

1:44:28And they're in this period where they can't really respond, and they're supposed to just kind of proceed with Google. And a day before the LOI is set to expire, the double click team gets an updated term sheet from Google. The financial terms of the deal are unchanged, that 3.1 billion. But now the deal includes what they call a hell or high water clause, which means that Google was committed to closing the deal without any substantive diligence or any other conditions. It's just money in the bank. So no more diligence. Double click just signs it.

1:44:583.1 billion and the private equity firm turns that 1 billion, which was levered. There was something like 300 million of equity and 700 million of debt into a 3.1 billion dollar sale to Google and it's over. Not bad work if you can get it. No. So this was huge for Google. Double click. Bringing it into Google did really help with those fat money pipes, as I was saying, of dollar flows from Ad agencies? Yep. But the biggest thing was double click was the number one player in the space. There was another company, public company called Aquanev. That was the number two player which Microsoft then bought for twice as much. They were like, we really wish we had gotten double click and then within months. It was the next month right away. Microsoft turned around and bought Aquanev for six billion dollars. So twice the price. But Microsoft getting the number two player versus the number one player.

1:45:55Slow them down. We're heading right into Microsoft search efforts with Yahoo and then ultimately Bing and getting into the advertising business worth every penny to Google even for the sole reason of keeping the premiere number one player in the display ad space out of Microsoft's hands. Yeah. Okay. The one thing I will say here, David, is unlike all those other Google products, maps, Gmail, YouTube that organizing the world's information, this is not organizing the world's information and making universally accessible. This is we're running an ad business and we want to expand the ad business. And so we're going to expand and protect our business interests by buying this. And it's a chess piece on the table that it being in our hands versus other people's hands is better. That's exactly right.

1:46:48And there's ways that it like systematically advantages you to own the exchange when you also in the network and. This is only checking the box of strengthening our business without checking any of the other boxes and you basically never heard. Google executives get up on a stage where they're inspiring people about the future of the company and talk about basically anything double click is doing yes correct. And you know fast forward today unlike YouTube it's not like this has become.

1:47:15a world dominating thing. Right, if you're in the display ads world or you're a publisher or this feels like a huge deal. If you're Google, let's just look at the numbers today. Google in total in 2024 made $350 billion of revenue. About 200 billion of that is from Google search. About 30 billion of that is from Google Network. This falls under Google Network.

1:47:45Plenty of which existed before him would have existed anyway in AdSense, regardless. I don't know about that. I don't know that Google would have become the dominant player in display ads. Absent double click. Without buying double click. Yeah, I don't think. Yeah. But AdSense was probably doing a billion plus in revenue at the time would have kept scaling. So all that to say, like in the context of Google, this isn't a YouTube.

1:48:14it just doesn't matter that much. Yeah, 200 billion in revenue they make from search, where they get to keep 90-ish percent of that, you know, after paying out traffic acquisition costs. Google network, they pay out 70 percent, and they only made 30 billion. So if you start thinking about like gross profit, it's comparing $9 billion to $175-ish billion. Yep. It's just not that consequential to the story. All right. So speaking of search, Catch us up on how the search business is doing during these years and why Microsoft finally said, okay, enough. We got into this business ourselves. Yeah. So we've been talking about kind of the side shows, like trying to add wind to the sales of the web and search is cranking on improvements to the core product and revenue is growing up right along with it. So here's a little timeline to catch us up. Oh, three to eight. They start updating the index more often. So the index starts to feel not quite real time, but

1:49:12It used to be that when you would search, you would be getting results that were indexed three months ago. Now the web is feeling a little bit more real time recent when you're searching it. They launch Google images, Google News, Google Books, Google Scholar. They launch Google Suggest, which is when it starts auto completing your searches. And later they would launch something called Google Instant, which was very cool at the time. It's actually kind of gone away now or it would run a completely new search based on every character you typed.

1:49:41and show you the results page updated in real time with each next keystroke, which is pretty amazing. I remember that being so cool when it launched. Yeah. In 2005, they incorporate your search history into your results. So this is when they start doing some personalization stuff with logged in users. They go from in 04, they had 3 billion in revenue, 05, they have 6 billion in revenue. So doubled even at that scale.

1:50:07In 2007, they launched Universal Search across web, images, video, whatever maps they try to deconstruct your query and understand which of these things are you looking for rather than they used to basically build a completely separate search engine for each media type and then leave it up to you to decide which thing to go search that year. When they launched Universal Search, they do 16.5 billion in revenue. This 2007 year, this is when they become the largest seller of advertisements in the world. Not just digital ads, ads. And digital ads would not overtake traditional media until 2018, as we talked about earlier. Yeah, it's trying to square this. So I guess that means that the market share that Google has of digital ads is so high, massive, that it's bigger than even in the traditional space of the TV space what any one player has. Yes.

1:50:59So every year for the last 18 years, Google has been the number one seller of advertising of any kind in the world. Wow. This I think helps you understand a little bit what's at stake in the era of AI. I mean, this is literally the trillion or five or ten trillion dollar question is, can Google keep being the number one seller of advertising in the world even through this sea change? We should do a whole episode on that probably. Maybe next time.

1:51:27But actually, there's some great quarrelaries with the mobile wave that we're about to talk about. And then just to pull forward a few more search improvements that they would do later in 2009, that's when they really do some real time indexing of the web. 2012, they launched the knowledge graph. So when you search about a, basically, a thing with a Wikipedia page, you always get the kind of snapshot view on the right hand side of that entity. And so all along the way, they're tweaking the algorithm in an attempt to reduce spam.

1:51:57That's effectively the product changes on the people side of things. They really had solidified themselves as the preeminent computer science research company at this point. I mean, if you were to refer in 2008 to like a really smart programmer, you probably said, oh, they, you know, they're like a Google type engineer. They sort of took the mantle from Microsoft and had not yet relinquished it to.

1:52:22Facebook or later to the stripe or open AI or entropic or any of the sort of companies we would talk about in the future as this like dense concentration of the best engineers and they had pulled in a lot of the people from the big research labs that had been collapsing so you had Jeff Dean and Sanjay Gemowat coming from deck David we did Sanjay a total disservice on the last episode a lot of the stuff that Jeff did and of course he became sort of a Google executive Jeff and Sanjay pure program together.

1:52:50Yes, there's an amazing New Yorker article that was published long ago about their friendship and career partnership and everything that they accomplished together. Yeah, we'll link to it in the show notes. And basically, if you look at any big research paper about giant Google infrastructure stuff that was launched from, I don't know, 2002-ish, maybe even earlier, through the 2010s, Jeff and Sanjay are either the two authors or two of the five authors. I mean, it's amazing how much stuff these two guys invented.

1:53:19They also got Bill Korn and Rob Pike from Bell Labs. You had Xerox Park and IBM's labs were sort of losing prominence and Google's just sucking in all this generational heavy hitter computer science architecture systems programmers from all of those. And so I think that's sort of how I would describe where a lot of the technical breakthroughs are really coming from or at least the culture of technical breakthroughs.

1:53:45We talked about these incredible products, incredible innovations, development of the whole concept of a web application. But that was coming from these people that were coming into the company who were just, like you say, generational talents. Speaking of, that was very convenient for a couple of things that they needed to start doing in 2008, namely launching their own web browser. And then shortly thereafter, launching their own mobile operating system. It's astonishing that they did both of these things. In the same year. And this isn't like, oh, I'm going to start a browser the way that you can start a browser today. I mean, all these AI companies are launching browsers. Yeah, they're using Chromium. Right. This is a giant engineering undertaking. You need amazing architects. And this is equivalent to Dave Cutler doing Windows NT. I mean, it was earth shattering.

1:54:45when Google launched Chrome. Or everything Jeff Dean and Sanjay did in the early days of Google. Yes. Yeah. And when I say people launching web browsers today are using Chromium, Chromium, of course, is the open source version of Chrome. Yeah. That Google just gives away for free to anybody. That didn't exist. They had to build it. So in February of 2008, the shoe that Google had been fearing would drop for many, many years finally does drop.

1:55:14which is Microsoft is officially gonna enter the search business. They make a bid, Microsoft does, to buy Yahoo for $44 billion. The giant has finally woken up. Fortunately for Google, they get a little bit of a reprieve, because Jerry Yang turns it down. So dumb. And one of the worst corporate decisions of all time, because just two years later, Bing after Microsoft would launch Bing the next year in June of 2009 Bing would take over powering Yahoo search for a deal that paid Yahoo One billion dollars versus the 44 that two years earlier Microsoft was willing to pay for the whole company and then Yahoo would sell itself to Verizon for like three I think something like that something like that. Yeah single digit billions. Yes, so Google though do this day was gonna come eventually and fortunately

1:56:11by this time in 2008, Google had its competitive response, all ready, ready to go, which was Chrome. And they had actually been working on improving the state of browsers for years. Oh, yes they had. The story of Chrome goes all the way back to 2001. Larry and Sergey wanted to build a web browser in 2001.

1:56:35for this very reason that we've been talking about the whole episode. All of Google rested on. I didn't realize that. Internet Explorer. And also, I mean, it was Larry and Sergei. Of course, they wanted to build a web browser. It's the most Google thing. Why wouldn't we build our own web browser? Right. But it was Eric who said in 2001, no, we can't do this now. We can't poke the bear right now. Like Google is too young, too vulnerable. Calls like this are why Larry and Sergei brought in Eric. Eric.

1:57:05Yes, the actual quote from Eric at the time this is in in the Plexus, I don't want to moon the giant in 2001. It's a very Eric Schmidt quote. But that doesn't mean that Google isn't preparing for this. Instead, what they do is they decide that they are going to become the primary major benefactor for the new Mozilla foundation and what would become Firefox. Mozilla was the nonprofit organization that was founded and spun off from Netscape. Yeah. An AOL bought Netscape. Are they a funder or are they actually just like giving money? Well, I think at first it probably was like with grants like giving money because this is strategically important for Google, but then once Firefox actually gets released by Mozilla and deployed out there.

1:58:01The way Google starts supporting Mozilla and Firefox is through paying traffic acquisition costs to them to be the default search in the Firefox browser. Spoiler, well, they're like they do to Apple for Safari today to the tune of like $20 billion a year. Yes. Firefox is where this all starts with Mozilla. Actually, traffic acquisition costs originated before Mozilla because it's effectively the same thing that they were doing with software vendors to include Google toolbar right and so I think the mechanism of payment over time shifted to more of a rev share my understanding now is that they share some of the revenue they generate from queries that originate searches that happen in the browser exactly which is why it ends up being kind of variable a year to year but yes Google has a long history of

1:58:54paying for distribution of their search engine. And the new form that it is now taking is the Mozilla Firefox browser. Yeah, starting with toolbar. So this goes on for a couple of years. And by the way, I should say Google becomes a giant contributor of source code to Firefox. Well, I'm going to get into this. So a couple of years, Google's paying Mozilla for default search and Firefox, basically funding Mozilla.

1:59:24After a little while, Google decides that they're going to hire some of the key Firefox engineers at Mozilla to come and work at Google directly. But they position this as essentially this is the same thing. We are still funding Mozilla and Firefox just like, you know, you can't give these employees, these engineers stock options like you're a nonprofit. How about instead they do the same thing that they're doing, which is working on Firefox.

1:59:54They'll just come and work here at Google and we'll pay their salaries and they'll get Google stock options. Otherwise, they're going to get poached by all these tech companies, et cetera, et cetera. Fascinating. You can see how this makes sense. This team that comes over from Mozilla into Google becomes the core of a new, quote, product client group within Google, meaning of this being products on clients, i.e. installed applications on PCs, not the web apps that the rest of the new Google is doing. And the leader of this group, Google hires from McKinsey in 2004, soon Darfurci. Oh, I did not realize that that's where soon dark came from. Yep. Well, I get all of this is very strategic because if you did someday want to build your own web browser, now you've got the bench of talent their employees. So there's a quote from Eric Schmidt in theplex.

2:00:52This was very clever on Larry and Sergey's part because of course these people doing Firefox are perfectly capable of going and doing another web browser. So this group is sitting there within Google for a couple of years, almost like a latent sleeper cell within Google. They're just ready to activate as soon as the Microsoft threat becomes real.

2:01:15And the way I heard it was a lot of people are working on Google gears, which is this browser extension that allows for offline functionality. They've built the Google web toolkit to make web application development even more advanced, even more sophisticated. And at some point, they kind of lost faith that Firefox was going to keep the pace and that Firefox was going to stay as high quality of a browser as they needed it.

2:01:42And of course they had some divergent technical ideas, like different architecture ideas for how a browser should function that we'll talk about. I think all of these things are true. However, having your own browser when Microsoft does launch Bing, hugely, hugely, hugely important. Imagine if 90% of Google happened on Internet Explorer and all of a sudden Microsoft launches Bing. Right.

2:02:10There's no amount of money suddenly that you could pay Microsoft where they would keep you as the default search engine because they just want all the traffic to go to Bing because they now have a great way to monetize. Absolutely not. Bing default search engine done. Right. And the thing that of course Microsoft would fail to realize with Bing is you can't be second place in search. Right. The most liquid auction will always win.

2:02:35and Google has already run away with the search ads auction liquidity. And so traffic on Google searches will forever be worth more than traffic on the second place browser. Sure. Doesn't mean that that all wouldn't be hugely damaging to Google if they didn't have their own web browser. So 2006, they finally decide, OK, it's time to start work on Chrome. Yep.

2:03:04Also, it's clear web apps, JavaScript, Ajax, very important thing. Internet Explorer isn't keeping up with the technology. There's two killer features, arguably maybe three, that they're going to bake into the Google browser. I've got six. I'm curious which ones you don't think are important. I'll go through my three and then I'll see what else you have. Great. Number one.

2:03:33most important, it is going to have a super fast, super modern, super performant JavaScript virtual machine called V8. That is going to run big web apps fast and stably. We're the Ajax company, baby. We got to speed up the J. Ajax company. That's right. Two, web apps crashed a lot back in the day. They don't so much anymore, but they used to crash a lot.

2:04:02And Larry has this quote when they're deciding that they should roll out Chrome. And he kind of explains, we have found the web-based service delivery model to have significant advantages. You don't say. But it also comes with a own set of challenges, primarily related to web browsers which can be slow, unreliable, and unable to function offline. And so before Chrome, this is impossible to remember now. But if you had a tab or a window open, and running a web app and that web app crashed, it took down your whole browser. Yep. Everything that you had open, gone. Tabs were not their own processes. Nope. So each tab is going to be a separate process on your machine. So if the web app running in one tab crashes, all it takes down is that one tab. And it made sense that before this, they weren't their own process because one, tabs were kind of a new thing. But two, web applications were websites.

2:04:59The notion of web applications was only really four-ish years old. So those are my big two. I suspect one of yours is WebKit. I'm not including WebKit here because that was an Apple innovation that they borrowed. I'll let you talk about that in a sec. I don't know anything more to say on that. It was the best rendering engine. Yes. So let's say that's three and then my sort of three and a half is the design. So of course, the web browser ultimately comes to be called Chrome, which is ironic. Chrome is a reference to all the stuff in a web browser, the toolbar is the navbar, et cetera, that take up space around the content. The idea with Chrome is, and the Google web browser is going to be minimal Chrome as little as possible. It's just about the content. Let the web and the web apps shine. Yes. OK. When you said UI, I thought you were going to say this. My fifth is the OmniBox. Yes. Originally, it was just the URL bar. And then when Search became the killer app of the web,

2:05:57there's a second little input box that is for search on the right side. So we had that awkward teenage years where browsers had the URL bar on the left and then the search on the right. And it's kind of clean to think about it on its own because now that we understand that that is sponsored that I think for the longest time that was not in the public psyche that whatever search engine appeared in that box in the right hand corner was paying for that placement.

2:06:22That was sort of nice because you type in the URL bar and that's your organic typing and then the other one is you're I'm willing to give a kickback to Google probably but it could also be being could be Yahoo could be whoever. Google is correctly from user experience perspective but also just think about their core business model is like the right design for web browsers is that if you don't type into URL it should just search just one bar why have two bars.

2:06:51We imagine that generating a whole bunch more page views on search results pages and a whole bunch more opportunities for our advertisers to reach your eyeballs. But I will say they were also correct from a user experience perspective. The fact that URLs ever leaked to the public is a mistake. That is letting an implementation detail of the technology. It's an accident of history that consumers type HTTPS colon slash slash are you kidding me consumers never should have known the phrase HTTP. They should just type New York Times. Yes. Which AOL tried to do, AOL keywords. Yeah. So this is effectively leaning into that idea. You can use this box for typing URLs, but like really what you use this box for is kicking off the Google search. So brilliantly aligned with their business model. All right. So that's what I got. What else do you have? That's not on my list. That's five. And then lastly, sandboxing. Each tab is a sandboxed environment.

2:07:46This prevented a ton of malware. This was like a big breakthrough in computer security where anything that was operating in that tab was in its own sandbox and couldn't be accessed maliciously. Yeah, that's, I guess. Gosh, remembering back, I mean, before Chrome and modern web browsers browsing the web was like a security threat to your PC, right? Yeah, that's exactly right. Great point. Okay. So they start work officially on this in 2006. They launch it.

2:08:15in early September, 2008, like a week before Lehman goes down. This is wild. I remember that because I remember sitting in North Carolina at my Cisco office and I remember reading the Chrome comic, which I actually just read a couple nights ago. Yeah, yeah, yeah, this episode. This like amazing. I'm about to get to the comic. At the same desk where I read the news about the great financial crisis in the world falling apart and Lehman brothers collapsing. Wow. So they want to early September, 2008.

2:08:43with the way this is so Google. The way they decide to launch it is they hire the famous comic artist Scott McLeod to illustrate a digital comic book as like an introduction to Chrome explaining what it is and like a user manual in a comic book form. And it's written for this weird half user who's like kind of technical.

2:09:07But you don't need to be a programmer necessarily, it's written for the tech enthusiast who can understand process independence, understand sandboxing, understand V8 and the JavaScript speed up, but it's not written for the general public. Yep. But that was exactly the right seed crystal user base to get Chrome. Yeah.

2:09:26into yeah it's written for the slash dot reader the kind of people who are going to go home for Thanksgiving in a couple months and install it on all their families computers and say you need to stop using internet explorer right now for all of these reasons been that you just listed probably security being number one amongst them this is actually was me back in the day like I'm going to go home I'm going to install chrome on my parents computers so that they don't get hacked and lose their financial information et cetera yep Within 18 months, they got 40 million users. Then let's see, they launched it in 2008 by 2010. They had 70 million users. Then 2012, they had 200 million users. Actually, what happened is it destroyed Firefox's market share. I think the launch of Chrome and the peak of Firefox are right around the same time. Then after that, then it really started eating away at Internet Explorer's market share. Today, aside from

2:10:22Mostly iPhones, but Apple devices running Safari, it is the browser. I mean, to say it worked is like the understatement of the century. I mean, it totally liberates Google from Internet Explorer and Microsoft. When Chrome launched in 2008, Internet Explorer had almost 70% market share of browsers and Firefox had most of the rest. Two years later, like you said, Chrome had passed 100 million users.

2:10:51By 2012, so four years after launch, Chrome and Internet Explorer are now tied for market share with about 30% each. So Internet Explorer has gone from 70% down to 30%. And this is both Chrome on the desktop side, but you're now also well into the rise of mobile. And so Apple's mobile Safari is now becoming huge. Google's Android that we're going to talk about in a sec is becoming huge. Two years.

2:11:20After that in 2014, Chrome is now the clear leader with 40% market share. Internet Explorer is down to 15%. So it's over. It's over. And Internet Explorer is basically dead at this point. And today, it truly is dead. 2013, 14. Yeah, 2013, 14. Today, it's not even close. Chrome has almost 70% market share, according to Cloudflare, including iPhones, which all runs Safari default.

2:11:49Right. Safari in aggregate across mobile and desktop of mobile is by far the biggest share of Safari market share is about 20%. So Chrome has 70%. Safari has 20%. There's 10% left. I think Microsoft, I don't know, has a couple of single digit percentage points. Talk about flipping the tables. Chrome was massive. And it was just better. It was so much better.

2:12:17And it really kicked off this amazing era for the web between Apple needing to then sort of play catch up and leap frog in a lot of years. It was actually faster than Chrome and they would go back and forth. And it really spurred Apple who was already a steward of WebKit and they sort of had their own competitive response to Microsoft.

2:12:37after Steve Jobs hated the fact that he had to keep shipping i.e. as his best option on Mac. Because that was part of the Microsoft Apple deal right when Microsoft saved Apple with the investment was Internet Explorer will become default on the Mac. So Safari was created for that. But over the years, you know, Apple's incentives, especially post iPhone, were not to make it so web apps could be great. Apple's incentives were to make it so native mobile and.

2:13:04desktop applications could be great. And so Google really pushing the envelope in the web's capabilities and what a modern browser could do forced this like good for the world race between Apple and Google to both make better browsers. I don't think it is an exaggeration to say that Chrome kept the web alive. Yeah. As a viable platform for applications. Yep.

2:13:28I mean, Microsoft certainly didn't have an incentive to do it in the business model. They were at the time, and Apple doesn't. They had every incentive not to. Right. Who in the world least wants the web to be a viable application platform? Microsoft. Right. At that point in time, Apple now, ironically. So there's one more amazing, delicious part of the Chrome story, which is, do you remember the Google Chrome frame? Google Chrome frame.

2:13:58was a plug-in for Internet Explorer that replaced IE's JavaScript engine and pulled in the Chrome V8 JavaScript engine. And I think also a WebKit for Lail. And so for all the corporate users who couldn't install a new app of America and the world who were stuck with Internet Explorer. This is the only reason that i.e. hung on the market share for so long was just right. Lockdown PCs for all those poor souls. Google was there for you with the Google Chrome Frame plugin that let you run Chrome quality web apps within Internet Explorer. Amazing.

2:14:45Alright, so I have a question for you on Chrome before we finish this story. Why make Chromium open source? The answer that I've read to that is mostly about the Google culture and trying not to be like too evil about it. Yeah, I would buy that. Yeah. They're like an open source company. Like it's in their bones to contribute to open source.

2:15:12There's a thin business reason I can think of of why they would want to make it open source Well, the reason I can think of is like it doesn't need to be closed source. They make their money from searches. Right That's the like it can't hurt. Here's the way it could help At first I was thinking well wait Google wants to own as many of the browsers That it searches originate from as they can so they don't have to pay out distribution costs in the form of traffic acquisition so If someone takes Chromium and then builds a better browser, it's kind of bad because now you have to pay that browser maker. But in practice, as long as it's not Microsoft and as long as it's more fragmented, that's probably a trade they're perfectly happy with. If they need to go and split some revshare and pay someone who makes some variant of Chrome based on Chromium, and that gets really big and it gets 30% of the market, great. Google's delighted because it's not Microsoft.

2:16:10I mean, look, except for traffic acquisition costs, Google's incremental gross margin on search revenue is like 98% or something like that. There's still going to be an 87% gross margin business. Because the whole point of this was to prevent a existential risk. And so if they have to do some light rev sharing, even in their worst case scenario or someone builds a successful thing based on their open source project. Oh, so horrible. We go down to 87% gross margin. Right. Right. It's still.

2:16:40perfectly acceptable, which actually maybe the way it plays out if any of these new AI browsers work out. Yeah. Maybe. Well, not sure any of these AI browsers would be willing to let Google to pay them to be the big chess game to consider there. Yes. That is the one catches the owner of the browser still has to be willing to accept the payment from Google. Yes. I have one analogy for all of this that is a little far afield, but I think is actually the right way to think about this.

2:17:09Okay, lay it on me. Walt Disney creates Disneyland. Goes great, very handcrafted, curated, auteur-driven thing, but ultimately he has to play within the rules of things like city government. Okay. They go big and get a huge plot of land in Florida to build Walt Disney World. It would be nice if we controlled our underlying foundation a little bit more, so they build their own government district around the park and they say, we make the rules here. It's not totally dissimilar. Yep. I've been reflecting a little bit on why basically from 1998 onward, Google's biggest threat was Microsoft and not because of Bing, not because of building advertising, because of this kind of destabilizing thing. There's sort of a fine point on it.

2:18:07which is that spiritually Microsoft was the platform of the PC era. And with this platform shift, it would be very convenient to just be like, oh, Google's the platform of the web era, but even though Google is the platform company of the web era, they aren't necessarily the ones building the platform. Right. Yeah, they still existed at Microsoft's pleasure. And no one owns the web as a platform.

2:18:37So there's this kind of funky thing where like Microsoft built and owned windows and then dominated the PC era because of that. Google operates. a search engine that generates advertising revenue. They don't charge anyone for anything. They benefit from the web's growth. And so they're doing this like strange indirection. Yeah, it's the ecosystem building. Exactly. They're trying to build the ecosystem. They're trying to be the steward of the open web as a platform. And they like put their finger on the scale where they need to and take a little bit more control and ownership like with Chrome or like with some of these standards bodies to push the web forward to make sure that

2:19:12the place where they live, their neighborhood, the web is in good shape, but it's not their platform in the way that it was Microsoft's platform in that era. All right, maybe that Disney World analogy is even better than we gave it credit for a minute ago. That's sort of, I don't know. It's a little bit loose, but that's what I've been kicking around. I like it. I like it. Well, no doubt. Chrome was a huge success. Hell, soon it becomes the CEO of the company. No better sign of how successful it was than that. Right.

2:19:41It's short up their future. We could do a classic acquired. What would have happened otherwise just for a minute or two here? What if Google didn't launch Chrome? Let's say Bing launches in 2009 and there is no Chrome and Microsoft still has 70% share and will for a while. Yep. And they make Bing the default. Let's see. Mobile would get big three, four years later in the 2012-ish time frame. Yep. Still small. So they basically that have like four years of 70% of People using browsers on any devices being defaulted to Bing. Now, obviously a lot of people would still want Google. They were used to it. They'd switch back. But like, I don't know, man, defaults are powerful. Defaults are powerful. I think you're right. This is why Google pays Apple $20 billion in there. Yeah. To your point, maybe without Chrome, Bing would have been a serious competitor to Google. There is no more important distribution point for search than the web browser.

2:20:38it is the way to monetize a browser. Basically the single way to monetize a browser. Yep. Which let's make this relevant to today and stop dancing. If the DOJ's ruling is that Google has to divest Chrome, there is one way that Chrome is a business and that is getting paid by Google to drive traffic to Google as a search engine. It's the only way to operate a business of a browser.

2:21:03And like maybe in the AI era, it's the AI company having it drive traffic, but it's the same exact thing. And so one of two things has to be true. Google owns Chrome or someone else owns Chrome and then Google pays them. But they think a lot of money definitely can't make illegal or I don't really understand what the goal is if you make it illegal is if you say they both can't own Chrome and they can't pay web browsers to drive traffic. Chrome has no potential of being a business if that's the case. So Chrome.

2:21:33huge win. In fact, it's so much of a win that after a couple of years, Google starts thinking, well, gosh, maybe we should build Chrome into an operating system in and of itself. Let's go attack Windows. Let's take it to Microsoft where it really hurts. Chrome OS, you know, it became successful in schools and education. Yeah, Chromebooks. Yeah, Chromebooks have major market shares there, but it's not a major player in the overall PC operating system market. It is wild.

2:22:02How much the PC computer operating system market is still dominated by Windows? That has never changed. You and I live in this world where like everybody uses a Mac, Mac has like 15% market share. Windows has like 70% market share of computer operating systems. Well, speaking of operating systems, it's time. I think it's probably time to talk about Google's big one, which is actually The biggest operating system in the world over 3 billion active Android devices now totally freaking wild that they bought for 50 million. Well that's a bad hearing they've invested so much more but just to make the point it is hit after hit after hit these things are not. Predicated on Google's distribution if you're a company.

2:22:58that launches a new widget and you can just distribute it with your old widget. It's not that impressive when your new widget gets dominance. But Google Chrome, I mean, they could do a little thing and they did push it on Google search pages, but they managed to get a lot of distribution just by being a great product on the market with viral adoption that everyone told their friends to use. And it was the David Rosenthal's going home to Thanksgiving that were sort of like the seat of it.

2:23:27and then within three or four years, they just ran the table and it's not just Chrome. Gmail is that way. Google Docs and spreadsheets were that way. I mean, that matches that way. It's everything, everything. All these things are independent, great products that became dominant on their own merits just like Google Search did. Yes. I 100% agree. And also helped by the fact that they were all free. Yes.

2:23:53Yes, fair and massively subsidized at least in the early years before they were able to be businesses on their own by the the old money printing machine and the basement of Google. Good old uncle adwords. Yes. All right, listeners.

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2:25:07All right, Android. So Google's office spaces are legendary. The first one, of course, being Susan Majeski's garage in Mountain View, companies, first office. And then today, the Googleplex, the old SGI, Silicon Graphics campus in Mountain View. In between, Google had another office.

2:25:37for a couple years in downtown Palo Alto. At 165 University Avenue would also later be the office that PayPal was started. Oh really? Very lucky building. Yeah August 1999 when Google moved out of that office, do you know who moved in? Based on the direction this is going, is it danger?

2:26:04Yes, it is. Yes. Danger. The company started by Andy Rubin. And Andy, of course, had been an engineer at Apple and then left Apple with a group of rebels. I don't know where they rebels that went to go start General Magic. General Magic, of course, legendary failed startup in Silicon Valley in the early 90s. Basically was trying to create the iPhone.

2:26:34just 15 years too early. Yeah. After General Magic, after it falls apart, he starts danger. Now, Andy's initial idea for danger was he wanted to make a wireless version of the QCAT scanner. What is a QCAT scanner? This was a device that plugged into your computer that looks like a cat, but it scanned barcodes. And so Andy's idea was, okay, well, man, all this General Magic stuff we are trying to do That was too far ahead. What if we think simpler and we just make a wireless version of this to scan barcodes? Okay, not a big idea. His first employee at Danger, a guy named Hiroshi Lockheimer, convinces him that, hey, actually, you know, a couple of years have gone by, maybe we should revisit this general magic stuff. Wait, Hiroshi was with him at Danger? He was the first employee. I did not know that. Yep, yes, he was.

2:27:29I mean, of course, as instrumental in the Android story later, I did not realize the two of them were at danger together, too. I spoke to Hiroshi and Research. He told me these stories. Great, great guy. Hiroshi led Android and Chrome at Google for many, many years and would be the authority on this. So Hiroshi's like, hey, hey, how many of us revisit this general magic stuff? And that led to danger building the sidekick.

2:27:56and launching it in partnership with team mobile. This thing was amazing. I think was so sick. I was jealous of all my friends that had one. It was a messaging focused sort of rich application cell phone. I think it was along with blackberries. The first vision of a cell phone where the primary thing you do on it is not talk to somebody is messaging. These things were freaking awesome. They were really big with celebrities. I think it was a plot of an entourage episode at some point in time. So they End up selling this company to Microsoft, right? Yes. Microsoft does end up acquiring the company, but not until 2008, which is the same year that Android launches. Andy actually had left Danger in 2003 and started a new company, Android. Which in the earliest days, it was kind of like an open source competitor to effectively Blackberry software. Yes, in its earliest earliest days.

2:28:54The first version of Android the company. Remember I was talking about point and shoot cameras and digital cameras back in the YouTube section? Yeah. Was actually to build a cross-platform open source operating system for point and shoot digital cameras. Oh wow. Yeah, that was Andy's vision was like, oh hey, these point and shoot devices, like hundreds of millions of consumers have them now. What if there were a powerful operating system?

2:29:21Could that be a Trojan horse to get an operating system? You could sort of imagine it. Right. If cameras became phones instead of phones becoming cameras, then yes. Yep, exactly. But pretty quickly, it does become clear that phones are going to become cameras. So, good thing is, though, the software they're writing still works just as well on phones. So, Andy Pivot's the company and has the delivery vector shift from cameras to...

2:29:50smartphones. And at the time, the smartphone market such that it existed and it did exist. Blackberry Windows Mobile? Well, yeah, so here are the players. Basically, phone companies either were full stack like Apple in the iPhone is today where they made the phone and the operating system, so that was Nokia. And then the big player in the smartphone market at least was Blackberry, made their own software, made their own devices huge in the enterprise market.

2:30:19Or you did have OEMs device makers who made devices and then they bought an operating system either from Palm which made their own devices but then also started selling operating system to other vendors or the big player was Microsoft with Windows Mobile. And this was a license model as we talked about in our Microsoft part two. This was.

2:30:42you pay Microsoft single-digit dollars, and you get an operating system, and then you build the phone stuff on top of the operating system. Exactly. This was a good business for Microsoft. Obviously, it wasn't as big as the desktop market, but you can totally understand why this is their strategy. We are the main desktop operating system provider. This is our business bottle there. Let's just do the same thing here. It seems to be working.

2:31:11As far as the phone manufacturers, the OEMs, and the carriers are concerned, things are also pretty good. These phones that they're making, they can't really do that much, but because of that, they don't actually cost that much to make. And the consumers meanwhile are paying through the nose for these things. You have a smartphone on a carrier contract, you're paying like a hundred bucks a month. And they don't consume that much data either because they're not that capable. Everybody is.

2:31:41Fat and happy. Yeah. So into this morass that also Steve Jobs is of course looking at the same thing and saying this sucks. Enter Andy and Android and he goes around and he starts pitching the phone manufacturers and the carriers. Hey, stop buying an operating system from Microsoft or from Palm. I'll give you a great one for free. And oh, by the way, it's going to be open source and they'll be.

2:32:10third party applications that can be written to it. And these devices will be super powerful. The ecosystem's like, no, I don't want this. One, there's just no way in hell that a startup AT&T or Verizon is going to work with a little rinky dink startup that's valued at like $10 million and has eight employees. There's billions and billions of dollars at stake here. But the out of the part of it too, I think the reason that the smartphone market had stagnated for so long was this? Everybody was happy. Right. That's a non-priority dumps at the Apple cart. Right. It's almost like a version of enterprise software and IT, right? The users don't like it, but the users aren't actually the customers here as it's the carriers who are the customers. Yep. So 2005 rolls around, Andy's now two years into the company with Android. He's managed to convince HTC the...

2:33:07Taiwanese manufacturer to make a prototype with him. He's showing it to carriers, he's showing it to other OEMs. But for all the reasons we just discussed, it's tough sledding out there. The company's running out of money. As Andy is going around trying to gin up investment for another round, he ends up meeting with Larry Page. Larry immediately is like, forget raising another round. What if I buy you right now?

2:33:36So July 2005, Google buys Android for $50 million, $50 million per Android. Oh my goodness. But of course, that's the fallacy because they would pour billions in and development. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, they put billions. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, I know, I know, I know. But like to your point, this episode, Google is the hit factory here. This is the hit parade. Right. The correct way to think about Android is that Google built it in house.

2:34:05with a little kick in the pants from this startup kind of got far enough along with the idea that forced them to do it now. But they needed the kick in the pants. Yes. Because why was Larry so excited? Why did they buy Android right away? Eric and Larry and Sergey, they all knew that they were late to mobile. Here we are. It's now mid 2005. Hmm. We're 18 months away from the reveal of the iPhone.

2:34:34Apple and Google are very close. Why do you think they knew that they were late? I'm sure they were starting to get wind from Apple of what was going on. That's true. Eric's on the board at this point, right? Of Apple? He's not yet on the board, but he's about to join the board, but the companies are very close. Okay. There's that. But even, let's say they don't know about the iPhone. Blackberry is a thing. Yep. Big adoption. Yep.

2:34:59Smartphones, you know, and even Windows Mobile as bad as it was proved that there is demand. There is clearly consumer demand for this. Right. They had a version of Google.com for these devices to access and they could see the traffic. And they really knew it, especially from maps. Google Maps on mobile devices, smartphones was a killer application. Google is maintaining a kid you not.

2:35:24350 different versions of Google Maps for mobile for all the just sea of phones out there. And so like they know we have built our local government district on the desktop around our Disney world and uh-oh looks like mobile needs a district to. Yep so sure you're like you're right they would have done this anyway but They were starting to feel already like oh shoot we should have started this two years ago buying Android kick starts things and like From the Google perspective. Thank God they did because we're 18 months away from the iPhone launch and if they are starting from a cold start in January 2007 good luck We're not telling this story right now if they don't buy Android and they don't get started basically in the month that they did this market belongs to Microsoft Apple no Microsoft

2:36:20Oh, why do you say Microsoft? There's going to be two players. There's going to be a fully integrated player, which Apple was going to be. And then there's going to be an OEM plus licensed operating system. And the model would have just been that Microsoft sells operating systems, a mobile operating system. Great point to the OEMs who were freaking out that Apple was going to run away with it. Great point. So now back to it.

2:36:47Android and why Android was especially so attractive. Andy already had the right business model for Google. It's just that as Android, the startup, OEMs and carriers are like giving it to me for free. That makes you less attractive to me. But now all of a sudden within Google, they can run the playbook that they run everywhere. They go to the carriers, the OEMs. It's funny how giving it away for free as a startup is counter-signal. It makes you look desperate. But if you're Google, it's like, oh, they must have a really good plan here. Exactly.

2:37:17start work on Android as part of Google here in summer of 2005. And the plan initially is that they're going to be two versions of Android. There's a prototype and a device that'll be more near term to launch called the quote unquote sooner, sort of the more blackberry like device, not a touch screen device. And then there was a longer term Advanced research project codenamed the dream for a touchscreen smartphone device. Summer of 2006, that next year, Eric Schmidt joins the Apple board. See how far along and how good the iPhone is. And then January of 2007, the iPhone is revealed in the greatest corporate presentation keynote of all time. Yeah.

2:38:14Eric is in the freaking keynote. Steve Jobs invites Eric Schmidt on stage. And Android hasn't been announced yet, right? Nope, nope, nobody knows about Android. This is in January of 07, and then July 07's when it shipped. July 07, yes, is when the iPhone shipped. Now, I believe Eric had disclosed to Steve about the sooner project, because obviously there's public that Google had acquired Android, and I believe that Steve Jobs knew that Google was working on like a blackberry style phone, but he did not know about the dream prototype. So Eric comes on stage and you go watch us. We'll link to this in this clip in the show notes. It's crazy. It's about a three minute long total thing. Eric comes on stage. He makes a joke about merging the companies.

2:39:09that like Apple and Google are so close they should merge. He says the company should be called Apple goo. And then he jokes and he says, well, but here's the way with the iPhone that we can merge the companies without actually merging. He's making these jokes. And the camera is focused on Steve Jobs and he just has the Ick. I mean, that's the best way to describe. He's like trying to be a good sport and smile and be like, yeah, but he has the Ick. It is unbelievable to watch.

2:39:39This, knowing everything that would happen over the next 10, 15 years. This incredibly close collaboration. There are two apps that launch in the very first version of the iPhone. Remember, it didn't have an app store. It was not open to third party developers. There is a YouTube app and a Maps app, both of which are Google services. Now, the apps are written by Apple. The icons are designed by Apple. They're basically just consuming Google's data as APIs.

2:40:07The only icons and apps on the phone are the ones that Apple puts there and two of the, yeah, I don't know how many there were 10, 12, 13 apps are Google apps. It's wild. By the way, the YouTube icon with the wood green TV, so awesome. So awesome. I heard...

2:40:27the YouTube team absolutely detested it. They hated it. Yeah, they hated it. Well, because it wasn't the YouTube logo. They knew. All right. I mean, it was obvious. This was not going to work because the YouTube team was like, Apple didn't put our logo on there. Of course, they're going to start bringing in other video content over time. It was a little bit pre-algorithm, but the thinking was there. We have to make YouTube a destination and then control the experience when they're in and making the app icon reminiscent of an old school CRT.

2:40:56TV was also just like deeply antithetical to YouTube inventing the video of tomorrow. Yes. Yes. It still looked great, though. It fit in with that first iPhone, for sure. It totally did. Do you know who was the leader of the Google mobile teams that developed the back ends for these apps? Oh no. Vic Gandotra. Really? Yes. That was his first job, I think, within Google. First or second job within Google.

2:41:25Vic is gonna come back up here in a minute. So the iPhone, you know, truly world-changing historic event. The Android team, of course, is watching this. And yeah, that whole sooner prototype thing. Right in the trash. The next day. Right in the trash game. Directly in the trash can. The dream is no longer a dream. It's happening now. Get in, kid. You're the A team now. Yep.

2:41:55Clearly, touch screens are the future of mobile devices. And a capacitive touchscreen at that. Yeah. So remember, Eric Smith is on the Apple board. Once Steve Jobs finds out about what the Android team in Google is now doing, he goes ballistic. Or perhaps to use his word, thermonuclear. Yes, yeah, yeah, yeah. Full on classic Steve Jobs. Supposedly, Add an apple all hands, meaning this is actually a little later, but he's overheard and quote, leaked to the press is saying, we did not enter the search business. They entered the phone business. Make no mistake. Google wants to kill the iPhone. We won't let them. Wow. Which is, I mean, to this day fair, Apple has been happy to just take a spiff of all the traffic that they send to Google and not compete in Google's core business. Yep.

2:42:52Now, I will say I believe Apple reputation launders a little bit. They get a lot of the value of being in the search business without having to do all the stuff that they demonize from a privacy and data sharing and all that icky-ness perspective, but fine, whatever. It's doing business. That's fair. Apple did not enter the search business. So in Walter Isaacson's book, Steve Jobs says, I'm going to destroy Android because it's a stolen product. I'm willing to go thermonuclear war on this. Yes. He also says, I will spend my last dying breath if I need to and I will spend every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to write this wrong. He was pissed. He was really pissed. Now interestingly, he doesn't actually kick Eric Schmidt off the board until 2009. Yeah, it's interesting. So I think it took Steve a little while to realize what the dream was within.

2:43:50Google and there's also a reasonable argument back look both companies took stuff from each other a lot of the stuff that you know Apple touts that they were the first company to ever do multi-touch and they on the there were predecessor companies that did multi-touch before them to the iPhone debuted a lot of technologies for the first time and a lot of them were also just at the right time in history and I think Android arrived in a lot of similar conclusions at the same time True, it's interesting you said multitouch. So, multitouch actually becomes the bottom ground. Because that's the patent that they go to war over? That's the patent that Apple has. So, Steve Jobs threatens to sue Google over implementation of multitouch gestures. And so, as a result, Android for several years doesn't have things like pinch to zoom or the sort of swipe operating system UI navigation gestures. And I'm pretty sure.

2:44:45If you remember early Android phones for the first couple of years, every single one of them had four physical buttons at the bottom of the phone to navigate the operating system. I think this is why. But let's take the Google side of this argument for a minute. When Android does launch, they have the market, which today is the Play Store. Apple didn't have an App Store. Android had, when you swipe down a notification center with all the notifications from each of your individual apps, You could have a couple of years to get that. Drag to rearrange apps on the home screen. I mean, these are things that Apple then directly copied as well. Right. Yeah. All right. So yeah, let's get into the great artist's steal. Exactly. Let's get into the launch and the competition. So November 2007, so what's that 10 months after the iPhone reveal and five months after the launch? Remember, Android launches in 2008.

2:45:42Google announces the formation of the open handset. That's right. And this is a partnership with HTC Motorola Samsung LG T-Mobile Sprint Qualcomm Intel Broadcom and Texas instruments. And this was so confusing at the time. I and everybody else was like, what does it mean? What is this? Is Google making a phone? Is Google not making a phone? So then a whole year goes by with basically nothing. And then in September of 2008, A lot of things happened in September of 2008, Chrome, Android, Lehman Brothers, Google announces the T-Mobile G1 phone, the G-Phone, and the T-Mobile G1 is manufactured by HTC, member Andy and Android's original partner in the prototype, and the product name, the HTC product name for it is the HTC Dream. This is the Dream.

2:46:38This was what they were working on and in the US it's called the G1. It actually is a super interesting little device. I wrote an app in it. I had a class in college. It was like a capstone class or something where I could like pick my own project to do. And we had a four person team and one of the guys had a teamable G1 and we wrote, I think it was like a Java thing for it. But he then founded the company Daily Booth.

2:47:05After that. Oh, wow. Yeah. In fact, it may have even been like a daily booth for Android app. You had a lot of founders come out of your crew at Ohio State. Awesome. So it has a touchscreen on the front with the physical navigation buttons like I was talking about. It has a slide out horizontal query keyboard, sort of reminiscent of the sidekick back in the days. Unlike the iPhone, it has multitasking. So you can run multiple apps at once.

2:47:35and it has third-party applications. Now, that's a little bit unfair to the iPhone because by the time the G1 actually launched, Apple had indeed just shipped the App Store. The event where they launched it is like T-Mobile event in New York City. In a commercial kitchen, it's a haphazard random launch. You can't even find video of it today. There's like little clips you can find and still images. What is widely reported and you can actually see in photos, Larry and Sergey do show up. They rollerblade into the building. They rollerblade on stage. They're all these T-Mobile and HTC executives there and suits and here come Larry and Sergey on rollerplates on stage. Listeners joined the acquired email list. We'll throw this in the next email. It goes out. Yeah. It was haphazard to say the least. But the G1 slash dream becomes a pretty decent success. It sells over a million units in the US and

2:48:34Just this one device, this one phone, gets 6% smartphone market share, which puts it roughly on par with POM. Like all of POM, the G1 kind of matches in market share, but the smartphone market is still very small. Yeah. It's important to remember, mobile really wasn't a thing until 2011 of very obviously the next wave and the next computing paradigm. Yeah, but to be fair to Apple on the iPhone.

2:49:03It is starting to run away with the market. And this is to the point of, man, if Google had not bought Android when it had, it would have been too late. So the whole lifetime of the G1, they sell about a million units. The iPhone sold 11 million units in 2008 alone, 20 million in 2009. So basically overnight, Apple and the iPhone goes from not in the smartphone market at all to over 50% market share of smartphones. But as great as The iPhone was, it did have a few weaknesses. No copypaste. No copypaste? Yup. No multitasking. As mentioned before, it didn't multitask. Not very customizable. I think we're still in the era of you can't even change your wallpaper on the iPhone. Pretty sure we are. I think it's still just the black background. Yup. You can't put your own apps on it from anywhere but the app store even after it launches. Yup. A big knock at the time.

2:50:01People love that it's a touchscreen. People really wanted the physical keyboards. Yep. And the biggest problem with the iPhone at least in the US, you can only get it on AT&T. And you could only get it with the Edge network. It was unusable. That's right. It didn't have 3G. It was so terrible. Eventually the iPhone 3G came out within a year, but even that was really slow. The network had not caught up to what you wish the device could do for a few years. Yep.

2:50:29So that brings us to holiday 2009, and the Motorola droid. Changed everything. It's sort of funny to say now, like, oh, the Motorola, like, the Motorola droid. This changed everything. Yes, the motor, I mean, when we interviewed Steve Bomber a couple of months ago, he brought it up. When the droid launched, it was holiday 2009. And I think you and I were like, was it really that late? Wasn't it early? And he was like, no, Christmas 2009, and we'll never forget it. That is when Android won the market. This was, The moment and Google was really willing to put their brand second now where they really putting their brand second it's Android versus droid so very convenient but like if you were to go survey the American public in 2009 10 11 12 maybe even 13 and say do you know about Android the mobile operating system no do you know about droid oh yeah I have a droid phone well then there are a couple years after that where I was like do you know about

2:51:29Google and Android. Yeah. Maybe do you know about Samsung and Galaxy? Oh, yeah. I know about that. Yeah. Exactly. So we'll get into that in a sec. The droid. Droid does, baby. Verizon at this point is getting pummeled by AT&T. It's been two years since the iPhone launch. AT&T isn't just stealing a lot of subscribers from Verizon because of the iPhone. They're stealing the best subscribers. The people that are willing to pay the most money for the biggest price data plans for smartphones. Verizon finally decides we gotta change the game here. We gotta be able to compete with the iPhone. We're gonna go all in on Android. We are going to buy a device and make this our flagship smartphone, position it against the iPhone, and we're gonna invest hugely behind this thing.

2:52:26So the device itself, the actual droid made by Motorola, it was a great device. It had a big screen, big screen for the time. A slide out keyboard, it had a five megapixel camera, removable battery. All of these things the iPhone didn't have. Probably the most important feature it had though. The killer killer app was on the software side. It was the first Android device launched with Google Maps turned by turn. Navigation. I didn't realize that. So before the droid, there was this whole consumer electronics product category of dedicated GPS devices. People old enough to remember. Tom Thompson's. Tom Thompson's nav text. People would buy these devices. Garmin. Yep. They would put them in their cars. And

2:53:23You also paid a monthly subscription fee for the service of the term by turn navigation overnight. This entire product category gets. Absolutely. It sure locked gone because Google Maps is a better product with better navigation and it's free. No more monthly fees. Just baked in in your phone and the device you already have with you. Why on earth would.

2:53:52anybody buy, let alone pay monthly for a standalone GPS product again. And you know what, doesn't have it? The iPhone, the Apple version of Google Maps, you had to manually advance the steps. So it would pull up the route. And then you could tap the button to be like, I've made this turn. Now show me the next part of it. That's such a funny. You're exactly right. I remember that too. Not really what you want to do while you're driving. Man.

2:54:22Yeah. It's crazy how not that long ago this was. Totally. That was the killer feature. But even more important than the features was the marketing and the muscle that Verizon put behind this. So they licensed the droid name from Lucasfilm. That's right. And I think Lucasfilm was mentioned at the bottom in the credits of every commercial. Yes, every commercial. And they did these series of commercials that we've been referencing. Man, if you lived in the US and you are older than like 12 at this time. This is burned in your memory. It was so great. The first 80% of the add, 90% of the add was an Apple style ad knockoff with the like bright happy upbeat music and the white background. And it had the fading Apple style texted. It said, I don't multitask.

2:55:11I don't have a removable battery, you know, et cetera, et cetera. And then the very last, you know, five seconds of the ad, there was like a hard cut and like static noise and it was black and it was edgy and then it said, droid does. It was so good. So the CMO of Verizon, so Verizon did all of this, said that the campaign was designed to quote, wake up the market. And boy, did it ever. So that original droid, I think it sold a quarter million units the first weekend it was on sale. And then it sold a million units faster than the original iPhone had. Like there was just so much pent up demand for a real smartphone on the Verizon network. Plus all the, you know, yeah, this has turned by turn navigation. But even like put aside whether it was better or not, it just was a real smartphone on Verizon. Time magazine.

2:56:10Name the droid. It's product of the year for 2009. Wow. The bigger thing though is that like Verizon going all in behind it, even though they would add the iPhone later, it creates sort of this seed of what the Android user base would become today, at least in America, because Verizon went all in on Android, all in on Android over the next couple years. They...

2:56:34followed the original droid up with, let's see, there was the HTC droid incredible, the droid X, the droid two, the droid bionic, the droid max. All of these had major marketing campaigns behind it. Game over for the segment of the market that is not Apple. There's different OEM from operating system. Google just runs away with it. And before this, it Microsoft had a shot. They were a systemic disadvantage because they were going to carriers and saying, why don't you pay us?

2:57:03five bucks, 10 bucks, and Google was going to them and saying, here you go. This is free. You can have the source code and you can modify it as you see fit. Even today that I think Samsung has their own OS, Samsung one or something like that, that looks different. I mean, it's Android, but it's the open source version of Android that they've customized. That's the thing that's on, I don't know, a billion phones. And three, we aren't Microsoft. Yeah.

2:57:30you guys don't want to be compact. Right. Microsoft managed to suck up all the profit and then entire value chain and handset makers, you currently make money. So why would you go work with Microsoft who did that to the PC makers? And then as a little sweetener on top of all this, you know, I mentioned it was free and open source. It's actually less than free. We're actually going to pay you. Yeah. For searches that originate on your phone, we will give a little rev share to both the carrier and the OEM, the handset maker. Yep. So this was not widely publicized at the time, as you can imagine, but Bill Gurley wrote a blog post where he had heard from friends that Google was paying carriers and OEMs to use Android, even though Android was free. And he wrote this incredible blog post about it called the less than free business model. And he basically predicted that like,

2:58:28Android is going to run away with this here. If you're a carrier or an OEM, sure, there's a segment of the market that's going to demand Apple. That's fine. But Microsoft is dead. Palm is dead. Blackberry is dead. There's no way you can compete with free, let alone less than free, where they are paying you to take something of value for free. Yep. And from Google side, it's the exact same thing as that thing we talked about with open-source and Chromium. They're happy.

2:58:55to give a few percentage points in traffic acquisition costs of their search revenue to people who are ensuring that the platform underneath them doesn't belong to someone else. I mean, there was some risk that it was all Apple. And then that creates two problems for Google. One, they pay Apple a lot more money than they pay the combination of the carrier and the OEM maker. Those get a much smaller spiff. Two, this means that Google controls more of the underlying environment that they operate in. Imagine how terrible it would be for them if mobile Safari was the new internet explorer and their entire franchise was at risk of Apple saying, and we're going to point traffic over here now. Google is happy to toss a couple of points over to these guys. I can't think of another example of a dominant technology business and business model that has

2:59:53successfully survived and transitioned a major platform shift and thrived in that next platform as well. Mobile was a platform shift, a huge one. I mean, going from PC to the web was a platform shift. Going from PC and web to mobile, was it even bigger platform shift? Well, play it out even back further in history than this.

3:00:17IBM was dominant in mainframes and then lost their dominance in the PC era Microsoft was dominant in PCs and then lost their dominance in the web era Google was dominant on the web and stayed dominant in the mobile era I mean, they didn't derive giant profits from the mobile like directly off of selling phones or selling the OS or you know, they make somebody on the Play Store But not giant amounts relative to the rest of their money and what other players like Apple make but they kept search going but they managed to stay relevant to consumers with these hundreds of millions billions of devices that they shipped and their business was doing better than ever. I mean, all of these Android phones that are shipping, especially in the earlier years, what is the most prominent part of the UI on the touchscreen? Giant freaking Google search bar right there at the top. Right. The state of play of being a big tech company in this states back 80 years is technology moves fast.

3:01:14and the new paradigms disrupt everyone that came before you so you get one era and you gotta make the absolute most of the one era that you grew up in and after that you're probably gonna lose relevance you might keep your money machine going for a long time famously IBM made more revenue than Microsoft for a lot longer than people think or even take Microsoft and Windows like Windows is still big today.

3:01:38But the importance of that platform is going to fade and fade and fade. But yeah, you won't be able to transition your business model into the next era. Google did it. And occasionally someone misses the second era, but comes back for the third. Apple figured out mobile. They never won a previous era. They were a player in PCs, but they didn't win. Almost no one gets two. And almost no one gets two successive ones. And that is the really impressive thing that Google figured out how to do here. Yeah.

3:02:08I mean, guys, like we said, this episode is the hit parade. Android, basically from end of 2009 onward, just washes over the world like a title wave. In holiday 2009, when the droid comes out, total Android market share of the smartphone market is still in the, you know, the G1 range, like five, six percent global market share. One year later, 30%. They go from 5% to 30% in one year. They announced that over 200,000 Android devices are shipping every day around the world. The next year in 2011, Android's market share is 50% and two years after that by the end of 2013, it is 80% market share. In many ways, it's sort of the Visa network of networks thing where they don't

3:03:03have to make every phone. They don't have just one horse in the race. They're getting leverage by having two, three, four, five major manufacturers of these devices that are all independently doing their own marketing. And there's a very clever arrangement where you can just have the Android open source project and you can build your own mobile phone and You know you can launch it and you don't have our app store and you don't have to default to Google search and you don't get Google map like you just have the operating system and it's great anyone could do that But why wouldn't you want to have our app store? It's where all the apps are and if you do that Then you get all the great Google services all the apps you get the native Gmail and the native maps and all this great stuff we've written and if you do that then Google's the default search

3:03:51Pay you for that and then you make money yeah, but by the way if you want all this stuff that your consumers are gonna demand you are gonna default to Google search like it's a very That's the payment That's the offer you can't refuse yes now here's the actual sort of crazy thing as I said by 2013 Android global market share is 80% that's actually higher than it is today today It's down to like I think 72% an apple is You know, 27.99% Apple's share has really grown. No question Android pushed iPhone to be better on many dimensions. Things like cheaper iPhones, bigger screens, better cameras, I mean, on and on and on and on of things that I don't think Apple would have done if Android hadn't been pushing them. Probably not big cheap screens.

3:04:49but some of the cameras, I think so. Maybe. I don't know. I mean, for years, the iPhones did not have good cameras. A big part of that droid marketing push was the five megapixel camera. That's right. The original few iPhones had a two megapixel camera, I think. Like, it was crappy. Yeah. They've definitely pushed each other. Yeah. So then the other quick thing to mention on Android history, there was one interesting moment in tension with Samsung in the early to mid.

3:05:182010s. Samsung basically said, oh, okay, the iPhone is the premium device. Android is this incredibly flexible platform. What if we just take Android and copy the iPhone with Android? And they got really good at it. The Galaxy devices were just shipping in huge, huge numbers. And then Samsung started stripping out Google services and putting their own Samsung services and on some of their devices.

3:05:45That was a bridge too far for Google so this is when Google started the pixel program Google had done the Nexus program making their own hardware before the pixel though Was in is a sort of Reference device that yeah consumers could buy but more so to show the rest of the OEM market the non Samsung market hey here are reference designs essentially for great premium devices, great cameras, all the features you want. Here, copy these. It's the same thing as the Microsoft Surface Strategy. Y Bomber was so adamant. We got to make a surface. We got to show the OEMs how to do this. Right. It's funny. So I've been trying to think about what is the business of Android? Google having Android versus Google not having Android. And I tried to pull up the most credible numbers I possibly could. There's basically two

3:06:42things that you just have to add together to create the value. One is how much money they make from the Play Store, which has become significant, didn't used to be but is now. And then the second is how much money are they saving by not having the searches originate from a platform that they don't own. I used to think, oh, because it's Android, they don't have to pay money. They have to pay $20 billion to Apple. It's not zero. They do actually have to pay like we talked about.

3:07:11David, I sort of figured out as we were going through the financial disclosures and stuff, they do pay the OEMs and they do pay the carriers. And the question is how much? Because once you kind of figure out how much then you can do a little bit of napkin math to figure out, okay, well, how much are they still saving by it not being Apple? So Google paid out last year and I'm just using the current numbers to try to figure out what the splits have always been. They paid out last year 55 billion in total traffic acquisition costs.

3:07:40Now traffic acquisition costs are actually the sum of two different numbers from two different businesses because they love to obfuscate things one It's what we're actually looking for the acquisition of traffic to Google search and the other component is money that we paid to Publishers where our ads show up in the sort of double-click ad sense world. Yep Now, we know that that averages about a $70.30 split and we know that they made $30 billion last year gross in the Google network. So you could say, okay, they probably paid out about $21 billion of that $55 billion in the AdSense DoubleClick Google network world. So that backs our $55 billion down to $34 billion. Okay, that's $34 billion in actual traffic acquisition for Google search. And we know

3:08:3320 was iPhone. Right. For Safari searches. So that means there's 14 billion that gets distributed to non-Apple traffic acquisition distribution partners, which in their annual report, they define as browser providers, mobile carriers, original equipment manufacturers, and software developers. It's basically 14 billion to the Android mobile carriers and OEMs plus Firefox.

3:09:02Yep. What am I missing? I'm going to guess Firefox is less than a billion, call it somewhere around half a billion-ish. Yeah. There's probably some version of the old portal deals that still exist. Properties on the web that have Google search baked into it. Okay, so let's cut four billion off for Firefox and the other web properties and other. Yep. Okay, so 10 billion going to the carriers in OEMs.

3:09:32It's actually pretty significant that 10 billion going to carriers and OEMs. It's half of what they're paying Apple. Half of what they're paying Apple, but for many, many, many more devices. Right. And so clearly the revshare to the carriers and OEMs is a much smaller percent than what they have to pay Apple. I'd guess a quarter. Either way, I actually think after walking all the way through it, The bigger component of this is just de-risking their future. It's not how many billions. They don't care about giving 10 billion up for this. Yeah. As we've been saying all episode, Google is more than happy to pay traffic acquisition costs to any and everyone. Yes. And so then direct value that they make from the Play Store. It actually came out in a lawsuit. In 2019, Play Store revenue was 11.2 billion. Then gross profit was 8.5 billion and 7 billion in operating income.

3:10:25Now seven billion, not nothing, but still a far cry from Google's core business of ads from search, Gmail, and maps. And that same year, the core business did almost 100 billion in revenue. So something like 85 billion in gross profit is my best estimate and around 30-ish billion in operating income. So even though the Play Store made seven billion in 2019, the important thing is that Android is still primarily protecting the core search ads business and making sure that traffic doesn't go elsewhere.

3:10:55this levered Google's web business into the mobile era. How amazing is that? Yeah, that's true. It probably generated several hundred billion dollars profit dollars that they may not have had those years otherwise. Yep. So I guess what I'm saying is obviously Android was a giant success and the biggest reason even though they save, I don't know.

3:11:2110, 15 billion a year from not having to pay it to Apple and even though they generate 8 billion, I'm sure at this point it's bigger, I don't know, 10, 15 billion a year, really it's about just protecting the core, not about saving costs. Yeah. And this one, they almost missed it. They hadn't bought Android when they had, like that window was closing fast. And Microsoft did miss it. Fast, fast, fast. Yep. And so at some point Andy Rubin leaves and Sundar actually takes over the combined teams.

3:11:51So our hero here who is starting to gather more responsibilities, it was just the application clients and then it was Chrome. And in 2013, it becomes Chrome and Android. And whenever you see Sundar on stage, he is very proud of Google's two open platforms. Yep. So today, there are more than three billion active Android devices. I think it's even higher than that now. This is silly. There's like seven billion people in the world. They're active over three billion active.

3:12:20Android phones. Yes. So you're probably thinking coming into this 2010-2011 era, they're really feeling themselves over there at Google. You know, we've jumped over some failures, but it's been hit after hit after hit in a lot of these areas that really matter. Just like we talked about on the Microsoft episodes, it really doesn't matter when you fail and how many times you fail. Even the size of your failures, if your hits are these giant world-changing platform type tech businesses that endure for decades. And that's what they add on their hands. Yep. And it sure looked at this time, like there was another big technology category out there. Of social. That Google should be playing in of a similar size called social. Yes. And this is the Google plus story. I'd say rest in peace, but I don't think anybody misses it. Yeah.

3:13:19All right, well, I want to start this story the way that people expect us to start this story and I have a little bit of a different take on it as we get part way in. So Google had been interested in social for a long time. They weren't blind blind to it in 2007. They tried to do open social and they basically failed at that because Facebook didn't participate in Facebook was social so everything else combined didn't really matter. Oh, you didn't start where I thought you were going to start. The craziest thing is that Google had Facebook before Facebook.

3:13:49Orchid. Yeah, that's true. Which I think was like a 20% time project. It was blew up in Brazil. Yeah, totally. No, no, yeah. Okay. So there was a Turkish engineer who worked for Google named Orkid Buchokten. And his passion was social networking. And Friendster was a thing at the time. And so January 2004, before Gmail, before the Google IPO, before Facebook launches on the Harvard campus in his 20% time, he, uh, Watch as a social network within Google called Orchid and it didn't become that big in America, but it got at its peak. I think 300 million users. It was the biggest social network in Brazil, the biggest social network in India. Wow. And Google is like, I don't know, it doesn't seem that important. All right, so open social then in 2007, Google Wave in 2009. By the way, can we just pause and say 2009? This is like right after Chrome, right after Android. Google is a big place.

3:14:49And Google is a siloed place at this point. I mean, it's kind of crazy that Android is happening over in this other building. And there's this like fight with Apple. And that's the same time that they're doing Google Wave. Like, it's weird that this is all sort of concurrent. The company was focused in a lot of different directions, but it was so decentralized that actually worked. Well, it worked early. Yeah. It worked really well to get all the stuff off the ground. It was so interesting.

3:15:15doing the research for this episode because so many of the people we talked to, even people who were leaders of a lot of these products, because Google was so decentralized and so siloed, they were focused on their thing on Android, Chrome, whatever. And so we'd ask, you know, what was the overall strategy? What was the through line to all of this? And we kept getting answers of like, well, it was just Google, people worked on what they thought was cool and it was good for the web. And like, that is absolutely true.

3:15:43But there was this all overlay of this very very thin layer of strategy that held the whole web together. I think that the strategy was pretty tight at the top level, and they just didn't actually need to communicate it down very far. Most people that I talked to said, I don't know, I was just trying to build great products. I think it was a feature not above, is what I'm saying, that it didn't communicate down because it let the teams below build really, really great products.

3:16:09Yep. And never really think about how is this going to help the ads business. And that was okay. Yep. So wave failed because really nobody knew what to use it for despite a dazzling and wonderful first introductory video buzz then in 2010. That created this big privacy debacle right at launch. It was super short lived. That shut down. So that in 2010, Erz Holzer, very senior Google at this point, probably distinguished engineer senior vice president. Yeah.

3:16:38The guy who created the distributed infrastructure. Right after the buzz failure, he is inspired to write this memo. Kind of like the Bill Gates 1995 internet memo. There's a sea change going on. The internet is becoming more people oriented. Social media could be a problem for us. The social media challenge requires a decisive and substantial response involving a significant deployment of personnel right away.

3:17:05Essentially, the internet was now starting to organize around people in this Web 2.0 era, not just pages and applications, the things that were sort of the domain of Google. And so here's why I want to pause, David, and I'm going to take it in a little bit different direction than I think you're probably expecting, which is so therefore they went after Facebook. I think it's a little bit more related to the palace intrigue at Google and a little bit less on the nail strategic. So if you zoom out and look at the company right now, It's pretty fragmented. It's got different fiefdoms with big personalities at the top of each of these fiefdoms. Android, Chrome, Search, YouTube, developer relations, trying to sort of will a Google platform into existence. Different products with kind of competing goals. Ultimately, they all help Google's overarching mission. But there's a lot of elbows starting to come out. Android was its own fiefdom.

3:18:03Totally off on its own island, fighting an existential battle. Chrome is starting to do the same stuff as Android. They're building their own operating system. It's not clear what belongs in an Android camp versus a Chrome camp. And Sundar hasn't unified them yet. Search, very protected, separate team, especially the core people doing search ranking and monetization. No one touches them. YouTube is totally separate.

3:18:27Gmail is massive, and it really is the only one in 2009, 10 at the company that owns identity, since it's the only Google property that you actually have to log into. YouTube has its own entirely different username and password system. It's a mess, right? It's a complete mess. So Larry is sensing this. He's not CEO at the time, but he's realizing the company's all over the place. He decides he's just going to come back and get the company on track. And so I think Google Plus is kind of just the thing he picked, as the single thing to try to galvanize and unify the company around, and no matter what they picked and how they executed it, it was gonna create a lot of carnage. I can buy that. There was a big shift that needed to happen in one way, shape, or form, and Google Plus ended up kind of being the ugly thing they did.

3:19:20a re-centralizing of authority so to speak within the company right so in May 2010 they get the top 50 people at Google's leadership assembled to discuss what to do the argument for this is this is more of a convenient crisis yeah model and it might be a real crisis also but it's also exactly what you're saying David so officially then in January 2011 Google announces Larry page will return as CEO in a few months that April right away Larry moves his office into what would become the Google plus building. Wow. Yep. So they had just come out of this chapter. They've got this amazing business. The whole Chrome and Bing thing was defense against Microsoft. Android was defense against Apple and Microsoft. And Google plus is now defense against Facebook. Yep. And legitimately, you could imagine a world where social ends up becoming way more important. And the only

3:20:14places to put ads and the places where people are asking for information. And there was rumors for a long time. Facebook was going to build a search engine. You have the attention. You can hijack it and do other stuff with it. These were walled gardens. Facebook was a walled garden. Google search couldn't index what happened inside of Facebook. Right. And so yeah, you could see how this is an existential threat. You said, like, the traffic is growing. Like, oh my gosh, what if this becomes AOL all over again? Right.

3:20:39And that's the main thing. One tear down from that is Facebook doesn't even allow other ad servers. At least with AOL, we could do a deal with them and power their monetization. Facebook just hired Cheryl Sandberg. They're doing this. They're doing it all in house, closed loop system. So Google Plus, what was Google Plus and how did it get built? So it was a one year sprint following this point, the 50 getting together. And it was built in a very, very ungoogly way.

3:21:08It was not organic, David, like these passion projects you're talking about. It was instilled from on high down upon all of the products. It was not based on a core technical insight. It was not consensus driven. It was top-down command and control style led by the person that you mentioned earlier, Vic Gundotra. Now, who was Vic Gundotra? Vic was this interesting character. Like we said earlier, he had been leading Google's developer efforts in the pre-Android days. And he was sort of the front man. He was the MC at Google IO. Right. If you were looking for somebody to communicate and push down this new top down vision across the company, he would be a logical choice. Yes. I don't know if he raised his hand. I don't know if Larry said, Hey, I really think you should do this on our behalf. But what is definitely true is it became Vic's thing. And Eric and Larry and Sergei step back and let Vic run with it. And

3:22:07whether he was given an enormous amount of institutional authority. And we should say, too, you alluded to this earlier, what was Google Plus? It wasn't just a social product in and of itself. It was baked into all Google. It was inserted into every other product that Google had. There's a quote from Vic to the press at the time about this about what Google Plus is. He says, this is the next generation of Google. It is Google.

3:22:35Plus one. Oh boy. Oh boy. There's a lot of these. I'm a crazy human saying that. Oh, it gives me the heavy TVs. So yeah, it was a Facebook style thing, but it's goal in addition to being a Facebook style thing was to leverage all of Google's assets and make all Google things, Google plus things. So they moved big head counts out of each team and onto the Google plus team. They reached deep to integrate with these other products. And it's very clear who the boss was and all these negotiations.

3:23:03Utic clear mending like your job this half year this year is do these Google plus integrations. Yeah, you're OKR. Yes. Famously ran on OKR. It was now all about plus pluses. And Danny Crichton, who would go on to become the managing editor at TechCrunch, at this point in time was a Google intern. And he wrote about it later. And he said, due to this integration, much of it was forced. The culture around the company at Google had become deeply poisonous by the time I started. I still remember talking to one member of the PCASA team who was at Google's photo repository that they bought.

3:23:34who told me to f off when I asked about integrating Google Plus into the product. He was hardly the only one. Company-wide bonuses were based on the success of Google Plus. They even went so far as to put little plus one buttons on mobile advertisements, like those little banner ads at the bottom. Yes, this is the best. Google had bought AdMob. Yes. And the mobile display ad units. You could plus one it. Who the hell wants to plus one an ad? I mean, this is like Facebook's like button.

3:24:03But Google plus is version and they're like any Google thing should be plus oneable. So they even reached into YouTube comments and YouTube comments became Google plus posts. I mean, they almost killed the golden goose. Right. They almost killed all of these golden goose is that they had. Yes. And so Google plus from a product perspective, it wasn't just Facebook. They brought a lot of really interesting ideas. Google hangouts came out of this. Google photos came out of this. There were these things called sparks. I mean, they really rethought a lot of social networking. The issue is nobody really wanted to rethink social networking. That was a Google priority to get people to use this, not a user driven one. And they tried to essentially put rocket fuel on to scale something that really didn't have product market fit. Well, I really think that key huge

3:25:00mistake with Google plus one of the huge mistakes with Google plus was you don't need a Facebook when there's already Facebook. Not even that. Facebook was already dying. Mark Zuckerberg had already realized that the future of social was not what it looked like at this point in time. As Google is launching Google plus 2011 June, 2011, 2012, 2013. These were the big years for Google plus. What is Mark Zuckerberg doing? He's buying Instagram. He's buying WhatsApp.

3:25:29And he's remaking essentially, you know, Facebook into what Meadow would become of like, hey, what we used to think of as social networking has bifurcated into two things, public media, i.e. YouTube, Instagram, UGC, and private messaging. And here's Google launching, I kid you not. This is the craziest thing, desktop first.

3:25:55With a desktop only UI to arrange your friends into circles. Circles, that's right, circles. Which is on its own, it's such a computer science way of thinking about it. Oh, my friends are in sometimes overlapping, sometimes not overlapping groups that I want to carefully label so that I can identify deterministically who I want to share what with. Right, nobody wants to do that. Yeah. Here's the thing that just leapt out to me about Google+.

3:26:24This was Google's Windows Longhorn slash Windows Vista. In our Microsoft saga, we talked about how Vista slash Longhorn was the most damaging thing to the company because of the distraction and the siphoning of resources and the best talent away from working on what really mattered. Now, the question I was asking myself and others in research of, okay, what were the negative consequences of that? So like with Microsoft, it was clear.

3:26:53Google, who is the negative consequence? Like the whole reason Microsoft let Google fester from their perspective for all these years and didn't kneecap them was they were tied up with all the distraction from Vista and losing relevance with developers because they keep selling them a platform that kept not shipping and then when it eventually did ship it wasn't good. Right, so then I was sort of trying to figure out like, okay, what are the similar consequences for Google of the plus era?

3:27:22And at first, I couldn't really think of anything. I was like, oh, well, Nandra, it's pretty good. YouTube's pretty good. Chrome's pretty good. Search is still pretty good. Gemini AI comes out later. It's all pretty good. But there are two things. Messaging, probably. I bet in a non-plus world, what's up, something like that could be owned by Google. Yeah, two things. One is messaging. Totally mismessaging. So when I was a business school student at Stanford, Eric was now executive chairman and he started co-teaching a class at GSB and I took his class. I was one of his students during these years. It was awesome. It was one of the best classes I ever took. And the quarter when I was taking the class was when Facebook bought WhatsApp. And I remember Eric coming into class right after it happened and just being like, God damn it. We missed it. We totally missed it. It's because Google was distracted. So that was one thing and then I realized the other as bigger or bigger thing.

3:28:15is cloud. Google should have been massively investing in cloud. And there were all sorts of reasons that they didn't. We're going to save this for the next episode. But I was like, yeah, especially think about where the impetus for this came from, from ours, from this memo, the Erzquake memo, as it's known. Erz should have been focused on cloud. He should not have been focused on social. And Google had the wrong strategy in cloud.

3:28:43for many years. And as a result, that's why the cloud business is way behind Amazon and Microsoft. And maybe they churn some talent. Maybe there was some good people that got burned by the culture sort of souring. You could argue this destroyed product velocity. Yep. So like people complain today that Google is always working on really interesting technology and they just never get.

3:29:05cool products out the door. That is by far the biggest complaint you hear about Google from slow and big and bureaucratic and yeah, folks on the inside and outside these days is just like too slow. And yeah, yeah, that's probably the biggest negative consequences. Maybe you could trace that here. I bet you can because think about it before this, we just bet this whole episode talking about all these amazing things they were building and shipping and acquiring and transforming until Gemini and arguably that's a I actually don't know where Gemini stacks. Is it a third-place product? Still a question mark. Until Gemini, what great breakthrough consumer service did they launch after Google+. I got nothing. Oof. Yeah. That's pretty wild. After having this incredible 10-year run. And there was a lot of stuff they tried. I think some things for Android users. Think about Google now with that predated Google Assistant. Maybe Google Home. These are not world-changing products. Right.

3:30:01It's funny the thing that I keep thinking about from the Google plus failure is this big existential Facebook threat they were worried about. I mean, there was a strategy memo in 2013 where Neil Mohan said there is a risk that Facebook becomes the starting point of the internet. Google knew social was the future and tried to win it, but interestingly, they didn't and they've been fine. Right, right. It was all totally fine. And Facebook was really freaked out too that Google was going to come in and win it.

3:30:30I mean, Google was like this giant and Facebook was recently public going through their own problems. So even though it was kind of like a nothing burger and Google plus was a footnote in history, both companies were completely all in on this is the big battle. And ultimately, Google wasn't a credible threat to Facebook. And Facebook went in a different direction anyway. Facebook went in a different direction. Yeah. So it's almost like the end of burn after reading. Have you ever seen that movie? No.

3:30:59I won't spoil anything, but the feeling you have at the end is you just watched all this crazy stuff happen and you're like, whoa. Wait, did any of that matter? That's how Google Plus feels to me. Yeah. Funny. Google Plus did have two great surviving products. Hangouts which became meat and photos. Yep. Photos is a billion user product today. Wow. Huge. The biggest thing, and I think this is like...

3:31:26kind of getting back to my original postulate of never waste of crisis. You know what we have today? Google accounts. Yep. You know what Google is today? It's one company. It's not these little fiefdoms here and there of different people amassing power and building things in different ways. I mean, I'm sure there's still plenty of that.

3:31:47Everything about Google got more unified from this era. They have a failed product and a smoking crater to show for it, but a unified look across all their products, a unified login. That would I think be pretty important for them going forward. Anyway, my snarky finish on all this is it's tempting to say Google lost in social because Google plus was this giant smoking crater, but actually all of social ended up pivoting to either look like messaging or like YouTube anyway. YouTube is Kind of the winning paradigm in quote-unquote social media and UGC media. So they should have just done nothing and just watched the money printer go burr. Yep. To put about it, Vic ends up leaving the company in 2014. In 2019, they finally shut Google Plus down. There's a blog post about it. They cite like a big security breach as the reason I'm like, oh no, we've discovered this huge security vulnerability. Thus we need to shut down all of Google Plus.

3:32:46Dude, it's so bad. There's been 50 Google products that all sound kind of the same. They launched this one called Currents at one point. And when they shut Google Plus down, this is horrible. Many people wrote like articles as posts on Google Plus. And they're just gone. Yeah, that's right. Actually, it was sort of an impediment to doing some of the research for this episode because these posts are gone.

3:33:10So if you go to plus.google.com slash anything, it just redirects you to Google Currents. However, Google Currents has now been shut down. So it is a Google Workspace blog post announcing the current shutdown. Every time you click any Google plus link anywhere on the web, you go to a blog post that tells you about the shutdown of Currents. That's the most Googley thing. They got to do a better job with those. Well, by 2015, it's our last section.

3:33:40the bridge to Alphabet. Yeah. It's clear it's time for a new era at Google. The company announces that it is reinventing itself is becoming an entirely different company. Google is becoming Alphabet in August of 2015. And Larry Page will be the CEO of this new Alphabet holding company soon, DARPA Chi will be the CEO of Google, which will be by far.

3:34:09the largest and really primary operating company within Alphabet. Interestingly, they didn't at all decide to split up YouTube or any of the various products. They just spent all these years unifying it all. That's all Google. They broke out Google X. Yes. Google X, they broke out. Waymo is still part of X at this point in time that would later spin out as part of Alphabet on its own. But the other bets, including an Alphabet, Really quite clever. The Nomenclature here were nest that they had just acquired. Google Fiber, Calico, and Verly, their two health companies, Google X Lab, and then Google Ventures and Capital G, the two investing entities that they had. So, you know, they're really questions like, okay, well, why did they do this? Why did Larry become CEO of Alphabet, why did Sooner become CEO of Google? I think this kind of had to happen as like a healing.

3:35:05after Google+. Sooner was a leader who had real cred going back to the early days and with Chrome and with Android, like the core great products, two of these core great products, platforms that we've talked about the whole episode that have really driven the Google flywheel all along. Interestingly, he had never worked in search or ads. Right. But these are the platforms that had shoehorned Google into the mobile era and protected it from its greatest existential threat.

3:35:35And just also, Sundar's personality, I think was a way to reunify the company and bring everybody back together. Definitely strikes me as a peacemaker among big egos. Yes. And that is where we are going to leave Alphabet slash Google for the moment. Ben, give us a sense of how big this company had gotten. So at the end of 15, it's gotten huge. It's 75 billion in revenue. 52 billion of that is First party sites, Google websites, AdWords, Gmail, Maps, 15 billion, the smaller part is over in DoubleClick AdSense land. And actually, that's pretty low margin revenue. So again, the lion share in Google websites. YouTube is profitable at this point. And their bottom line operating income, Google did about $23 billion in operating income. And their other bets at this point lost about $3.5 billion.

3:36:33There are other bets are extremely interesting and will be the focus of our next episode. But the big takeaway here, the business was still in 2015 and essentially is still today search ads. Yep. And what so strikes me listening to you say those numbers in 2015. A, they're huge. But also, Google is so much bigger today on these same businesses with this same business model. Right.

3:36:59There was another 5x scaling to go over the next 10 years. Yes, it's crazy. Google back then was like 20% the size of Google now. And nothing has basically changed when it comes to the business model and products. I mean, nothing's changed since 2002. Right. Well, I think this era, what we talked about all the episode, all the hits were stording that business through these sea changes.

3:37:24but nothing has changed about what the core business is. It just turned out that that seed of that search ads actually scaled to the biggest market in the world. Yep. All right. Just like the last episode, which email at the end, I've got one little code. I went a little teaser for next time. Great. Ben, what if I told you that between 2015 and 2016, so this next year, this next 12 months after the alphabet transition, All of the following people were Google employees. Alex Krashevsky of AlexNet, a dawn of machine learning AI. His PhD advisor, Jeff Hinton, the godfather of AI, his collaborator on the AlexNet paper, Ilya Sudskiever, Founding Scientist of Open AI.

3:38:24Dario Amade, co-founder with his sister of Anthropic, Andre Carpati. Until recently, Chief AI Scientist of Tesla, Chris Ola, Noam Shazir, Ian Goodfellow, and of course, the co-founders of DeepMind, which Google acquired in 2014, Demis Hassabis, Shane Legg, and Mustafa Suleiman. Mustafa runs AI at Microsoft today.

3:38:52Andrew Ng from Stanford, Quackley, Oriole Van Yalis, and oh yeah, in addition to all of those people, the authors of the transformer paper because Google invented the transformer and published the paper in June of 2017. Right, which is the novel mechanism that all LLMs today from every big foundational model research lab is based on.

3:39:20When I was talking to folks in the research for this episode, and hey, I came up, one of them said, you know, I have to remind people when I'm talking a partner in the ecosystem that the T in chat GPT stands for Transformer and that we invented that. Because it is also during this time while Ilya is working at Google that he poses the question to his research colleagues in the Google Brain team that is working on all of this.

3:39:50Gosh, what do you guys think if we just built one really, really, really big neural network? And we set it loose with training data on the entire internet, which by the way, of course, we can do here at Google because thanks to the accommodation of the search index, we index the entire internet and all the products that we just talked about on this whole episode, we have all this data and all of this content out there. If we did that, do you think it would learn everything?

3:40:20Well, David, that feels like quite the groundwork for the next episode. That feels like a story for next time. Yeah. But through that lens, there is another way to view everything that happens at Google during this 10-year period we just discussed, which is that they're just collecting all the access, all the information, and all the talent for AI. It's nuts. There's a whole other world of research.

3:40:46who would be the people that would drive the next decade or five decades of change. And they basically had them all in one place at one time. They were all in place of Google. So I want to end with one more quote, this time from Larry Page, all the way back in the year 2000, this is Larry talking in the year 2000, artificial intelligence would be the ultimate version of Google. So if we had the ultimate search engine, It would understand everything on the web. It would understand exactly what you wanted and it would give you the right thing. That's obviously artificial intelligence to be able to answer any question. Basically, because almost everything is on the web, right? We're nowhere near doing that now. However, we can get incrementally closer to that.

3:41:36And that is basically what we work on. And that's tremendously interesting from an intellectual standpoint. We have all this data. If you print it out our index, it would be 70 miles high now. We have all this computation. We have about 6,000 computers. This is 25 years ago. We have enough disk space to store like 100 copies of the whole web. So you have a really interesting confluence of a lot of different things, a lot of computation.

3:42:02a lot of data that didn't used to be available. And from an engineering and scientific standpoint, building things that make use of this is a really interesting intellectual exercise. So I expect we'll be working on that for a while. Incredible. This is 25 years ago that he said this. Amazing. All right. Should we do some analysis? Let's do some analysis. All right. Let's do power and.

3:42:28For those who are new listeners, power is the section where we analyze which of the seven powers does Google have from Hamilton Helmer's framework that enables a business to achieve persistent differential returns or be more profitable than their nearest competitor and do so sustainably. Google is very, very weird to analyze for this because most of the way you think about Google is actually not where the economic transaction is. If you want to analyze the business, it is Why are advertisers spending a marginal dollar with Google versus spending it elsewhere? And Google has the seven powers that show up in numerous instances all over their business. But I think the interesting way for us to do this analysis, David, is let's look at each one. Just assume Google has them all and say where is the biggest or avery large example in our mind of where each of them show up. Great. I like that. So counter positioning typically doesn't show up for incumbents for large companies.

3:43:23This is the exception, though, with Google. Right. Where you just look at their sort of new businesses, for example, in this episode, talking about Android, they massively counter-positioned against Microsoft. The less than free business. Less than free business. I mean, this is the clearest example of counter-positioning, I think, that has ever existed. Oh, hey, my competitors require you to pay them. How about I pay you instead? Right. And my competitors can't do that because they don't have the business model of advertising based on search such that they can justify doing this. Right. Scale economies, especially as they're adding all these apps, all these users across all this surface area. Now, if you're an advertiser and you want to reach users across search or display or video, YouTube. Google is a one-stop shop. Right. You don't have to independently spend operational time and headcount on all these different platforms. You get the one.

3:44:19And that's not even to mention the scale economies on the infrastructure side. We talked about last time, or they show up in every business here, but that's just one example. And the fact that the more advertisers there are and the more users there are, the more profit Google makes, because each little individual auction on every individual search finds a maximal price. Yes. Network economies, YouTube, hello, more creators, more viewers, creators.

3:44:47make money from having views of their videos. Application developers on Android and users on Android, the two-sided network economies there. Yes, everywhere. Not to mention, in the core business too, in search, more users searching is more valuable to me as an advertiser, because I have a deeper pool of people I can advertise to, so I can just deploy more dollars on your channel if it's working. Yep, switching costs, how about Gmail?

3:45:13Oh, I've got my last 20 years of email history in Gmail, all stored for free. Yeah, I'm not switching. In the core business, there's not as much switching costs. I suppose there's a little bit of, oh, because I've spent a lot of money, the targeting is very good at allocating my spend. But the switching costs in the core business for an advertiser are not as prominent as other powers. I don't think I continue to spend on Google because it's hard to switch. I continue to spend on Google because they have all the high intent users for products other than, you know, Amazon. That's one of the two big search boxes in the world where people type in when they want to buy a product. So I'm going to advertise there as little to do with switching costs, I think. Yeah. But for users of Gmail, oh, and several other products like enormous for users all across the board. Yeah. I won't leave YouTube at this point.

3:46:10The algorithms dialed to my interest. Oh, yeah. That's a great point of switching costs of the algorithm on YouTube. Yeah. Branding, I think in the heyday of Google that we're talking about in this episode when they're launching all these incredible products, yes, these products won because they are incredible and because they were free, but also like there was such a halo around the company. Like if there was a new Google product, I would be shopping at the bit to go try it. Yeah, that's super true. I remember I was desperate for Google Wave invites. The product completely failed, but I was completely dazzled by it, and I was desperate to get invite and access. The Google name meant something. Yep. And still does, by the way, which I think held them back in AI for a while. They know the Google name means something. So they are reticent to throw their name on it until they got kind of shoved off the cliff. Yep. Cornered resource.

3:47:02Yes. Well, certainly heading into the AI era now. YouTube, the YouTube catalog, you can train on. Yeah. All the data they have. Yeah. It's funny. I was about to say they're infrastructure, but I think that's actually a scale economy. They've built out the infrastructure they have so they can run all their products as cheaply as they can. Yeah. I think the infrastructure is also a process power. Yeah. In that, in the era we've been talking about, they could launch all these products.

3:47:32on their infrastructure just way cheaper than anyone else. You know, it's a core resource. They have built internal software and systems that is better than what is available outside of Google. Great point. A lot of the time, they even create open source projects that are similar to their internal stuff, but they don't actually give away the internal stuff. Inside Google, they still run Borg. They run far less Kubernetes than they run Borg. And Borg is part of the secret sauce. Yeah. When you talk to engineers who've left Google, they miss the infrastructure. So Google has it all. Yeah, all of them. And we can have a lot more examples, but we gotta go. All right, playbook. All right, I tried to get most of them in as we are going in the story. The first is that Google really wanted to become a platform company. And I was sort of noodling on, did they ever do this successfully? And David, we sort of touched on this idea that

3:48:28They are advancing the platform of the web without owning the platform of the web. So if they didn't have Android, how would you answer the question? Is Google a platform company? Yeah, yeah, yeah. I'd say it's sort of like a shadow platform company. It's like a ecosystem company. Right. And even with Android, okay, great. They own the target development platform. Their money is still made elsewhere. It's not a platform business.

3:48:57They may have a platform orientation as a company. They build a bunch of stuff that for developers to build their applications on top of. But where their bread is butter, it is really as an advertising company. It's important when push really comes to shove on big strategic decisions the company has to make. Like Apple, pure play platform company, Microsoft, pure play platform company. They either sell software or hardware. And then they need the platform around it to bolster their sales. Google's very indirect. Yep. All right, so that was one. The other one is they make tons of small acquisitions. Famously, I mean, that run in the 2010s, aside from the big ones, from YouTube, from Android, from DoubleClick, from AdMob, there was also what became Google Groups, spreadsheets, docs, blogger. They bought applied semantics with the patents and some of the tech for AdSense.

3:49:48They bought the technology for Google Maps. They bought Urchin for Google Analytics, Dodgeball, Feedburner, Recapsha, SlideJamble, Lake.com, Widevine, AdMeld, Punched, Zaget, Sparrow, Wave. I could just keep going. Oh, yeah. Hundreds of companies they bought. In talking to folks in the research, there was this amazing part of Google culture that also fit the strategy perfectly of help the web and the rich web and web apps bloom. Come work at Google.

3:50:17with these incredible people. Meet your co-founders. Go start a startup. Leave Google. We will then re-acquire you back into Google in a couple of years. It happened dozens or hundreds of times. I remember seeing this happen from the outside and thought Google is nuts to let this happen. But I realize now, no, this was all part of the strategy. Yeah. It's all good for the web. Yep. You can run very indirect, generous, long-term strategies like that.

3:50:46with a money printer, like AdWords. Yes. I know I keep coming back to that, but that is at the core of what drives everything. This one's a little bit less playbook, but just an observation. I watched the Google IO keynote with Glass, and I watched a bunch of Glass content. I even back in the day at a startup, we get launched a Google Glass app. Oh, nice. So after watching all this Glass content, and it's the butt of every joke now, Meta Ray Bands.

3:51:15and Google Glass are the same thing, feature-wise, the gestures on the side, the fact that it could take a photo. I mean, Google Glass was a little more advanced. It could run these like very basic text-based apps, but I'm sure when Meta launches their little hologram version of the glasses, that's gonna be eerily similar. So like, of course, you could say, oh, it's just timing, but here's the thing. Google's made you look like a cyborg. Meta's is for normal people and there is no better metaphor for the cultural difference between Facebook and Google than this. Google's a bunch of wacky academics who did not really understand why this would make the product fail. Facebook is founded on the idea that you're trying to be cool. Yeah, and went and did a partnership with Esselordalexatica to get the tech into glasses that normal people wear. Yes. It was crazy watching these demos because I'm like, these are

3:52:14the meta AR demos, it just happens to have a cool factor versus not. And then my last one is this idea that they did figure out a way culturally to get people amped about just build great products, figure out how to do something really hard from an engineering perspective that ends up being really useful and ship things that people love.

3:52:38It's not that you didn't have to think about a business model, but a lot of the time for many years after launching a product you really didn't. Yep, it's like we talked about earlier. There was this thin layer of really, really, really tight, really great strategy. That was just like a few people at the top of the company. But below that, it was just make a great product. Yes. All right, I've got two for Playbook one that I'm gonna make my quintessence. There's about an underscore again.

3:53:08We said this in the Android chapter, but like, Android was the mother of all wins. It was so big to win with Android. Nobody stretches a business model across technology eras. Nobody. And Google did it. In a dominant way, where they are there, the dominant company in the next era as well. Yep.

3:53:31It is the Google version of Azure from our Microsoft series. It absolves any and all sins. Not that there were many at Google. The only one was Google Plus. The only way it could have gone better is if instead of launching Android, they launched the iPhone. And they also got the iPhone profits rather than just some small dollars that protected their core business. Yep. That was my playbook. And then my quintessence is, it is wild that this one company has eat.

3:54:01products with over a billion users and started this era with just one search that didn't even have a billion users yet but search android chrome youtube gmail maps drive photos and then if you count the play store as separate from android which google does i think that's a bit of a stretch but if you do then they have nine products with over a billion users and just for context meta is the next highest Count of products in one company with over a billion users. They have four, the blue app, WhatsApp, Instagram and Messenger. Metal likes to claim they have five. They like to say that meta AI in aggregate has over a billion users embedded across all their products. Yeah, but this whole super intelligence thing is an admission that the active users of meta AI is a little stretchy. If the play store doesn't really count on its own, the meta AI for sure doesn't really count on its own. So meta has four.

3:54:59Apple, I think only has three, maybe four, so the three Apple has for sure are iPhone, iMessage, and Safari. iPad, maybe, I don't think so. Mac definitely not. I basically don't count any iPhone app, because they all come for free when you get the phone. Okay, so by your definition, Apple has one with iPhone. I think Apple has one. Okay, all right.

3:55:26Let's take that same definition. How many of these came for free at Google search? Android? Those are two completely different distribution channels. Chrome. Yep. I don't think any of these came for free. I mean, Google helped Chrome. No, yeah. These are all independently have achieved billion plus users. Gmail and Google drive sort of advantage each other. So I think you can sort of subtract one of those out. Yeah, but it's not to the extent that.

3:55:52I messages default with an iPhone. Right. Maps is advantaged by Android. They ship a whole lot of maps. But probably whatever the phone was would have a great Google Maps app. Yep. Okay. All right. Apple has won. Microsoft has two windows and LinkedIn. Amazon doesn't have any billion user products. Google's got eight. That's incredible. Call it seven or six. I think there's a reasonable to subtract. Okay. Fine. But that's exactly right.

3:56:21whatever. That's my point. This is my quintessence. This period at Google is a run like nobody's ever had. Yeah. Absolutely right. All right. What you got? So quintessence for me is the thing that I sort of can't stop thinking about from the episode. And I decided this time, I knew what it was going in and I decided to hide it all the way until the end. So we haven't talked about this thing yet. Oh, okay.

3:56:48Almost all of Google's successful products are based on a core technology insight that is underneath the whole thing. The type of insight that could be in an academic journal. Someone told me this and I've been using it as a little litmus test for will a product work or not? And as you look through, I mean, you look at the original search. That is by definition, the PageRank algorithm is a core technology insight. I mean, they published it as an academic paper. The way that the ad-based auction works is a core, it's almost mechanical and it's elegance and it's brilliance and simplicity. It is a technology insight that everything we talked about in Google part one, our first episode, then you look at everything that succeeded this episode, Gmail, the way that they are able to do the gigabyte of storage, Ajax, fast, responsive,

3:57:45web application. You look at maps and docs with real-time collaboration, breakthrough core technology insight. YouTube. Yeah, totally. Serving video on demand of the entire world. Absolutely. Being able to scale that and make it a real-going concern. Chrome, four core technology insights, maybe six, maybe seven in the original comic. Android. I can't name one magical core insight.

3:58:14This one may kind of be the exception because like yeah, it's technically hard and all that but there's not like an elegant thing that's the reason that androids succeeded. It was perfect execution in a lot of ways strategically distribution marketing partnerships. I got what it is. It's the same thing as the iPhone. It was an incredible achievement to wrestle OS 10.

3:58:41into iOS and get it to run on a battery-powered mobile device that fit in your pocket. And Android did the same thing with Linux. They wrestled Linux into a battery-powered mobile device that fits in your pocket. Yeah. Less of an elegant, satisfying core insight, I think, and not the reason that it worked. I mean, not the reason why Android, unlike these other ones, was a clear line between the, it's almost like the Google products that succeed wildly, organically, Except for Android, are ones where there's almost no product. The technology solution is just so incredible that it is directly the user experience and you get the technology breakthrough as the experience. Yeah. Yeah, I sort of see where you're going. But then look at the other ones. Google Plus, Google Wave. These are like.

3:59:33products. These are like user experiences that people come up with that don't necessarily have a breakthrough technology underneath them. Google Photos is actually quite the opposite. All of the AI stuff that's been happening on Google Photos for a very long time, that's why it worked. People wanted all these incredible magic features that come with Google Photos. It's funny. As someone told me this in the research, it's been sort of batting around in my head, and then I'm reading Eric Schmidt's book.

3:59:59and Eric Schmidt said he would ask PMs, what is your core technical insight that makes it all work? And if there wasn't a good answer, he wouldn't fund the project. They figured this out at Google too. It's a Googly thing that this genius technology is the product itself. And if you try to craft some cool idea that you have that is not just directly translating tech breakthrough, it's not going to be the type of product that succeeds at Google. They don't know how. Some people can make an Instagram. And those people are not Google. Yeah. Ironically, Kevin Sister was a first wild Google employee who left to start a startup. Yes. Anyway, I think that has made it extremely clear to me when Google products succeed when they fail. Love it. Spot on. All right. Carvots. Carvots. I've got one and then I've got my

4:00:56Long awaited follow up. Oh my god, we've been waiting with Bated Breath listeners. What game console did David buy? I'm gonna make everybody wait for one more minute my actual carve out for the episode is when we were in New York for Radio City my whole family came the girls came and We stayed for the rest of the week after the show and we took the girls to the bluey experience at the camp store in New York City. And it was awesome. Lived up to expectations, lived up to the hype. They basically have recreated the Bluey House in this physical space in New York City. The house is almost a character in the show and they have recreated it and they just let you and your kids in.

4:01:52to roam free in the house, then you have a magical moment at the end of the experience. It was cool. Highly, highly recommend if you're in the Bluey demographic and happen to be in New York. Okay, what game console did you pick? I bought the Steam Deck. The Steam Deck. I bought the Steam Deck. And it's great, although I haven't should be told ahead much time to play it this past month with everything we've had going on in Radio City and then preparing this episode. But it's great. How'd you pick? What was the ultimate?

4:02:21It ultimately came down to as much as I desperately wanted my older daughter to be ready to play Mario Kart with me. She's just not. And so if you're buying a console for just you to enjoy, you went with the steam deck. Yeah. I was like, I would probably enjoy the steam deck. Warren, do you endorse it? Do you recommend it? Yeah. What valve has done with the steam deck? I didn't realize until buying it and using it is incredible.

4:02:47They have abstracted a PC gaming machine into a console experience. So I've always liked PC type games, but I haven't been a PC gamer in many, many years because like, I'm not going to build a gaming machine. Or even you can just buy one, but like, I'm going to need another PC. Where am I going to put it? What am I going to do with it? I want the console simplicity of just buy the damn thing, turn it on and buy the games, play them. Right.

4:03:14Valve has created that in handheld form. It's awesome. You don't have to worry about any of the drivers or specs. It's really, really impressive. All right. Good to know. So, I will buy a switch to, at some point, probably in the next year or so. But for now, steam deck. All right. What are your car vats? I've got three. Oh, great. My first one, and I swear to God, this is unrelated to their sponsorship, is Claude. Amazing. It's so great. It's so good.

4:03:42Using AI has completely changed the way that I prepare for these episodes now, and I cannot imagine going back. I hear AI as a thing. I hear AI as a thing. So that's the first one. I just find myself in it all day now. Two is the Sony RX100 vii or seven. So I recently bought a different camera, the Fuji X100 vi or the six. Yeah, that's what you had in New York.

4:04:10Yeah, and it's great. It's like the internet's favorite camera has these amazing film simulation color profiles. It's like a camera though. I carry around my neck because it's like, it's a camera that you hold and use and it's very fun shooting 35 millimeter equivalent. It feels like I'm taking pictures the way that pictures were meant to be taken. It's not a full DSLR, but it is like a big thing. Exactly. It's a handheld, but I wouldn't call it a pocket camera. Now the funny thing is the thing that I'm actually talking about as my carve out is the Sony camera.

4:04:39Sheel Monot tweeted, actually this morning, I should have been praying for this episode and I was like replying to him on Twitter instead, that he's been considering getting this Sony or another point and shoot camera. And I just kind of remembered how much I love this camera. The Sony RX-107 fits in my pocket. It's very small. It has a giant zoom lens for its size. And I was just looking at some of the pictures that I've taken with it.

4:05:05It's like the perfect thing to bring with a phone whenever I'm space constrained, which is usually, I mean, I just don't really want a camera around my neck. The perfect combo is bring a phone and bring the Sony. I am aware that it's not a full frame camera. I'm aware that it's not as photography as my Fuji, but it is the most practical one for most things that I want to do. And for many, many shots, it is far superior to shooting on a camera phone. So I don't know, I just love it. It's a 2019 camera and they really need to come out with one that has USB-C because it's annoying to charge but other than that, it's just awesome. So I highly recommend it. You're bringing it full circle on this episode of Point and Shoot camera. Shoot camera, especially paired with Lightroom has this great AI feature called Denoise that they launched and is now rolled out in production is incredible. What? Then I have one more last one. A listener recently sent me, he started a clothing company called Cara Seamy and it is

4:06:03an incredible garment. It is just this really, really nice cashmere shirt. I've been wearing it all recording. It's great on a cool day. It's great on a warm day. It's my current favorite shirt. And so I wanted to thank the listener that sent it to me and say you have built a very, the prices are high. So a very nice clothing company, but just excellent products. Well, I've been staring at you for the past seven and a half hours here. And I've been thinking the whole time, God, Ben is looking good.

4:06:32My normal thing, if I could just wear it every day, is a long-sleeved, dark crew neck. Just like, I don't have to think about it. You can look nice in it. It just goes with everything. It's, you know, the sort of capsule wardrobe idea. And this is the sort of finest version of that that I've worn. It's really great. Kira, see me. Nice. All right. With that, listeners, we have a bunch of people to thank for contributing to this episode. Yes, yes, we do. Hiroshi Lockheimer, Tim Armstrong, Sam Schillis, Hunter Walk, Nick Fox, Shona Brown, Clay Bavore, a bunch of folks who helped a little bit here, but more going to be for the next episode, Max Ross, Greg Carrado, Demis Ashabis. And then Ben, you had a bunch of folks who you spoke to as well. Yeah. As always, I want to thank Arvin Navarotnom from Worldly Partners for his excellent right up, which you can find linked in the show notes. And also Paul Bukite, creator of Gmail, Bill Corrin, Jonathan Rochelle.

4:07:31Bradley Horowitz, John Henke, Ben Itelson, Esar Lipkiewicz, and Ben Leibald. And that is in addition to, as always, the many folks who helped us, whose names we can't say here, but know you are appreciated. Yes. And thanks to all of you for listening. Seriously, if you liked this episode and you're like, oh, wait, there's a Google episode before this. Most of you have probably listened, but if you have not, go check out our First episode on the origin of Google and the creation of the search engine and the search business. And of course our Microsoft series part one, part two in an interview with Steve Balmer. If you want the other side of the story to everything we talked about here. In addition, our giant episode on meta is probably pretty relevant and we reference it several times. After this episode, check out ACQ2, our second show where we talk to founders and CEOs building businesses and areas that we have covered on the show. Our last one.

4:08:27was with Google Legends, really industry legends, Brett Taylor and Clay before about the current state of AI and where we are headed, so search ACQ2 in any podcast player. Come chat with us in the Slack, that's acquired.fm-slack, and join the email list for all the excellent email goodies, including voting on episodes for this fall. With that, listeners, we'll see you next time. We'll see you next time.

4:08:57Is it you? Is it you? Is it you? Who got the truth now?